Another 2014 poll

General Discussion on the Permanent Portfolio Strategy

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What return will the HBPP produce in 2014 (assume VTI,TLT,GLD,SHY 25x4 as of 31-Dec-2013 close)

Poll runs till Mon Jan 21, 2058 4:39 pm

10% or better
7
20%
5 to 10%
11
31%
0 to 5%
15
43%
-5 to 0%
1
3%
-5% or worse
1
3%
 
Total votes: 35
MeDebtFree
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Another 2014 poll

Post by MeDebtFree »

Thought this poll might be fun.

There's also another one out there that asks which individual PP component will have the best 2014 which can be found here:

http://gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/pe ... for-fun%29
Last edited by MeDebtFree on Sat Dec 21, 2013 10:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
MeDebtFree
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by MeDebtFree »

I hope a lot more folks cast their vote.  Get 'em in soon.  I will close the voting January 1st.

Happy New Year to all !!
Kshartle
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by Kshartle »

The return on a 4x25% split of those four for the last 24 months has been a paltry 5.2% including interest and dividends.

This is probably very close to the worst 2-year performance in 42 years.

Not that the past is indicative of the future, but this looks like the worst since 2000-2001 and slightly worse that '83-'84.

The following years were 7.2 and 20.2 respectively.
Reub
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by Reub »

Did you say 20.2? I'll settle for that!
MeDebtFree
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by MeDebtFree »

Polls are closing shortly....get your final votes in !

Happy and Prosperous New Year to all !  :D

MDF
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Ad Orientem
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by Ad Orientem »

Has the poll closed? I see a question and various answer options. But no voting mechanism.
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MeDebtFree
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by MeDebtFree »

Ad Orientem wrote: Has the poll closed? I see a question and various answer options. But no voting mechanism.
Closed it last night (approximately 11 pm eastern).
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Ad Orientem
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Re: Another 2014 poll

Post by Ad Orientem »

Oh, the message said the poll didn't close until Jan 31 2014. No worries.
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