Stock scream room

Discussion of the Stock portion of the Permanent Portfolio

Moderator: Global Moderator

User avatar
dualstow
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 7544
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:18 am
Location: next to emotional support peacock
Contact:

Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Thu Dec 27, 2018 8:48 am

I took a look. While I agree with the author that holding stocks long term does not magically alleviate risk and turn them into bonds, it is the only way to fly if you are going to hold stocks at all. I mean I would rather shun equities altogether rather than try to time. How bout you?
Kriegsspiel wrote:
Thu Dec 27, 2018 8:42 am
dualstow wrote:
Wed Dec 26, 2018 3:10 pm
whatchamacallit wrote:
Wed Dec 26, 2018 3:09 pm
Wow. Up 5% today. Great example of reason to never get out of market. Even for a day.
+1. Time in the market not timing the market.
https://web.archive.org/web/20170911171 ... -time.html
Good news everyone: AOC and Maxine Waters are going to oversee Wall Street.
All should be well from here on in. O0 #stockscreamroom
🦑
User avatar
Kriegsspiel
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1212
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2012 5:28 pm

Re: Stock scream room

Post by Kriegsspiel » Thu Dec 27, 2018 9:22 am

My objective is to have enough assets I don't have to worry about it.
User avatar
ochotona
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2207
Joined: Fri Jan 30, 2015 5:54 am

Re: Stock scream room

Post by ochotona » Thu Jan 17, 2019 6:35 am

Ned Davis Research, in their monthly outlook, has lowered the stock allocation for their portfolio for risk averse investors to 40%. Normally it's 55%. This is the most cautious they've been since the GFC of 2008.

"On December 20, we reduced our recommended stock allocation by 10% and shifted it to bonds in our balanced account strategy. We have reached the downside extreme of what we would ever recommend for stock allocation, which has ranged from 40% to an upside limit of 70% since first constraining the allocation in 2008."
Last edited by ochotona on Fri Jan 18, 2019 6:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Kriegsspiel
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1212
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2012 5:28 pm

Re: Stock scream room

Post by Kriegsspiel » Thu Jan 17, 2019 1:29 pm

Image

The Buffet Indicator is at 130. My total stock allocation right now is just under 50%.
User avatar
dualstow
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 7544
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:18 am
Location: next to emotional support peacock
Contact:

Re: Stock scream room

Post by dualstow » Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:23 pm

Dow is now out of correction territory.
Good news everyone: AOC and Maxine Waters are going to oversee Wall Street.
All should be well from here on in. O0 #stockscreamroom
🦑
Post Reply