India

A place to talk about speculative investing ideas for the optional Variable Portfolio

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
User avatar
MachineGhost
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 10054
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:31 am

India

Post by MachineGhost »

A little late, but still relatively near the bottom.  India typically makes hundreds of percent moves lasting years after such bottoms.  The catalyst for change is the new pro-business Prime Minister.  See: http://gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/ot ... n-waiting/

[img width=800]http://i58.tinypic.com/wtdnwh.png[/img]
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Kshartle
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 3559
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:38 pm

Re: India

Post by Kshartle »

What is the most reflective ETF on this MG?
Lowe
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 248
Joined: Fri Apr 13, 2012 7:54 am

Re: India

Post by Lowe »

Thanks for the heads up, MG.  I remember reading about this in the news, before he had won yet.  Mostly it was about diplomatic relations, since he was denied a US visa at some point.

Maybe he will be the Indian Reagan?  Where did you get that chart, btw?

I found MSCI ETFs INDA and INDY after a bit of searching.  I think INDA is larger cap companies, and it also has lower ER (0.67 vs 0.93).  So I would go with INDA.
User avatar
MachineGhost
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 10054
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:31 am

Re: India

Post by MachineGhost »

The chart, which is from AmiBroker, is of SCIF which is a small cap India fund.  I didn't bother to do any comparisons with other ETF's since I won't be holding it long term, only as long as the uptrend lasts.  But small caps will definitely juice up the gains.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Reub
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 3158
Joined: Fri Jan 21, 2011 5:44 pm

Re: India

Post by Reub »

MachineGhost wrote: The chart, which is from AmiBroker, is of SCIF which is a small cap India fund.  I didn't bother to do any comparisons with other ETF's since I won't be holding it long term, only as long as the uptrend lasts.  But small caps will definitely juice up the gains.
Do you think that the horse has left the barn on this already?
User avatar
MachineGhost
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 10054
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:31 am

Re: India

Post by MachineGhost »

Reub wrote: Do you think that the horse has left the barn on this already?
Compared to it potentially running for a couple of years, no.  But short term it may be overextended; but you risk missing the move if you wait for a pullback.  I am betting that if/when the US corrects, capital will rotate to greener pastures overseas.  I don't think we're ready for a major top yet because there's just way too much negative sentiment.  Major tops don't happen when everyone is looking for them (corrections can, but they're 10%-20% or so).
Last edited by MachineGhost on Fri Jun 06, 2014 8:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
User avatar
MachineGhost
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 10054
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:31 am

Re: India

Post by MachineGhost »

Time for an update, it just broke out again and money flow is positive:

[img width=1024]http://i60.tinypic.com/6i78g7.png[/img]

Hopefully, this is the one, but there's still room for more compression in the apex.
Last edited by MachineGhost on Wed Nov 19, 2014 10:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Post Reply