How to protect against a "bail in"?

General Discussion on the Permanent Portfolio Strategy

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
miyazaki
Junior Member
Junior Member
Posts: 19
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 6:56 pm

How to protect against a "bail in"?

Post by miyazaki »

It has been discussed for a couple of years, but this week, a law which would make it legal for a "bail in" depositor confiscation in case of "emergency" has been enacted here in Japan. I've heard similar laws are being enacted throughout Europe and Canada, now that Cyprus has set the precedent. I wonder if anyone can explain the details, including implications for the permanent portfolio. Would any confiscation be limited only to cash deposits in the bank, or could it extend to cash held in a brokerage account or even stocks and bonds? Is there any good way to protect against a bail in, or is the pp already protected sufficiently? Perhaps it's time to stash cash AND gold under the mattress? ;)
murphy_p_t
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1675
Joined: Fri Jul 02, 2010 3:44 pm

Re: How to protect against a "bail in"?

Post by murphy_p_t »

Jim Sinclair has been sounding the alarm on this very issue.

http://www.jsmineset.com/2013/06/15/bai ... we-expect/
Libertarian666
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 5994
Joined: Wed Dec 31, 1969 6:00 pm

Re: How to protect against a "bail in"?

Post by Libertarian666 »

I would think holding physical metals in a non-bank institution like Global Gold should be fairly safe from a "bail-in", since such institutions don't take any risk that might inspire their being bailed out.

But unfortunately there is no such thing as a riskless asset, so even that is not absolutely safe.
User avatar
Ad Orientem
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 3483
Joined: Sun Aug 14, 2011 2:47 pm
Location: Florida USA
Contact:

Re: How to protect against a "bail in"?

Post by Ad Orientem »

This strikes me as a good point to recollect that the safest method of holding a PP is to own everything except the stocks directly. Don't use banks or brokerages more than absolutely necessary. And also remember the importance of geographic diversification.
Trumpism is not a philosophy or a movement. It's a cult.
murphy_p_t
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1675
Joined: Fri Jul 02, 2010 3:44 pm

Re: How to protect against a "bail in"?

Post by murphy_p_t »

Ad Orientem wrote: This strikes me as a good point to recollect that the safest method of holding a PP is to own everything except the stocks directly. Don't use banks or brokerages more than absolutely necessary. And also remember the importance of geographic diversification.

Seems this PP allocation would come closest?

-stock index held only as mutual fund (Vanguard...since its customer owned...lower theoretical risk than a for-profit)
-gold coins (held outside financial system)
-stack of Federal Reserve Notes (held outside financial system)
-LTT at Treasury direct


PS...not sure I'd implement this...especially not on board w/ TD
Last edited by murphy_p_t on Tue Jun 18, 2013 11:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Ad Orientem
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 3483
Joined: Sun Aug 14, 2011 2:47 pm
Location: Florida USA
Contact:

Re: How to protect against a "bail in"?

Post by Ad Orientem »

murphy_p_t wrote:
Ad Orientem wrote: This strikes me as a good point to recollect that the safest method of holding a PP is to own everything except the stocks directly. Don't use banks or brokerages more than absolutely necessary. And also remember the importance of geographic diversification.
I'd basically suggest a level 4 (per the book) permanent portfolio. I like the above but would move the gold overseas.


Seems this PP allocation would come closest?

-stock index held only as mutual fund (Vanguard...since its customer owned...lower theoretical risk than a for-profit)
-gold coins (held outside financial system)
-stack of Federal Reserve Notes (held outside financial system)
-LTT at Treasury direct


PS...not sure I'd implement this...especially not on board w/ TD
Trumpism is not a philosophy or a movement. It's a cult.
Post Reply