In A Coma For 10 Years... What Happens To My Permanent Portfolio?

General Discussion on the Permanent Portfolio Strategy

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
User avatar
Coffee
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 733
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:24 pm

In A Coma For 10 Years... What Happens To My Permanent Portfolio?

Post by Coffee »

Has anybody looked into what happens if you don't rebalance the portfolio for an extended period of time?  Suppose you went to jail for 10 years? Or slipped into a coma? Or you were abducted by the FARC?

What would PP returns look like without rebalancing?

Just curious.
"Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you're not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean. I mean plumb, mad-dog mean. 'Cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live nor win. That's just the way it is. "
User avatar
dualstow
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 15332
Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:18 am
Location: searching for the lost Xanadu
Contact:

Re: In A Coma For 10 Years... What Happens To My Permanent Portfolio?

Post by dualstow »

I don't know, but but just prior to entering a ten-year coma, I'd rather be holding the pp than, say, solar panel stocks.

Hey, this would be a great way to not look at my spreadsheets so often.
RIP OZZY
TripleB
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 882
Joined: Sun Mar 27, 2011 1:28 am
Contact:

Re: In A Coma For 10 Years... What Happens To My Permanent Portfolio?

Post by TripleB »

Hedge this uncertainty by investing in healthcare stocks and private correction facility stocks, as you being in a coma and/or in prison will mean a rise in the value of those underlying companies.
User avatar
AgAuMoney
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 823
Joined: Fri Apr 01, 2011 11:24 pm
Location: NW USA

Re: In A Coma For 10 Years... What Happens To My Permanent Portfolio?

Post by AgAuMoney »

Clive wrote:Simba's backtest spreadsheet takes total gains into account. In practice income wouldn't be reinvested in a total gains like manner so you could end up with lower gains and a large pot of cash.
Hmm.  Sounds like an argument for the simple funds approach in a brokerage which does free reinvestment.  Then TLT and VTI (or SPY) would reinvest, gold wouldn't need to, and you would probably be low on cash when you woke up.
Post Reply