"“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Discussion of the Bond portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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yankees60
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"“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by yankees60 »

I've watched some of her free videos in the past. This one maintains her record of presenting excellent information in them.


“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!
Above provided by: Vinny, who always says: "I only regret that I have but one lap to give to my cats." AND "I'm a more-is-more person."
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by boglerdude »

Honest info but nothing new

Defaults are done through inflation.

edit for content
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ochotona
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by ochotona »

The last time we had a default threatened, I sold all of my SGOV ETF and then I bought actual Treasuries with a maturity date six months beyond X-date.

I just didn't want my small soft body to get crushed in the ETF redemption gears, due to iShares trying to make good on people having a run on the ETF. During crisis times I'd rather get rid of any intermediaries if possible.

I chose six months because... well, they better have it working again in six months. I think I bought a few CDs also.
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by seajay »

yankees60 wrote: Sun Feb 16, 2025 10:14 am I've watched some of her free videos in the past. This one maintains her record of presenting excellent information in them.


“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!
What could go wrong? >:D https://www.usdebtclock.org/ debt per taxpayer $323K ($36.5Tn debt), unfunded debt 3.15 times larger than that - so $1M debt per taxpayer
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by yankees60 »

seajay wrote: Mon Feb 17, 2025 11:33 pm
yankees60 wrote: Sun Feb 16, 2025 10:14 am I've watched some of her free videos in the past. This one maintains her record of presenting excellent information in them.


“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!
What could go wrong? >:D https://www.usdebtclock.org/ debt per taxpayer $323K ($36.5Tn debt), unfunded debt 3.15 times larger than that - so $1M debt per taxpayer
Yes, during the recent United States presidential election, other elections, how much time was spent discussing the debt? Almost none?
Above provided by: Vinny, who always says: "I only regret that I have but one lap to give to my cats." AND "I'm a more-is-more person."
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by seajay »

yankees60 wrote: Tue Feb 18, 2025 7:16 am
seajay wrote: Mon Feb 17, 2025 11:33 pm What could go wrong? >:D https://www.usdebtclock.org/ debt per taxpayer $323K ($36.5Tn debt), unfunded debt 3.15 times larger than that - so $1M debt per taxpayer
Yes, during the recent United States presidential election, other elections, how much time was spent discussing the debt? Almost none?
At least Trump has jumped straight onto it though. $1Tn/year trade deficit - selectively apply tariffs to countries who run with a surplus (US deficit). Borrowing/spending too much - slash public and overseas spending. The ending of being able to export inflation coming to a end - readjusting the US economy accordingly. US economic weakness will embolden Xi/Putin however.
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by yankees60 »

seajay wrote: Tue Feb 18, 2025 9:16 am
yankees60 wrote: Tue Feb 18, 2025 7:16 am
seajay wrote: Mon Feb 17, 2025 11:33 pm What could go wrong? >:D https://www.usdebtclock.org/ debt per taxpayer $323K ($36.5Tn debt), unfunded debt 3.15 times larger than that - so $1M debt per taxpayer
Yes, during the recent United States presidential election, other elections, how much time was spent discussing the debt? Almost none?
At least Trump has jumped straight onto it though. $1Tn/year trade deficit - selectively apply tariffs to countries who run with a surplus (US deficit). Borrowing/spending too much - slash public and overseas spending. The ending of being able to export inflation coming to a end - readjusting the US economy accordingly. US economic weakness will embolden Xi/Putin however.
What was his record during his first term, even after taking out the amount due to Covid?
Above provided by: Vinny, who always says: "I only regret that I have but one lap to give to my cats." AND "I'm a more-is-more person."
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by ochotona »

All politicians lie about debt / deficits.
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by ochotona »

April 7-9... Treasuries have suddenly stopped acting as the safe haven. Someone is a massive seller of them. China? And/or just ex-US parties in general are selling and not showing up at Treasury auctions?

There is an auction today for an (almost) new ten year Treasury... they are re-opening an auction and selling more of an existing CUSIP.

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/a ... 0403_7.pdf

It will be telling to see how it went... who showed up to buy.

There is an Auction Results tab on this page https://www.treasurydirect.gov/auctions/upcoming/
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Re: "“I’ve pulled all my money out of Treasuries” | DOGE, deficits & default?!"

Post by ochotona »

ooof, IEF is not happy today... FAFO

Sure we buy lots of stuff from the world, more than we export, but we depend on them to finance our debt.
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