Brief Book Review: Keynes's Way to Wealth

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Smith1776
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Brief Book Review: Keynes's Way to Wealth

Post by Smith1776 »

I just finished reading an obscure little book called Keynes's Way to Wealth. It's an interesting little tome that examines Keynes not as the economist, but as an investor. It's especially interesting because Keynes's ideas were being tested in live fire conditions within arguably the most tumultuous time for equity markets generally. That is, the 1920s and the 1930s.

It appears that Keynes's fortunes were devastated on multiple occasions during these decades (not surprisingly). He spent much of those early years grasping around for workable ideas and an investment framework. One must remember that systematic theories of investing, especially in equities, didn't really exist at that time.

In general, Keynes started out as a cyclical macroeconomic investor, attempting to use his superior information and knowledge of the real economy and apply that to capital markets. It didn't work. He bought every commodity and exotic instrument you could imagine of the era. The markets, however, stymied him.

Eventually Keynes settled on an equity bias after reading E. L. Smith's Common Stocks as Long-Term Investments. He further then became (surprise, surprise) a value investor. His results improved tremendously as he started posting market beating returns. To be fair, those market beating returns in the 1930s often simply meant he lost less money than the market.

I thought that overall it was quite a good read. Keynes's trading records from the era are remarkably well preserved, and it's interesting to see his musings. I'd recommend the book to any of the frequenters on the forum.

I was also pleasantly surprised to see that the foreword of the book was written by none other than John C. Bogle himself!!

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yankees60
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Re: Brief Book Review: Keynes's Way to Wealth

Post by yankees60 »

Sorry! After glancing at the topic title....due to what has been consuming my mind all week....I thought the title was "Keynes's Way to Warmth"!!!

I got all excited but then ....

However even though it was not going help me get warmth (and not prevent me and the 12 pets from freezing to death)....I still did read your excellent review of the book.

Vinny
Above provided by: Vinny, who always says: "I only regret that I have but one lap to give to my cats." AND "I'm a more-is-more person."
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