What happens to German bonds if Euro collapses or Germany reverts to the D-mark?

Other discussions not related to the Permanent Portfolio

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
murphy_p_t
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1675
Joined: Fri Jul 02, 2010 3:44 pm

What happens to German bonds if Euro collapses or Germany reverts to the D-mark?

Post by murphy_p_t »

I know this is a pretty speculative question, but I'm looking for some thoughts on this....What happens to German bonds if Euro collapses or Germany reverts to the D-mark? Do the bonds just become denominated in the new national currency?

What is the precedent that we can look to in order to anticipate what might unfold?

Also, I'm interested to learn from those holding Euro-based PPs to know how all the chatter is affecting your adherence to the PP. What are the odds that the cash and bonds totally crash in value?
User avatar
moda0306
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 7680
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2010 9:05 pm
Location: Minnesota

Re: What happens to German bonds if Euro collapses or Germany reverts to the D-mark?

Post by moda0306 »

I've wondered this too... also, what's the risk of holding Euros themselves.  It's easy to see why holding Greek, Italian, or Spanish debt is risky, but not so much with a currency that may or may not be around, not as a result of hyperinflation, but as a result of simple decommission.
"Men did not make the earth. It is the value of the improvements only, and not the earth itself, that is individual property. Every proprietor owes to the community a ground rent for the land which he holds."

- Thomas Paine
hoost
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 422
Joined: Thu Mar 01, 2012 11:24 pm
Location: Texas

Re: What happens to German bonds if Euro collapses or Germany reverts to the D-mark?

Post by hoost »

That's a really interesting question.  What happened when all of the European countries went from their own currencies to the Euro?  I think that is probably the most logical event to look to in order to get some sort of idea of what might happen.  Once we know that, then it's a matter of looking at a country like Germany vs. a country like Greece.  It seems like with Germany you might expect things to go smoothly...not so much with some of the countries who are much worse off.
Post Reply