bswift wrote:
I don't think that answer is correct. Sorry to dredge up an old post, but I have the exact same newbie question. TLT has never distributed a capital gain, and has a 28-year average maturity, according to the latest factsheet. ETFs apparently have some tax advantages (the exact workings of which I don't understand) built into the structure of creating and redeeming blocks of shares.
Assume you are in distribution mode, do not have tax-sheltered space for bonds, and need to turn over the entire holding to get back to 30-year maturity. It would be a big hit with the cap gains of the last few years. Of course the next time could just as easily generate a loss, but I think I would rather pay the .15% to TLT and leave cap gains out of the equation.
I am missing something there?
Under the HB PP recipe, you will mechanically buy and sell long term treasury bonds once every ten years based upon the 30 year bond only have 20 years left to maturity.
During that ten year period, however, you will have experienced, on average, 3-4 rebalancing events. During each rebalancing event you will either be buying or selling long term treasuries. If you are selling them, you will be selling out of bonds that would otherwise be nearing the 20 year-to-maturity mark (thus reducing the number of bonds that would otherwise need to be sold when they reached 20 years until maturity). If you are buying them, then you will be lengthening the average duration of your overall long term treasury holdings.
At the end of 10 years from the initial setup date of your PP, you will perhaps have some long term treasury bonds to sell, but you will only be concerned about this if there are unrealized capital gains in those bonds.
Overall, it seems like between the natural extension of the average maturity as a result of rebalancing and the potential for long term bonds to not even have any unrealized capital gains to be concerned about, this isn't an issue that is worth preferring TLT over individual bonds.
Since most investors have some space in tax deferred accounts which would make this issue moot for a portion of the LT treasury holdings, that makes me think that this issue would be even less problematic.
I would say maybe try the first 10 years of your PP experience with HB's recommended approach and then try the second 10 years with a TLT approach and at the end of 20 years compare the two approaches and see which one you like better.
At a minimum, if you set up your PP today, it will be 10 years (at the earliest) before this is something you will need to worry about, assuming it would ever
actually present a tax issue.