craigr wrote:
Gold I would advise not keeping in an IRA except for perhaps an allocation for rebalancing to avoid tax exposure. But mostly it should be the last thing to go in. IMO.
craigr's opinion on all things financial is worth 10 times more than mine any day of the week and I mean that in all sincerity. I'm just throwing my own contararian idea out there because it makes sense to me.
My PP consists mainly of a traditional IRA and a taxable account. The Roth accounts I'm adding will initially amount to less than 10 percent of the total. How much they will grow after that will depend on the small amount they let you invest each year and the price of gold.
According to other advice I've read, when spending down your retirement accounts you should do it in order of greatest tax liability first, smallest last. So I don't expect to spend the Roth accounts for at least 20 years, if at all (I'm 62).
So my thinking is that it's a fairly safe long term bet on the price of gold. If gold disappoints then the only thing I suffer is that more of my investment income will be taxable. If it takes the astronomical leaps that some have suggested, then I can look forward to enjoying my "golden years" tax free.
I WILL be careful to use multiple ETF's to minimize counter party risk.
One other risk I see in this strategy is that the government might change the rules in the middle of the game, which wouldn't be the first time. I've heard talk of eliminating all capital gains taxes, in which case there would be no point in even having a Roth IRA. I can see them doing away with the Roth IRA but leaving the collectibles tax on gold in place which would leave me really screwed.
If this forum is still around I'll let you know how it went in 20 years.