All you say is reasonable. However, isn't it reasonable to also assume that after the first atomic bomb that the Emperor could have decided enough is enough? Thought that If the Americans had that one, how many others do they have? How can I continue to allow such destruction to occur in my beloved country?Mountaineer wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:03 pmPerhaps Nagasaki was reasonably predictible, perhaps not (this is my view especially if you apply the adjective reasonably to the noun predictable).... it was only a couple days later. I seriously doubt they could have evacuated every city in Japan just because they thought another atomic bomb were coming somewhere. I expect they also could have reasonably predicted Tokyo was a target but they still lost more people in the fire bombing than at Hiroshima (I think). I think when one views events like a horse through blinders, one will miss a lot of the unseen events that can totally change the overall scene. Leaves? Trees? Forrest? Some never see they are in a forrest. Some do, but only with 20-20 hindsight.yankees60 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:54 amHowever, to stay on your analogy Nagasaki was 100% predictable. How many out of 10 Japanese would have said he was not prepared when he could have 100% prevented it?Mountaineer wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:46 amPoint one - it is impossible to predict disasters with much accuracy - in the case of Hiroshima a brand new weapon. Like trying to predict exactly (e.g. in time to evacuate people) when the Yellowstone caldera is going to blow again. Meanwhile, the tourists keep on flocking there. I'm sure though, if it blows in July, it will be Trump's fault (pun intended).yankees60 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:29 amI think you need to further explain your analogy for me to understand it. As far I know just the fact that Japan had an Emperor means that they were a closed, non-participatory country. We, on the other hand, are a democratic republic with information free flowing.Mountaineer wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:06 amThat's kind of like saying after the fact that poll finds 6 in 10 Japanese say Hirohito was not prepared for the atomic bomb.yankees60 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 01, 2020 10:34 am About 6 in 10 voters think Trump was not prepared for coronavirus outbreak, poll finds
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/pol ... 101764002/![]()
Next question for you....Of those 6 (in 10) what is your guess as to the range (low to high percent) who, if the election was held next week, would be voting for Trump?
Vinny
Point two - the election is not going to be held next week - that's my prediction.![]()
Trump kept downplaying the seriousness of what this has turned out to be. Think that had no affect on the poor behavior of others?
I'll spare you here my other thoughts on what more he could reasonably been expected to do but which chose to not do.
Vinny
The point was not evacuating. The point was unconditional surrendering.
Vinny