Stock scream room
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Re: Stock scream room
Stocks are inflation + dividend. Gambling/hot money cycles in the short term
Inflation can be "good" when its smart loans being made or gov printing money for infrastructure. 2007 was dumb loans inflation and Iraq war
Inflation can be "good" when its smart loans being made or gov printing money for infrastructure. 2007 was dumb loans inflation and Iraq war
Re: Stock scream room
Schwab, 10/12/2018:
"Stock market action recently illustrates again why it’s important for investors to remain disciplined and diversified in a way consistent with their risk tolerances and investment goals. The bull market may have more legs, and upside surprises are possible, but risks have been rising over the past year or so, leading us to be more cautious and recommend that investors limit the risk in their portfolios."
https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/ ... erspective
"Stock market action recently illustrates again why it’s important for investors to remain disciplined and diversified in a way consistent with their risk tolerances and investment goals. The bull market may have more legs, and upside surprises are possible, but risks have been rising over the past year or so, leading us to be more cautious and recommend that investors limit the risk in their portfolios."
https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/ ... erspective
Re: Stock scream room
Just picked up Ned Davis Research Group's note for October at Schwab.com
MORE EVIDENCE OF A GLOBAL BEAR MARKET
With Technology and U.S. benchmarks joining other global indices on the downside, it has become increasingly evident that stocks remain in a global bear market that started in January. Our Bear Watch report has moved closer to providing its confirmation, in which case we will be likely to downgrade equities to an underweight allocation for the first time in nearly a decade. An oversold bounce would provide a selling opportunity
for that downgrade.
55% equites, 35% bonds, 10% cash is their recommendation for risk-intolerant conservative investors.
{Ochotona is 45% equities, 35% bonds, 10% cash, 10% gold}
MORE EVIDENCE OF A GLOBAL BEAR MARKET
With Technology and U.S. benchmarks joining other global indices on the downside, it has become increasingly evident that stocks remain in a global bear market that started in January. Our Bear Watch report has moved closer to providing its confirmation, in which case we will be likely to downgrade equities to an underweight allocation for the first time in nearly a decade. An oversold bounce would provide a selling opportunity
for that downgrade.
55% equites, 35% bonds, 10% cash is their recommendation for risk-intolerant conservative investors.
{Ochotona is 45% equities, 35% bonds, 10% cash, 10% gold}
Re: Stock scream room
"Bonds" is such a vague term. What kind of bonds?ochotona wrote: ↑Sat Oct 20, 2018 8:42 pmJust picked up Ned Davis Research Group's note for October at Schwab.com
MORE EVIDENCE OF A GLOBAL BEAR MARKET
With Technology and U.S. benchmarks joining other global indices on the downside, it has become increasingly evident that stocks remain in a global bear market that started in January. Our Bear Watch report has moved closer to providing its confirmation, in which case we will be likely to downgrade equities to an underweight allocation for the first time in nearly a decade. An oversold bounce would provide a selling opportunity
for that downgrade.
55% equites, 35% bonds, 10% cash is their recommendation for risk-intolerant conservative investors.
{Ochotona is 45% equities, 35% bonds, 10% cash, 10% gold}
Re: Stock scream room
Yeah, right... Subprime is contained blah blah blah
JERUSALEM (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin dismissed concerns that China’s weakest economic growth since the global financial crisis could spill into other emerging markets and destabilize U.S. financial markets.
JERUSALEM (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin dismissed concerns that China’s weakest economic growth since the global financial crisis could spill into other emerging markets and destabilize U.S. financial markets.
Re: Stock scream room
November: Ned Davis is 50% equities now
Re: Stock scream room
Another day another puke. Could be January 2008 again for all we know...
Re: Stock scream room
From my friend Lance Roberts:
"Last week, we further reduced equity risk further bringing exposures down to just 40% of our portfolios. On a rally to the 200-dma which fails, we will reduce risk more and add negative hedges to portfolios."
"Last week, we further reduced equity risk further bringing exposures down to just 40% of our portfolios. On a rally to the 200-dma which fails, we will reduce risk more and add negative hedges to portfolios."
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- Executive Member
- Posts: 246
- Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2016 1:40 am
Re: Stock scream room
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dsh ... n-6-25-mom
Why would you loan someone money to buy stocks?
Why would you loan someone money to buy stocks?
Re: Stock scream room
The stock market drop today was epic. It was like when a newborn baby's poo migrates out of the their diaper and up their back. Yechhh.
Re: Stock scream room
Actually only #10 most volatile this year...I think I heard that Bloomberg (mute if wrong)
However, A+ on the visuals!!! LOL
Re: Stock scream room
The Schwab talking heads - Randy Frederick, Liz Ann Sonders, Kathy Jones... are getting really bearish. If you read their tweets, you get a sense of this.
@lizannsonders
@randyafrederick
@kathyjones
@lizannsonders
@randyafrederick
@kathyjones