OK, Folks!
After 2 days of upbeat DJIA, what will happen with stocks AND real estate in the next 12 months? Anyone care to make a conjecture on 24 months out?
Maybe I sold Manhattan in bad ol' New York City too soon.
It's never dull.
Thanks.
Anyone care to predict the future?
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bedraggled
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Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
Stocks and Manhattan real estate could go either way. No one really knows. But selling this year after a good run up in prices and lending rates this low, you at least sold at a good time. No need to 2nd guess yourself.bedraggled wrote:OK, Folks!
After 2 days of upbeat DJIA, what will happen with stocks AND real estate in the next 12 months? Anyone care to make a conjecture on 24 months out?
Maybe I sold Manhattan in bad ol' New York City too soon.
It's never dull.
Thanks.
- MachineGhost
- Executive Member

- Posts: 10054
- Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:31 am
Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
I think it depends on how you measure it and how far back you want to go.
Government fiscal year for first two years after a new President is poor/bearish.
But the calendar year after a new President is bullish for small caps, especially growth.
OTOH, gains under Republican adminstrations are lower than under Democrat. There tends to be more recessions under a Republican.
Right now T-Bonds are tanking hard so that suggests that the market expects growth to finally pick up.
Government fiscal year for first two years after a new President is poor/bearish.
But the calendar year after a new President is bullish for small caps, especially growth.
OTOH, gains under Republican adminstrations are lower than under Democrat. There tends to be more recessions under a Republican.
Right now T-Bonds are tanking hard so that suggests that the market expects growth to finally pick up.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
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bedraggled
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Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
Thanks.
Good, so far. The forum is a great place for insight.
Good, so far. The forum is a great place for insight.
- MachineGhost
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Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
Trifectas an exception but it is woefully statistically insignificant:


"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
Is that pp or S&p?MachineGhost wrote:Trifectas an exception but it is woefully statistically insignificant:
- MachineGhost
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Re: Anyone care to predict the future?
Eh, PP doesn't have returns like that. Ever.dragoncar wrote:Is that pp or S&p?MachineGhost wrote:Trifectas an exception but it is woefully statistically insignificant:
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!