Poll: The Great Inflation

General Discussion on the Permanent Portfolio Strategy

Moderator: Global Moderator

What caused The Great Inflation from 1960 to 1980 when interest rates went from 1% to 15%?

Federal Reserve mismanagement
2
9%
Cost-push inflation via supply shocks (oil, etc.)
3
14%
Demand-pull inflation via economic growth (faster than capacity)
0
No votes
Demand-pull inflation via demographics (employed spenders vs retired savers)
3
14%
All of the above
1
5%
None of the above
0
No votes
No clue
13
59%
 
Total votes: 22
User avatar
MachineGhost
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 10054
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 9:31 am

Re: Poll: The Great Inflation

Post by MachineGhost »

Pfanni wrote: Why does a barista in the USA make more mony tham the iPhone-assembly line worker in China?
I would say that is due to purchasing power parity differences.  China is already too wage expensive now for cheap wages; manufacturing has been moving to other Southeast Asian locations, such as Vietnam.

A barista doesn't really make much relative to COL.  About 16K-25K depending on location.  Imagine trying to live on 25K in San Francisco.  The other issue is they're likely a barista because they were either hoodwinked by the college-loan industry complex and/or naive enough to get a degree in Women's Gender Studies, etc..  Or maybe they are overqualified graduates, but can't find a job.

Wages aren't the most important factor in hiring overseas or domestic anyway, as the reshoring phenomenom attests.  Still, there's no doubt that China pegging the yuan to the dollar back in 1994 is responsible for offshoring.  The giant sucking sound ala NAFTA sure wasn't to Mexico or Canada.
Last edited by MachineGhost on Wed Jan 14, 2015 2:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
User avatar
Pointedstick
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 8883
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2012 9:21 pm
Contact:

Re: Poll: The Great Inflation

Post by Pointedstick »

MachineGhost wrote: The other issue is they're likely a barista because they were either hoodwinked by the college-loan industry complex and/or naive enough to get a degree in Women's Gender Studies, etc..  Or maybe they are overqualified graduates, but can't find a job.
Ouch! The truth! It hurts!
Human behavior is economic behavior. The particulars may vary, but competition for limited resources remains a constant.
- CEO Nwabudike Morgan
Post Reply