"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes
Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet. I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
TennPaGa wrote:
Bah. Niall Ferguson is himself a first class jerk, blowhard, and bully. A couple of years back, he famously misinterpreted Keynes's "in the long run..." statement as indicative that Keynes didn't give a rip about the future because he was gay and childless. Yes, he apologized, but only after getting publicly called on it.
He and Krugman have been feuding for a number of years.
I was just about to say the same.
That said... Welcome back, MG!
Yes, good to see you around!
No money in our jackets and our jeans are torn/
your hands are cold but your lips are warm _ . /
Bah. Niall Ferguson is himself a first class jerk, blowhard, and bully. A couple of years back, he famously misinterpreted Keynes's "in the long run..." statement as indicative that Keynes didn't give a rip about the future because he was gay and childless.
I'm not sure I have the same reading, Tenn. My reading is that the long run is boring; all the action takes place in the present and near future where economists can actually make an impact.
I think what Keynes is saying is that it's obvious that a sort of equilibrium will eventually re-establish itself when times are tough, but that this is so totally obvious that the discipline of economics should concern itself with the more volatile short term in order not only to retain its academic legitimacy, but also because, in his opinion, is is possible to rationally understand and manipulate things in the short term.
Human behavior is economic behavior. The particulars may vary, but competition for limited resources remains a constant.
- CEO Nwabudike Morgan
TennPaGa wrote:
However, this is a far cry from the implication that Keynes didn't care about future generations because he had no children (because he was gay), which is what Ferguson said.
Motives aside, I think the implication is there, perhaps very subtly. In taking the long-run equilibrium as a given, I believe Keynes can minimize the danger of destabilizing that desirable long-run equilibrium by making foolish mistakes in the present. If we destroy or waste our productive capacity (the real economy, after all) trying to fix the money economy, I think there is definitely a danger of at the very minimum causing that future equilibrium to equilibrate at a lower level than it might otherwise have.
It's certainly debatable, though.
Human behavior is economic behavior. The particulars may vary, but competition for limited resources remains a constant.
- CEO Nwabudike Morgan