Search found 32 matches
- Mon Jul 14, 2014 1:35 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold Coin Balance Fooled by fake gold Eagle
- Replies: 38
- Views: 27243
Re: Gold Coin Balance Fooled by fake gold Eagle
I think slabbed are not ideal as there are numerous fake slabs known. Besides it puts a barrier between you and measuring the density, dimensions and sound. Some gold dealer shows some fake Eagles that came into his store. These are pretty good fakes. Scary! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P1h6uX...
- Mon Jul 14, 2014 1:27 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The GOLD scream room
- Replies: 3934
- Views: 2393814
Re: The GOLD scream room
Every time metals have their CME margin decreased the price collapses, I can remember this happening at least 3 times in last few years. Anyone know these dates off the top of their head? I want to see what gold did in following days/weeks after those similar events.
- Mon Jul 14, 2014 1:25 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Will I look like a noob whipping out a coin balance at the coin shop?
- Replies: 8
- Views: 7178
Re: Will I look like a noob whipping out a coin balance at the coin shop?
What kind of coin?... The only fake I've seen is a kruger and it looked pathetic. I know there are some clever and good looking silver fakes but has anyone ever held a convincing gold fake?
- Tue Jan 07, 2014 12:28 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Permanent Portfolio 2013 Results.
- Replies: 39
- Views: 23918
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2013 Results.
There results are all pre-dividend too aren't they? Rates/dividends on equal quads come to 1.4% (0.9% cash, 2.8% bond, 1.9% stock, 0% gold)... So PP was down probably less than 1.99%. Maybe there was some anomalie that made Jan1 entries especially good?... Otherwise I can't understand the hysteria t...
- Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:57 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
- Replies: 48
- Views: 39888
Re: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
This hasn't been updated in a while... It needs work. Had some help from wizards earlier, like Akratic, but most people just come in and start editing it to their own devices and mess up the original. Think the list will have to be locked and PM more for link to edit it. Also, thinking that mutual f...
- Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:23 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
- Replies: 48
- Views: 39888
Re: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
Is anyone else finding this useful? I do and would like to keep it thorough and up-to-date.
But keeping it up is some extra work... Thanks to people who fix/add.
But keeping it up is some extra work... Thanks to people who fix/add.
- Tue Jun 05, 2012 2:50 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: rebalancing physical
- Replies: 6
- Views: 4156
Re: rebalancing physical
If you're early in the accumulation phase I'd just add more to everything else.
Otherwise I always thought 50% ETF was too much and used 30% as an ETF target... In all the back testing I did, I never had to sell off large amounts of physical.
Otherwise I always thought 50% ETF was too much and used 30% as an ETF target... In all the back testing I did, I never had to sell off large amounts of physical.
- Thu Mar 29, 2012 9:10 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Leverage a dollar position?
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11828
Re: Leverage a dollar position?
Or you can use the 2-3x leveraged ETFs if you don't want to deal with a margin call and can accept a little tracking error. Holding long 3x ETFs (maybe even 2x) is not a good idea... Value will decay based on the reset to 0 calculations performed daily... Shorting the 2,3,4x can be a good idea but ...
- Thu Mar 29, 2012 9:07 pm
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: TLT - Why Is Income from Govt Obligations so LOW?
- Replies: 95
- Views: 59103
Re: TLT - Why Is Income from Govt Obligations so LOW?
when it comes to markets / capitalist system, i think the way operators take notice is thru buy/selling... LOL, of course... With a cooler head I can shake my head in embarrassment at my earlier comment, as I'm sure HB would have done. Plans are in place to decouple from TLT and move into mostly ac...
- Tue Mar 27, 2012 8:58 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Leverage a dollar position?
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11828
Re: Leverage a dollar position?
very interesting, blackomen... Looks like a good idea. Have you done any backtesting to see how your system would have performed historically?
- Wed Mar 21, 2012 8:25 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: TLT - Why Is Income from Govt Obligations so LOW?
- Replies: 95
- Views: 59103
Re: TLT - Why Is Income from Govt Obligations so LOW?
Very disturbing... Maybe we could start a petition of some kind and try to get them to address these concerns? I'd sell it outright but I have a lot of capital gains in TLT waiting... And my taxable income will be much lower next year. :-\ ... Damnit, was so happy with TLT; easy to liquidate, monthl...
- Mon Mar 19, 2012 12:03 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Leverage a dollar position?
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11828
Re: Leverage a dollar position?
There are 3x ETFs for USD now: UUPT (bull) UDNT (bear). But to go long you will have value eroded by time decay. You could short the bear, but that could get ugly.
- Thu Mar 15, 2012 1:13 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Leverage a dollar position?
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11828
Re: Leverage a dollar position?
lol, "worst arbitrage ever" it is... Seems like the only way margin could be used effectively as a dollar position is if there was some kind of leverage, but then you have volatility.
- Thu Mar 15, 2012 12:35 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Leverage a dollar position?
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11828
Re: Leverage a dollar position?
I have an excellent margin rate of 0.9% and I deducted this from my taxes... Over the years of observation I have become very comfortable with the use of margin in the PP and have been slowly increasing it, but still never plan to ever be near the possibility of a margin call. I suppose if 2008 x 2-...
- Thu Mar 15, 2012 9:45 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Leverage a dollar position?
- Replies: 22
- Views: 11828
Leverage a dollar position?
I've been using margin for the PP for years with great success... All 3 other components are easy to margin, but not cash. It doesn't really make sense to use margin to buy SHY and pay more interest than it will earn. What about deep in the money calls for SHY?... What about a 2x dollar bull ETF?......
- Mon Oct 17, 2011 5:05 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
- Replies: 23
- Views: 13522
Re: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
I couldn't resist...Indices wrote:The same was said for Ralph Nader back in 2000. The fringe of any society always believe their candidate is being ignored by the media.
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics ... med/43747/
- Mon Oct 03, 2011 5:44 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Just bought "The Economic Time Bomb" by Harry Browne
- Replies: 4
- Views: 3519
Re: Just bought "The Economic Time Bomb" by Harry Browne
I found Fail Safe Investing to be a big letdown... So much more PP info on here.
How I Found Freedom and Why Government Doesn't Work are two of my favorites, however.
How I Found Freedom and Why Government Doesn't Work are two of my favorites, however.
- Mon Oct 03, 2011 5:42 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Permanent Portfolio tattoo
- Replies: 6
- Views: 3665
Re: Permanent Portfolio tattoo
Quattuor quadrans, Aequilibrium pro re nata.MediumTex wrote:On the tablet he would be holding, rather than July 4, 1776, in Roman numerals, it would read "4 x 25%, rebalance as needed" in Latin.
Preferably in large letter old english across your torso, ala THUGLIFE.
- Wed Sep 28, 2011 4:09 pm
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Weather the Storm...
- Replies: 40
- Views: 21822
Re: Weather the Storm...
Seems that the CME margin hike has a big hand in this... The last time they raised margin gold reacted with 2 very down days.
I've used the buying opportunity to move out of ETFs and into physical.
I've used the buying opportunity to move out of ETFs and into physical.
- Tue Sep 27, 2011 9:19 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
- Replies: 23
- Views: 13522
Re: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
The same was said for Ralph Nader back in 2000. The fringe of any society always believe their candidate is being ignored by the media. Well, I don't consider myself "fringe" and Paul supporters do not make up a "society." :D I'm not even saying it's likely, I'm just saying that...
- Tue Sep 27, 2011 5:34 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
- Replies: 23
- Views: 13522
Re: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
Ron Paul has no chance. He won't even win the nomination. if the primary election is fair and honest and people vote for him he is just as capable of winning as anyone. :) a new Harris pole is putting him ahead of obama in a run off, i don't know how accurate their polling is but he has some pretty...
- Tue Sep 27, 2011 12:37 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
- Replies: 23
- Views: 13522
Re: Thoughts on PP if the dollar becomes gold/silver backed again
It would certainly change the game if massive inflation was no longer the threat it is... I wouldn't worry about it until it happens. Frankly I just can't see it happening, too much power for central banking and inflationary policies. Ron Paul won't be elected President (though I am sure he would do...
- Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:53 pm
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: How do we apply Permanent Portfolio theory to establishing a balanced economy?
- Replies: 7
- Views: 3744
- Wed Sep 21, 2011 11:24 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
- Replies: 48
- Views: 39888
Re: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
Definitely agree on asterisk, Craig!... I'm hoping we can get a wiki going with all the if/and/buts for all funds. Thanks Akratic! Yes, the mutual funds are indeed a problem... I'm thinking that would be a logical break and have an ETF list and a MF list. Myself I am really only interested in the ET...
- Wed Sep 21, 2011 10:54 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
- Replies: 48
- Views: 39888
Re: Master list of PP component ETF/MFD options
I think that's a good idea, Craig... Perhaps a Y/N or check column for meeting Browne's criteria?