Search found 4623 matches

by mathjak107
Thu Apr 24, 2025 4:17 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]
Replies: 27
Views: 4021

Re: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]

i hold no tips at all and no long term bonds right now i hold ultra conservative bond funds , short term bond funds and a short to intermediate term bond fund with a duration of 3.6 years . it captures decent rates yet has very low sensitivity to rates . a 7-10% gold position and a very low equity p...
by mathjak107
Tue Apr 22, 2025 4:10 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]
Replies: 27
Views: 4021

Re: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]

not just lately .

TLT is still, negative over the 1 yr , 3yr , 5 yr and 10 year periods INCLUDING ALL INTEREST
by mathjak107
Tue Apr 22, 2025 4:24 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Ms. Market "votes" on inflation
Replies: 4
Views: 1177

Re: Ms. Market "votes" on inflation

makes sense because with prices rising here it isn’t a case of we buy this and that . we don’t have the money so we will have to choose to buy this or that . someone will always be a loser here in business so inflation isn’t as much an issue as a slow down with higher rates then we typically see in ...
by mathjak107
Wed Apr 16, 2025 4:35 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Schwab, Fidelity halt trading of Blackrock MM ETF
Replies: 2
Views: 4095

Re: Schwab, Fidelity halt trading of Blackrock MM ETF

what’s funny is i bought the black rock one thru chase 2 days ago .

chase pays near nothing on cash sweep accounts so i. put any cash in the black rock etf money market from some stuff i sold
by mathjak107
Sun Apr 13, 2025 1:18 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Crypto (IBIT) Vs. Gold (IAUM): Which Is The Better Hedge?
Replies: 4
Views: 3749

Re: Crypto (IBIT) Vs. Gold (IAUM): Which Is The Better Hedge?

bitcoin hadn’t proven itself to be a hedge to anything .
if anything it’s traded like a tech stock following them up and down .

gold is a far better hedge and has proven itself over and over to be better at the last two decades than bonds have been
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 12, 2025 3:39 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 3 Risks Of The Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 6
Views: 2156

Re: 3 Risks Of The Permanent Portfolio

can’t read it behind the pay wall. i tried archive today and saw only a piece . but i have been saying here for years , the long treasury bonds and rate spikes are the achilles heel of the pp. even once again , those who thought it was safe to go back in the water with them got hammered just now . t...
by mathjak107
Tue Apr 08, 2025 3:40 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]
Replies: 27
Views: 4021

Re: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]

the pp has been acting worse than a 60/40 as the various other assets get hit along with stocks . so far no protection at all. all that happens is the hole it has to climb out of if things shift gets deeper. it really has been no better and is actually been worse then 25% equities and some 1-3 year ...
by mathjak107
Tue Apr 08, 2025 12:37 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]
Replies: 27
Views: 4021

Re: Not yet coming here?

i think after it got hammered with everything else in 2022 many realized there is no free lunch . there are very real risks today at what are still historically low rates for a rise in rates to be kryptonite to the pp . there are so many new funds that can likely outperform the pp with less risk to...
by mathjak107
Mon Apr 07, 2025 3:03 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]
Replies: 27
Views: 4021

Re: Not yet coming here?

i think after it got hammered with everything else in 2022 many realized there is no free lunch . there are very real risks today at what are still historically low rates for a rise in rates to be kryptonite to the pp . there are so many new funds that can likely outperform the pp with less risk to...
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 05, 2025 9:07 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Not yet coming here? [to the Forum]
Replies: 27
Views: 4021

Re: Not yet coming here?

i think after it got hammered with everything else in 2022 many realized there is no free lunch . there are very real risks today at what are still historically low rates for a rise in rates to be kryptonite to the pp . there are so many new funds that can likely outperform the pp with less risk tod...
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 05, 2025 8:24 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

prpix minus 5.39 for the week

bridgewater all weather minus 3.91 for the week
by mathjak107
Sat Apr 05, 2025 8:05 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

total market fund down 9.13 for the week

tlt up 3.37

gld. down 1.53

bil zero
by mathjak107
Fri Apr 04, 2025 5:30 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

yeah , because it certainly didn’t perform the last two days as expected . swan also did terrible which is weird becuse it’s bonds mostly. from what i see these so called SAFER portfolios just don’t seem to be much safer when you buy it . the carolina reaper , the risk parity portfolio also did poorly
by mathjak107
Fri Apr 04, 2025 12:57 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

all weather down 4.2% today so not exactly all weather either. ha ha
by mathjak107
Thu Apr 03, 2025 3:00 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

now down almost 1%
by mathjak107
Sat Mar 29, 2025 5:11 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Starting new portfolio for a child – PP or VTI?
Replies: 8
Views: 4046

Re: Starting new portfolio for a child – PP or VTI?

i would never ever , use the pp for someone in the accumulation stage
by mathjak107
Tue Mar 25, 2025 4:35 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

still trying to figure out what makes this go up .

so far big stock days don’t
by mathjak107
Sat Mar 22, 2025 12:43 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

i bought in yesterday Status Filled at $25.1099 Symbol ALLW Symbol description SSGA ACTIVE TR SPDR BRIDGEWATER ALL WEATHER ETF Action Buy Quantity 50,000.00 Dollars Order type Market Time in force Day Conditions None Trade type Cash Market session Standard Order date Mar-21-2025 09:43:47 AM ET Order...
by mathjak107
Sat Mar 15, 2025 8:02 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

if i remember correctly, i think the treasury bonds were the biggest issue with him and rightfully so.. i know it was my biggest issue with the pp , which i stated for years when rates were so low and had no where to go but up. returns on tlt are still negative for ten years now at a minus .86% cagr...
by mathjak107
Fri Mar 14, 2025 3:26 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

that’s buds pocket change
by mathjak107
Thu Mar 13, 2025 3:22 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

thinking of it but haven’t done it yet
by mathjak107
Sat Mar 08, 2025 5:39 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bridgewater All Weather ETF
Replies: 42
Views: 10904

Re: Bridgewater All Weather ETF

looks interesting
by mathjak107
Sat Mar 08, 2025 2:59 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 446
Views: 339216

Re: BTC in the PP

it was a big nothing .

the bitcoin in the reserve was forfeited bitcoins already held by the gov .

there was no intention of adding any more at this time .

MEH
by mathjak107
Tue Mar 04, 2025 3:50 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BTC in the PP
Replies: 446
Views: 339216

Re: BTC in the PP

then a big dump ….

back in the lower 80k range this morning.

which is why i won’t put more than a percent or so in it .

a 1% position in it can be more like a 5% -7% position in gold as far as volatility.

for me it’s purely a fun position and no more than that