Took some TLT profits on Friday, holding in cash (2% dividend) to see if we get a dip in gold, will buy ETF in IRAs to supplement physical. Would like $1380 level over the next few months.

Don't cry for me Argentina...

She's a scientist so she knows how to read charts and graphs. She also has that woman's intuition for when something is a good deal and when it is overpriced.

I showed my TLT chart to my wife she told me to sell some. I did when my tight trailing stop alert went off. More and more cash...

Technically speaking, gold had formed one of the most beautiful long term bases I've ever seen, and it slowly over years finally built up enough steam to blow the lid off the pot. Same exact thing will happen to oil. Gold took six years, which means we have to look past 2020 for oil to do the same....

One form of “mental accounting” (kind of like a fallacy) that I engage in is that i find it fairly easy to hold an asset even when I don’t feel like buying more of it. Yup. The Endowment fallacy or illusion. Seriously though, TLT has gone vertical for all intents and purposes. It cannot continue in...

Sorry chart is working now... Please look

Seems to me TLT starts to bang it's head on the ceiling when it hits 155. Click here, because darn it, Tinypic is going away.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1e9kyV6 ... rHSm-/view

It's easy to tell people to just keep plugging savings into all four assets, but I don't know if I can buy more EDV. More gold... .eh, maybe I should at least wait for a drop below 1500 . Stocks? Just rebalanced out. I will likely do the cowardly thing and just keep too much in cash, and then regre...

Paul Novell has another twist to his Tactical Bonds portfolio... the "risk-off" bond portfolio could be, if you wanted, 75% US Treasuries, 25% gold. In other words, an equity-free Permanent Portfolio. ;) Equal-weight SHY, IEF, TLT, and Gold. In other words, sample the entire yield curve, then add so...

Stocks 8%? Aren’t you a little young for that? The credit bonds are quite volatile. They are my stock stand-ins. Paul Novell's model went risk off twice in last 9 months, I have been extremely cautious about getting back in, and how I express my desire to put on risk. I think of myself as a lemming...

Stocks dump yesterday... I made $4000 Stocks soar today... I made $1400 Yessssss! I think I stumbled by sheer luck into the perfect portfolio for the present day. It's really odd! How is it doing this? It's purely a result of getting stopped-out of equities and being too chickenshlt to jump back in,...