MachineGhost wrote: So get real.

Okay, I will. What are your real credentials for giving this advice?

If my understanding is correct, then that seems to indicate (although not prove completely) that one of the three volatile assets is always "up" in relation to the cost at which you bought it.  If that's the case, then I don't really understand this "dry powder" argument about cash.  If the other t...

ochotona wrote: Back testing is all I have.

I'm agnostic about back testing too.

After resisting being put on statins for quite a few years and being fired by two different doctors, I decided I would go ahead and humor my latest doctor for a while. Just got my first blood test and my bad cholesterol was cut in half which is nice to know, but it's just a number and I didn't come ...

TO THE POINT OF THE THREAD: candidate bush has been too honest about his opinions and the only way he gets nomination, is if votes are split between his opponents. I think that has a long history of working as a strategy. Just look at candidates like John McCain, Bob Dole, and even Mitt Romney. All...

For those interested, here's a good 30min video on how the ecomony works, according to Ray Dalio: The one thing that has always impressed me with Austrian Economics is the admission that nobody really knows how the economy works. There are simply too many moving parts. Only problem is that then the...

Was watching some business show not long ago, maybe Fox Business, and they went through the historical effect of a rise in interest rates. They were mostly interested in stocks, as all of these kinds of programs are, and they pointed out that historically a rise in interest rates has had a positive ...

Not drunk, but way tired! But I think the point is still valid... the appropriate amount of each cure is not the same number of units, even if you think the four events are equiprobable. "cure"? Remedy... countermeasure... whatever language you prefer. Okay, I think I understand. You see each segme...

In the Rubio interview I posted a link to above he was asked about whether he would have voted for the war in Iraq knowing what he knows now and he said no and that also GWB himself would not have voted for it knowing what he knows now. I think that is not true. I heard GWB speaking not long ago and...

It is.  You tend to look back on history in a nostalgic way.  Same with Clinton, Reagan, etc.  The most perfect example of this is, I believe, Abraham Lincoln. They didn't have approval ratings back then, of course, but based on what I've read he was not nearly the popular president on either side ...

That's pretty depressing but I find this even scarier than the idea of another Bush presidency ......

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2 ... -done.html

ochotona wrote: Not drunk, but way tired!

But I think the point is still valid... the appropriate amount of each cure is not the same number of units, even if you think the four events are equiprobable.

"cure"?