Search found 12 matches

by Dets
Wed Mar 06, 2013 1:43 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Global PP
Replies: 5
Views: 4085

Re: Global PP

I should have mentioned that the question was geared more towards people who live and work outside the US.  It was also about balancing existing assets vs. future earnings.  Does it make sense to concentrate everything into one currency, or should people look at their total wealth and try to diversi...
by Dets
Wed Mar 06, 2013 12:02 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Global PP
Replies: 5
Views: 4085

Global PP

Just a question for some of the more experienced posters on here.  Given that for most people, their 2 biggest assets are their future earnings from their day job and their home, which are both denominated in their domestic currency, why wouldn't a global PP as opposed to a domestic PP make sense as...
by Dets
Wed Nov 28, 2012 5:11 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Another advocate for the PP
Replies: 4
Views: 2244

Another advocate for the PP

Dylan Grice explaining why investors should look for inspiration from the cockroach (and eventually arrive at a PP allocation)

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/ ... oodbye.pdf
by Dets
Thu Nov 15, 2012 4:59 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A PP Tweak with some Theoretical and Empirical Logic
Replies: 32
Views: 15822

Re: A PP Tweak with some Theoretical and Empirical Logic

You can make a case for either approach, but i think for the majority of investors they're better off sticking with the combo of 25% cash and 25% LTT's.  When you combine the two it gives you roughly an equal volatility to what you're getting from each of stocks and gold, so it gives you something v...
by Dets
Thu Nov 01, 2012 4:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Stocks rewarding investors in times of growth?
Replies: 2
Views: 1598

Stocks rewarding investors in times of growth?

I was just hoping for some opinions on whether stocks truly compensate investors in times of growth/prosperity.  Plenty of people argue that the link between GDP growth and stock market returns is pretty tenuous, and even negative in some cases (see GMO: Reports Of The Death Of Equities Have Been Gr...
by Dets
Fri Oct 19, 2012 8:03 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: "Real" Assets
Replies: 9
Views: 3511

"Real" Assets

Sorry if someone has already posted, but I thought this was interesting.  In short, the author finds that T-Bills have actually been a great inflation hedge, energy and real estate were so-so, and TIPS and gold weren't very effective.

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm? ... id=2161124
by Dets
Wed Oct 10, 2012 9:43 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: What If Saturated Fats Are Essential?
Replies: 283
Views: 89895

Re: What If Saturated Fats Are Essential?

Has anyone on here read Gary Taubes latest book? Pretty interesting read.  He spends the first half explaining why he thinks calories in = calories out is bunk, and then the 2nd half explaining why sugar and carbs are a problem and why we need to replace alot of those calories with fats.  Read it wi...
by Dets
Tue Oct 09, 2012 9:21 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Questions about PP from Japan
Replies: 79
Views: 34353

Re: Questions about PP from Japan

The papers did not compare to value, momentum, or quality In terms of style performance, Value massively outperformed Momentum in Japan since the early 80's. The two tend to be negatively correlated though so combining them both has paid off. Cliff Asness has a paper coming out in the Journal of Po...
by Dets
Thu Oct 04, 2012 2:01 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Questions about PP from Japan
Replies: 79
Views: 34353

Re: Questions about PP from Japan

Hi Arturo, I agree, if that number is true it would make things look alot better.  The other thing that stands out to me is how much the strength of the yen hurt the gold portion of the PP return from a Japanese investor's perspective.  If you look at Gold as a put on your currency though it makes s...
by Dets
Tue Oct 02, 2012 11:26 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Questions about PP from Japan
Replies: 79
Views: 34353

Re: Questions about PP from Japan

Thanks for the response Gosso. It makes sense, it's just that the measurement of Japanese CPI has been called into question for some time now.  In this article the authors estimate the CPI in Japan has been overstated by around 2% a year, which would make a huge difference in real return if true. ht...
by Dets
Tue Oct 02, 2012 7:56 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Questions about PP from Japan
Replies: 79
Views: 34353

Re: Questions about PP from Japan

For those who have looked at this in detail, if we were to include the increase in global purchasing power due to yen appreciation, would that improve the true real return to something a little closer to what you would have earned in a UK or US PP?  Presumably the cost of anything you're importing h...