Search found 24 matches

by JMoyle
Mon Feb 09, 2015 11:17 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3934
Views: 2392378

Re: The GOLD scream room

if all you want to do is stop a loss then yes same idea but I also want to have an idea of when to get back in..
by JMoyle
Mon Feb 09, 2015 6:51 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3934
Views: 2392378

Re: The GOLD scream room

dualstow, stop loss is  more of a price-point whereas what I was suggesting is more of a momentum indicator.  Half of my liquid assets are following the 25/25/25/25 PP.  However,  I just cannot sit back and watch an asset class fall 10%-30%. Too much volatility for me even though one or two of the r...
by JMoyle
Sun Feb 08, 2015 2:40 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3934
Views: 2392378

Re: The GOLD scream room

Here is a thought for those holding Gold ETFs as all or part of their Gold holdings... When the 50 day SMA crosses below the 200 day SMA, sell the Gold ETF, keep it in cash, until the 50 SMA crosses back above the 200 SMA. Then you will not have to watch the ugly fall. For that matter, you can "...
by JMoyle
Sat Dec 21, 2013 1:47 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP LT Bond Allocation
Replies: 3
Views: 3656

PP LT Bond Allocation

With unprecedented Fed bond buying and the inevitable coming rise in interest rates, would it be an acceptable option to move from a passive LT bond index fund like TLT to a more actively managed bond fund like SUBYX to better cope with the coming Bond Bear Market?
by JMoyle
Sat Aug 03, 2013 8:03 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A more volatile PP, part two
Replies: 28
Views: 15820

Re: A more volatile PP, part two

Brownhead, Basics of the DAA: Acknowledged as mimicking principles of Harry's PP, the DAA holds the top 3 performing of six ETFs (designed to react to economic conditions) on a monthly basis. The ETFs are stock index, LT bonds, ST bonds, REIT, Gold, Int. stock. At the end of each month, if you are h...
by JMoyle
Fri Aug 02, 2013 8:08 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: A more volatile PP, part two
Replies: 28
Views: 15820

Re: A more volatile PP, part two

Has anyone looked at Sound Mind Investing's Dynamic Asset Allocation stratedgy? They have also automated the strategy into a Mutual Fund symbol SMIDX. Looks like a very promising VP!
by JMoyle
Wed Jun 26, 2013 6:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2 months old PP, down -3%.
Replies: 87
Views: 49630

Re: 2 months old PP, down -3%.

I almost feel sorry for Catacomb... until, I remember losing over $200,000.00 in 2008-2009 with my Boglehead-type Portfolio. No one that I know or follow... I mean no one... saw that coming! Not even Bob Brinker, the MarketTimer! At least Goldman Sachs predicted the sell down of gold back in May. Ha...
by JMoyle
Sun Jun 23, 2013 8:03 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP is WAY DOWN...:(
Replies: 30
Views: 21252

Re: PP is WAY DOWN...:(

I agree with melveyr! Investment is fraught with risk...even market manipulation risk! A stock and bond market that depends upon cash infusions from the Federal Reserve through the banks for stability and at the same time throwing retirees/savers under the bus. Massive selling of gold positions to c...
by JMoyle
Thu Jun 20, 2013 1:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Oh how it hurts to see no gains
Replies: 412
Views: 188325

Re: Oh how it hurts to see no gains

Gold down 20% and my Permanent Portfolio is only down less than 4% since last fall! Looks like the Permanent Portfolio is working like Craig, Medium Tex, and Harry said it should! Since the market disaster in 2008, I only concern myself with the downside of investing while letting the upside take ca...
by JMoyle
Tue May 28, 2013 10:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Permanent Portfolio
Replies: 60
Views: 28647

Re: Permanent Portfolio

Stocks, Bonds, and Gold have given a historical average return of 9%. Therefore, when adjusted down for the 25% Cash position, the PP must return a percentage above inflation. Without the cash position, the PP would be unable to take advantage of buying opportunities while giving the rest of the por...
by JMoyle
Mon Mar 25, 2013 10:12 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Silver Saver
Replies: 2
Views: 2919

Re: Silver Saver

Not looking for an endorsement just wondering what they are all about?
by JMoyle
Sun Mar 24, 2013 10:11 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Silver Saver
Replies: 2
Views: 2919

Silver Saver

Anyone use Silver Saver to purchase their Gold? They advertise on this blog site and look like an up and coming company.
by JMoyle
Mon Mar 11, 2013 11:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP
Replies: 64
Views: 30649

Re: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP

TennPaGa: I guess the only solution to our debt problem [that appears to be a big part of this economy otherwise why would the U.S. borrow for stimulus spending] is more debt! I suppose a monetary system built on borrowed money can only thrive on more borrowed money! Debt has become so mainstream th...
by JMoyle
Sat Mar 09, 2013 1:21 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP
Replies: 64
Views: 30649

Re: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP

Medium Tex: is your point that the prosperity of the 80s and 90s bought on credit is to be viewed as a good thing? I am confused as to your point because I recall prosperity coming about in the 80s by a more favorable tax environment with pro-business and less government leadership affecting the eco...
by JMoyle
Sat Mar 09, 2013 9:22 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP
Replies: 64
Views: 30649

Re: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP

I find very interesting the postings in this thread of those who contemplate changing their investment direction to chase returns from an economy engineered to look like prosperity! What economy in the past has borrowed its way to prosperity? I wish I had an Investing Crystal Ball but I could not fi...
by JMoyle
Wed Mar 06, 2013 10:22 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Julian Rubenstein
Replies: 8
Views: 6133

Re: Julian Rubenstein

Julian, I enjoy listening to your show! Your explanation of how you advise your clients makes more clear sense than any other financial planning program I have listened to in the past 40 years... Well done! Having said that, I was just curious as to how you are able to get 2-3% more out of your port...
by JMoyle
Thu Feb 28, 2013 10:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Julian Rubenstein
Replies: 8
Views: 6133

Re: Julian Rubenstein

GT, Julian Rubenstein reports earning 8% after fees on his PP look-alike for year 2012 during his daily radio show broadcast on WSBR Boca Raton, Fla. This is great for his clients... but, as I listen to his program, I wonder what he does differently to the PP to squeeze out 2% more return from a por...
by JMoyle
Wed Feb 27, 2013 10:44 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Julian Rubenstein
Replies: 8
Views: 6133

Julian Rubenstein

Any guesses as to how Julian Rubenstein of American Asset Management achieves 8% 2012 return after fees on his firm's version of the ETF PP when Craig R. reports a 6.8% ETF PP return? Could he have tighter rebalancing bands?
by JMoyle
Thu Dec 27, 2012 4:53 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: More or Less Risky?
Replies: 16
Views: 7058

Re: More or Less Risky?

Everytime and in every scenario when backtesting the performance of the Permanent Porfolio Philosophy... a reduction in the percentage of cash in the mix with equal weighting for the rest of the portfolio increases long-term return and increases volitivity. Therefore, the conclusion is consistently ...
by JMoyle
Fri Dec 21, 2012 5:26 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Recent Performance
Replies: 40
Views: 25441

Re: Recent Performance

Steve: You have made the best point that I have read regarding the "Recent Performance" question so far! I have never been convinced that compounding works well when a portfolio is vulnerable to major downward market swings [like the lossess experienced in 80/20, 60/40, or 50/50 porfolios ...
by JMoyle
Thu Dec 20, 2012 2:10 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Recent Performance
Replies: 40
Views: 25441

Re: Recent Performance

As I see it, we do not have Prosperity, Recession, traditional Inflation, or heavy Deflation. Therefore, PP short term balance fluxations makes sense! Having said that, until our economy finds a direction, up or down, what should the PP deliver in performance? What do you realistically expect "...
by JMoyle
Sat Aug 11, 2012 9:31 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Funds
Topic: Perm. Portfolio Withdrawls at 70 1/2
Replies: 2
Views: 6461

Perm. Portfolio Withdrawls at 70 1/2

Best strategy to take 401k or IRA RMDs from a Permanent Portfolio in retirement?
by JMoyle
Sat Jul 14, 2012 8:31 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Silver Saver.com
Replies: 0
Views: 1530

Silver Saver.com

Anyone have any experience with silversaver.com for the purchase and storage of the gold portion of the HB PP?
by JMoyle
Thu Jul 12, 2012 10:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: American Asset Management Inc.
Replies: 25
Views: 20783

American Asset Management Inc.

American Asset Management Inc. Boca Raton, Fl. looks like they are selling advice on an asset portfolio that looks identical to HB's PP. Anyone know anything more about this company and it's founder?