Will Trump be Re-elected?

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Will Trump be Re-elected?

Trump is more effective than people are willing to admit [ala Scott Adams] and will be re-elected.
24
37%
Hillary will run again in 2020, and thus Trump will beat her again.
3
5%
Trump will cause the GOP to lose one or both houses of congress in the mid-term elections.
6
9%
The Dems in congress will be so insufferable, Trumps wins by a small margin despite them.
15
23%
Trump will choose not to run for re-election, since he never really wanted the job anyway.
7
11%
Trump is a disaster and will lose by a landslide.
5
8%
Trump will not only lose, but will lose to a candidate so far to the left that people will wish he'd stayed.
3
5%
Other, please elaborate.
2
3%
 
Total votes: 65
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dualstow
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by dualstow » Tue Sep 24, 2019 2:05 pm

So far, damn accurate, Mr Hogue. O0
I'm glad the resurfacing of Warren's scandalous paleface photos haven't harmed her in the polls.
“As a white person of colour, I am extremely concerned about the rise of black whiteness.” — Titania McGrath
pariah — 1610s member of a low caste in S. India; Tamil (Dravidian) “drummer”, as members of the lowest caste played drums at festivals. “social outcast,” 1819.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by dualstow » Thu Sep 26, 2019 11:15 am

Thanks. I read 'Generation Kill' once upon a time and I've got a glossary somewhere that I compiled while reading. Probably time to pick up another book on Iraq and/or AfPak if anyone has any recommendations.

Btw, should we continue with a separate "Part 2" thread? Each page is always crushing under the weight of the giant, ancient poll above. Kind of ungainly.
Kriegsspiel wrote:
Fri Sep 13, 2019 6:55 pm
dualstow wrote:
Fri Sep 13, 2019 4:14 pm
Aha, thanks
Sorry about that. Also, COPS are combat outposts, "terps" are interpreters, RAID is a camera on a pole, and the donkeys are frightened.
Headline in WSJ today:

“Slow Growth Hasn’t Hurt Trump in Key Midwest Counties
While local job growth lags behind the nation’s, president’s approval rating has risen since 2017”

Hmm
*shrug*
“As a white person of colour, I am extremely concerned about the rise of black whiteness.” — Titania McGrath
pariah — 1610s member of a low caste in S. India; Tamil (Dravidian) “drummer”, as members of the lowest caste played drums at festivals. “social outcast,” 1819.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by Kriegsspiel » Thu Sep 26, 2019 6:45 pm

You picked a good one in Generation Kill.

The last few books I read related to Iraq/Afghanistan were:

The Accidental Guerrilla by Kilcullen
Wired For War by Singer
Brave New War by John Robb
My Jihad by Collins
Dirty Wars by Scahill
On The Hunt in Baghdad by Totten
Ghost Wars by Coll
America’s Secret War by Friedman
Soldiers of God: With The Mujahidin In Afghanistan by Kaplan
My Share of the Task by Gen. Stanley McChrystal
Where Men Win Glory by Krakauer
How to Break a Terrorist by Matthew Alexander
Ambush Alley: The Most Extraordinary Battle of the Iraq War by Pritchard
Horse Soldiers by Stanton (the movie 12 Strong was based on this book)

There's probably a couple in there that might interest you. I'll PM you another one.
I hated all the things I had toiled for under the sun, because I must leave them to the one who comes after me. Who knows whether that person will be wise or foolish? Yet they will have control over all the fruit of my toil into which I have poured my effort and skill under the sun. . . Nothing is better for a man than to eat and drink and enjoy his work.
- Ecclesiastes
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by dualstow » Thu Sep 26, 2019 7:22 pm

Excellent, thank you!
“As a white person of colour, I am extremely concerned about the rise of black whiteness.” — Titania McGrath
pariah — 1610s member of a low caste in S. India; Tamil (Dravidian) “drummer”, as members of the lowest caste played drums at festivals. “social outcast,” 1819.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by Cortopassi » Mon Oct 07, 2019 7:35 pm

Sometimes he's funny, unintentionally I assume:

As I have stated strongly before, and just to reiterate, if Turkey does anything that I, in my great and unmatched wisdom, consider to be off limits, I will totally destroy and obliterate the Economy of Turkey (I’ve done before!). They must, with Europe and others, watch over...

If he spends the next 12 months taking troops out of all the places we shouldn't be in anymore, he just may have my vote.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by doodle » Tue Oct 08, 2019 7:24 am

Cortopassi wrote:
Mon Oct 07, 2019 7:35 pm
Sometimes he's funny, unintentionally I assume:

As I have stated strongly before, and just to reiterate, if Turkey does anything that I, in my great and unmatched wisdom, consider to be off limits, I will totally destroy and obliterate the Economy of Turkey (I’ve done before!). They must, with Europe and others, watch over...

If he spends the next 12 months taking troops out of all the places we shouldn't be in anymore, he just may have my vote.
unintentionally funny....or mentally unhinged? Does anyone really think his demeanor and personality reflect well on our country? He is a troll who goads, insults and demeans anyone who dare questions his "great and unmatched wisdom". In another time and place you are looking at Caligula.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by stuper1 » Tue Oct 08, 2019 4:04 pm

doodle wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 7:24 am
Does anyone really think his demeanor and personality reflect well on our country?
Quoted from a discussion of Elizabeth Warren on another forum (unz.com):

"Trump’s personality is hard for a lot of people to stomach, but it’s recognized that it’s not an act – we see Trump unvarnished. People don’t like those who pretend to be something other than what they are, particularly in such a blatant example of a blond haired blue eyed woman claiming Cherokee ancestry and that her presence on Harvard’s faculty represents some kind of triumph for the continent’s native peoples."

So, yes, compared to what else is on offer, I personally think that Trump's demeanor reflects well on our country. He's comfortable in his own skin (as creepy and scaly as that might be). He doesn't offer up a boat load of mealy-mouthed platitudes like just about every other politician. I think that reflects just fine on our country. Sure, if we had a Boy/Girl Scout with good policies as an alternative, then please vote for him/her. But all these big government liberals offered up by the Democrats aren't going to be any better for the country than Trump is. If the Libertarians could offer somebody with a reasonable immigration policy, then vote for that person.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by doodle » Tue Oct 08, 2019 8:35 pm

So, yes, compared to what else is on offer, I personally think that Trump's demeanor reflects well on our country. He's comfortable in his own skin (as creepy and scaly as that might be).
I'm not following this argument... An authentic asshole, who doesn't try to filter his public behavior or reactions like an adult but instead flys off the handle with sweaty red faced tantrums at every offense, who hurls playground insults and publically bullies any and all opponents, is someone who reflects well on our country? A president who publically questions who is a bigger enemy of the United States, a communist adversary or the President of the Fed? A man who takes the word of Russia over his own intelligence community? The tone and demeanor of Donald Trump is a stain on the executive branch. I am no fan of race baiting identity politics in the Democratic party or even many of their policies but Trump is an awful leader and a corrupt narrcistic megalomaniac. He has all the qualities of a banana republic dictator. I cannot understand how this is not painfully obvious.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by stuper1 » Tue Oct 08, 2019 9:38 pm

doodle wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 8:35 pm
A president who publically questions who is a bigger enemy of the United States, a communist adversary or the President of the Fed? A man who takes the word of Russia over his own intelligence community?
I suspect he has shown excellent judgment in both of those examples you gave above.

Is the communist adversary Russia or some other country? Either way, it doesn't matter, I suspect the President of the Fed is a bigger enemy to our wellbeing.

Our own intelligence community has already shown itself many times to be Trump's enemy. I would trust them little if I were him.

As for the rest of it, like I said, if some Boy/Girl Scout with an excellent demeanor and policies arises, then by all means vote for that person. As it is, we don't have much to pick from. Big government is not the answer to our ills.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by flyingpylon » Wed Oct 09, 2019 5:20 am

doodle wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 8:35 pm
So, yes, compared to what else is on offer, I personally think that Trump's demeanor reflects well on our country. He's comfortable in his own skin (as creepy and scaly as that might be).
I'm not following this argument... An authentic asshole, who doesn't try to filter his public behavior or reactions like an adult but instead flys off the handle with sweaty red faced tantrums at every offense, who hurls playground insults and publically bullies any and all opponents, is someone who reflects well on our country? A president who publically questions who is a bigger enemy of the United States, a communist adversary or the President of the Fed? A man who takes the word of Russia over his own intelligence community? The tone and demeanor of Donald Trump is a stain on the executive branch. I am no fan of race baiting identity politics in the Democratic party or even many of their policies but Trump is an awful leader and a corrupt narrcistic megalomaniac. He has all the qualities of a banana republic dictator. I cannot understand how this is not painfully obvious.
Different people want different things from their “leaders”. I have to put leaders in quotes because given their performance, I often question why we use that term to describe politicians.

Anyway, for me it’s about style vs substance. I prefer and expect officials at every level to put their constituents first and fight for them when it’s required. Sometimes the right people for that job come with flaws that have to be tolerated or overlooked. I am much more willing to put up with Trump’s antics than to allow yet another phony “kinder, gentler” politician to give us “all the feels” while secretly selling the country out in a multitude of ways.

Many people voted for Trump in order to throw a bomb into the swamp and see what happens. Although a thorough draining is unrealistic, you have to start somewhere and it’s worth a shot. Maybe it’ll all go to hell in a hand basket, who knows. But it’s clear that many of the most dire predictions about Trump simply have not come true.

Some people will never get over the style issues, and that’s fine. But when you cannot understand how things are not painfully obvious to others, you have to consider that they may be using different criteria by which to judge.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by doodle » Wed Oct 09, 2019 5:59 am

flyingpylon wrote:
Wed Oct 09, 2019 5:20 am
doodle wrote:
Tue Oct 08, 2019 8:35 pm
So, yes, compared to what else is on offer, I personally think that Trump's demeanor reflects well on our country. He's comfortable in his own skin (as creepy and scaly as that might be).
I'm not following this argument... An authentic asshole, who doesn't try to filter his public behavior or reactions like an adult but instead flys off the handle with sweaty red faced tantrums at every offense, who hurls playground insults and publically bullies any and all opponents, is someone who reflects well on our country? A president who publically questions who is a bigger enemy of the United States, a communist adversary or the President of the Fed? A man who takes the word of Russia over his own intelligence community? The tone and demeanor of Donald Trump is a stain on the executive branch. I am no fan of race baiting identity politics in the Democratic party or even many of their policies but Trump is an awful leader and a corrupt narrcistic megalomaniac. He has all the qualities of a banana republic dictator. I cannot understand how this is not painfully obvious.
Different people want different things from their “leaders”. I have to put leaders in quotes because given their performance, I often question why we use that term to describe politicians.

Anyway, for me it’s about style vs substance. I prefer and expect officials at every level to put their constituents first and fight for them when it’s required. Sometimes the right people for that job come with flaws that have to be tolerated or overlooked. I am much more willing to put up with Trump’s antics than to allow yet another phony “kinder, gentler” politician to give us “all the feels” while secretly selling the country out in a multitude of ways.

Many people voted for Trump in order to throw a bomb into the swamp and see what happens. Although a thorough draining is unrealistic, you have to start somewhere and it’s worth a shot. Maybe it’ll all go to hell in a hand basket, who knows. But it’s clear that many of the most dire predictions about Trump simply have not come true.

Some people will never get over the style issues, and that’s fine. But when you cannot understand how things are not painfully obvious to others, you have to consider that they may be using different criteria by which to judge.

Besides setting policy the president is also the figurehead of the nation and as such is supposed to at least embody certain ideals or characteristics that constitute decency, morality, bravery. Trump is no leader to admire. Besides obstruction of justice...(trying to fire Robert Mueller) and collusion with foreign governments to influence elections as well as having his mental stability and capacity routinely questioned by those who have worked in proximity to him... he is a giant manbaby who throws tantrums when he doesn't get his way. He is a whiner who screams about how unfair everything is, yet fails to recognize that the silver spoon he was born with wasn't fair either. This is the type of leader who is going to make America great again? A pouty, overly sensitive, whiny manchild? The prostitutes and hush money, the shady business dealings. Speaking of substance, look up his history with Deutsche Bank...shocking. not exactly the operations of a normal functioning business....more like weird shady bilking of investors and manipulation of a corrupt banking entity. I have worked with contractors and construction workers who years ago did construction for Trump and had nothing but negative things to say about him. How he wouldn't pay them for work they did. How he would come in after work was done and offer them half of what he had agreed to and then tie them up with legal threats. How is that substance? That's smoke and mirrors. The guy is a scumbag, not a leader, not a business icon. I'm not saying that politicians as a whole aren't corrupt and shady, although there are many decent ones, I'm saying that Trump embodies all the greed, corruption, narcism, and selfishness that I think will eventually crush our republic. While Bush or Obama might not be icons themselves I at least had respect for them as humans, whereas I wouldn't want to spend five minutes in a room together with Trump. Now, I do agree with many of his policies however the way in which he is attempting to implement and deliver them is tearing our nation apart. I'm no fan of illegal imigration for example but to package that issue as one which demonizes immigrants as dangerous rapists sets a tone that then leads to a certain paranoia and rage among people that can end in tragedy. He ratchets up the fear and anger because he himself is not a gounded well adjusted human. He has all the same personality characteristics of a Saddam Hussein or Fidel Castro except he is fortunately limited by the foresight of our founding fathers. You don't think he wouldnt carry through on his hintings to kill the whistle blower if his ability to do such weren't limited? Listen to the man he hides nothing, "in my great and unmatched wisdom"...this is exactly the leader that our founding fathers worried would one day come along and why they spent so much time drafting a constitution to protect us against them.
Last edited by doodle on Wed Oct 09, 2019 7:08 am, edited 7 times in total.
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Re: Will Trump be Re-elected?

Post by doodle » Wed Oct 09, 2019 6:09 am

secretly selling the country out in a multitude of ways.
Please elaborate. In what ways? There are forces at play here that go beyond executive branch policy. I would argue that the forces of free market capitalism and technology account for most of the struggles of the middle and lower classes. The wealthy in our country have never done better than over the last 30 years.
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