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Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 10:52 am
by dualstow
They might even start levying taxes!  :o
RIYADH, Saudi Arabia — Stung by falling oil prices, Saudi Arabia has cut spending and subsidies as part of harsh austerity measures that threaten the lavish welfare programs underpinning its stability. The oil-exporting giant’s economy has gone from producing windfalls to deficits, and Saudi rulers increasingly struggle to provide the cushy government jobs, expensive state handouts and tax-free living that have long bought them domestic obedience.

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... in October, the International Monetary Fund warned that the government, which projects a deficit of $87 billion for 2016, could run out of money within five years if it did not tighten spending.
http://wapo.st/1QJf2XZ

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 11:44 am
by Mountaineer
Perhaps they could import some of our brilliant wizards to give some strategic advice.

... M

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Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 11:50 am
by LazyInvestor
Maybe oil price will go up soon...

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 11:51 am
by dualstow
MangoMan wrote: Can't they just print more money? They are, after all, a currency issuer.
I suppose so. Then they'll be livin' large, like Zimbabwe.

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 1:26 pm
by dualstow
TennPaGa wrote: They could certainly run deficits, yes.  As MangoMan acknowledges, they can't actually run out of money.  OTOH, there are risks with such a strategy.  I would expect that Saudi Arabia does not have a broad-based economy
90% is from oil, according to the article.

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 1:46 pm
by ochotona
Saudi Aramco laid off a bunch of people at its Houston R&D center down the road here. They are trying to conserve cash. They are getting stressed.

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 2:45 pm
by Pointedstick
I thought their deliberate over-production was designed to crash the price of oil below the point of profitability for expensive American producers and drive them out of the market. Is this just blowback? How deliciously ironic.

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 3:55 pm
by dualstow
ochotona wrote: Saudi Aramco laid off a bunch of people at its Houston R&D center down the road here. They are trying to conserve cash. They are getting stressed.
Interesting!

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Feb 27, 2016 4:21 pm
by Reub
Would you run out of money if you had the world's largest oil well in your backyard and have the ability to determine it's price?

Re: Saudi Arabia Could Run out of $ in Five Years

Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2016 12:29 pm
by MachineGhost
Reub wrote: Would you run out of money if you had the world's largest oil well in your backyard and have the ability to determine it's price?
No, but your accumulated liabilities may overwhelm your cash flow which continues to decrease in value.  It's self-delusion to think anyone can set the price of anything short of a total monopoly.

SA will just issue bonds to make up the shortfall.  But SA isn't a currency issuer.  They are constrained by the liabilities and oil revenue.  They don't really have a productive economy with everyone and their mother living off the oil socialism.  A house of cards, indeed!