An adaptive permanent portfolio
Posted: Sat Jan 23, 2016 5:34 am
I have been reading a little bit about an adaptive permanent portfolio from a former hedge fund manager.
http://www.tradevenue.se/SpreZZaturian/ ... -portfolio
Is there an easy way to backtest this?
http://www.tradevenue.se/SpreZZaturian/ ... -portfolio
What do you think about this?A more adaptive model, that I strongly advocate, increases the stock weights by 15%-points for every consecutive negative year on the stock market: 25%, 40%, 55% etc all the way up to 100% after five consecutive negative years (at which point you would have zero weight for the other three asset classes). Halve the stock weight after the first up-year but with a floor at 25%.
Another (daring) amendment could be reducing the stock weight by 6% points for every consecutive up-year that returns above 25%. After five such years you would be 5% net short in stocks. Or, set a floor at 0%, prohibiting yourself from going short.
Is there an easy way to backtest this?