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Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2015 2:53 pm
by Jack Jones
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... se-anymore

I couldn't really make much sense of this.

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2015 7:02 pm
by buddtholomew
It tells me that treasuries are becoming more risky than corporates of the same duration.

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 4:35 pm
by MachineGhost
This sounds like the very defintion of Tight Money which is why I've been raising cash.

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 4:40 pm
by Greg
MachineGhost wrote: This sounds like the very defintion of Tight Money which is why I've been raising cash.
Raising cash? Any idea how much of your portfolio is in cash right now percentage-wise?

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 6:02 pm
by MachineGhost
Greg wrote: Raising cash? Any idea how much of your portfolio is in cash right now percentage-wise?
About 63%, up about 13%.

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 6:21 pm
by Greg
up 13% from where? 50%?

(50 + 13 = 63)

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 6:42 pm
by MachineGhost
Yep!

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 6:50 pm
by Greg
Wow. that's a lot of dry powder as Craig would put it. You are quite the pessimist hah. :)

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Tue Nov 17, 2015 6:53 pm
by MachineGhost
Greg wrote: Wow. that's a lot of dry powder as Craig would put it. You are quite the pessimist hah. :)
More like I couldn't find any value!  Stocks -- nope.  Bonds -- risky.  Gold -- downtrend.  At least I nibbled.

I do think we're going to look back at this losing year as "Tight Money"...  even if its more psychological than fact.  But since when did facts ever move the market???

Re: Swap Spread Negative

Posted: Wed Nov 18, 2015 2:29 pm
by iwealth
MachineGhost wrote:
Greg wrote: Wow. that's a lot of dry powder as Craig would put it. You are quite the pessimist hah. :)
More like I couldn't find any value!  Stocks -- nope.  Bonds -- risky.  Gold -- downtrend.  At least I nibbled.

I do think we're going to look back at this losing year as "Tight Money"...  even if its more psychological than fact.  But since when did facts ever move the market???
There's probably value in the energy sector if you were feeling crazy brave.