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Percentages for those just deploying PP

Posted: Wed Jan 05, 2011 7:04 am
by D
Given recent bulls in gold and bonds, would it make sense for those just deploying PP to start with lower percentages of these assets? Maybe something like for those coming from large cash and equity portfolio

15% gold
15% bonds
35% stocks
35% cash

Re: Percentages for those just deploying PP

Posted: Wed Jan 05, 2011 8:24 am
by moda0306
If you look at the history of the PP, recently strongly performing assets have a tendency to perform well, not poorly, in the following year.  That's part of the reason why, if I'm remembering right, Harry Browne suggested not rebalancing until you hit the 35/15 bands.

If you scour this board, you'll see there's a "relative strength" permanent portfolio suggested as your variable portfolio (or part of it) that overweights the two best assets from the preceding year of the permanent portfolio.

Re: Percentages for those just deploying PP

Posted: Wed Jan 05, 2011 8:26 am
by Boeing737
I would stick to the original Harry plan of 25/25/25/25. When I started out LT bonds were high but are lower now. You can never predict which asset class will be in favor.

Re: Percentages for those just deploying PP

Posted: Wed Jan 05, 2011 9:18 am
by MediumTex
I would just follow the recipe.

No need to fix what isn't broken.

Re: Percentages for those just deploying PP

Posted: Thu Jan 06, 2011 12:25 am
by craigr
Ain't broke so don't fix it. Who's to say that stocks aren't overvalued now? We just don't know.