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Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2010 8:58 pm
by craigr
Well the end is near and the 4x25 portfolio was in the +15-16% range for the year. Numbers will fluctuate slightly as end of year dividends, etc. roll into the funds. But it's close enough for government work. Here is my write-up:
https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133 ... 0-results/
Happy New Year!
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2011 11:40 am
by moda0306
One more year, and we'll officially have 40 years of proof that the PP is as amazing as we all hope/know/think it is.
Congrats everyone.
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2011 12:57 pm
by bigamish
Just my luck that I only was able to complete the establishment of my PP last week. Here's hoping that 2011 is just as good!
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Sat Jan 01, 2011 10:51 pm
by Gumby
moda0306 wrote:
One more year, and we'll officially have 40 years of proof that the PP is as amazing as we all hope/know/think it is.
Congrats everyone.
Congrats to everyone. Harry Browne would be proud of the PP living on here in cyberspace.
btw, moda0306, we already have a 40 year proof. Harry Browne's chart of the PP
shows results from 1970.
Here's to 40 years!
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Sun Jan 02, 2011 6:42 pm
by Lone Wolf
Another great year. Thanks for the update, Craig, and congratulations all!
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Tue Jan 04, 2011 5:03 pm
by gonetowindsurf
Craigr - you mentioned rebalancing gold in your blog posting. Can you please elaborate? My guess would be that those who purchased as late as 09 would need to rebalance, and those that have been in for 5 years would have rebalanced at least twice now - and would that money go into cash - because none of the other assets reached the lower band?
thanks
mike
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Tue Jan 04, 2011 5:17 pm
by MediumTex
gonetowindsurf wrote:
Craigr - you mentioned rebalancing gold in your blog posting. Can you please elaborate? My guess would be that those who purchased as late as 09 would need to rebalance, and those that have been in for 5 years would have rebalanced at least twice now - and would that money go into cash - because none of the other assets reached the lower band?
thanks
mike
When one asset hits a rebalancing point, you rebalance the entire portfolio.
Re: Permanent Portfolio 2010 Results
Posted: Tue Jan 04, 2011 5:31 pm
by craigr
gonetowindsurf wrote:
Craigr - you mentioned rebalancing gold in your blog posting. Can you please elaborate? My guess would be that those who purchased as late as 09 would need to rebalance, and those that have been in for 5 years would have rebalanced at least twice now - and would that money go into cash - because none of the other assets reached the lower band?
thanks
mike
Unfortunately rebalancing is going to also be portfolio dependent varying on tax situations, etc. But I mention gold as a friendly nudge that people should rebalance it if it is too high. Of all the assets, gold has the most emotional attachment for many. They either hate it or they are getting panicked about the news and won't sell it.
What I am suggesting is that if you have hit the upper band, you sell it down to 25% and use the proceeds to buy up your laggards whichever they may be in your portfolio. It's going to be time dependent. For some, the stocks may still be lagging. For others it may be the LT bonds. For others still the cash.
As Tex said, you can rebalance the entire thing, but if you are taxable you may not want to do this outright. You could instead just take the gold profits and buy up the biggest loser, second loser, etc. until depleted and limit sales in assets that are in between. There isn't necessarily a one size fits all solution. You need to evaluate your own position and make a decision.
But I mention gold because it has gone up a lot for most people following the portfolio and I suspect many are at, or very near, the upper band. They should rebalance if needed.