30 year note correlation to 2x 10 year notes?
Posted: Mon Dec 23, 2013 8:04 am
Is my thinking incorrect? If I buy 30 year treasuries - does that mean that I am committed to PP for 30 years? I have a hard time committing to a 30 year strategy. Plus, I have my own personal opinion about the risk of the 30 year - including a selected default mechanism, ie the Treasury defaulting on the FED debt. Call me crazy but that is how I feel and I can't shake it. (Who would have thought the FED would become the largest purchaser of US obligations?)
That said, it appears that I can I buy twice as many 10 years and get close to the volatility of the 30year? Looking at a long term chart comparing TLT to IEF, it appears that I can match the volatility with 2x IEF - (at least using those two proxies as comparison). To me that would be a safer alternative, because of the shorter time frame but maybe I am missing something?
That said, it appears that I can I buy twice as many 10 years and get close to the volatility of the 30year? Looking at a long term chart comparing TLT to IEF, it appears that I can match the volatility with 2x IEF - (at least using those two proxies as comparison). To me that would be a safer alternative, because of the shorter time frame but maybe I am missing something?