PP Alternative
Posted: Sat Mar 23, 2013 9:26 pm
I've been playing around with some backtesting---Simba's spreadsheet and some other backtesting tools--and I'm wondering if some of this forum's more experienced investor's would comment on whether or not they think a portfolio with a Vanguard Wellesley (VWINX) core is a worthy alternative to PP. Specifically, 75% Wellesley, 10% LTT and 15% gold produces backtesting results very competitive with PP:
PP 4x25
1972-2011
CAGR Nominal 9.67 Real 5.10
SDEV Nominal 7.99 Real 7.21
SHARPE Nominal 0.57 Real 0.60
Max Drawdown 4.1%
$10,000 rebalanced grew theoretically $73,195 (real)
75% Wellesley + 10% LTT + 15% Gold
1972-2011
CAGR Nominal 10.27 Real 5.67
SDEV Nominal 7.24 Real 7.51
SHARPE Nominal 0.70 Real 0.66
Max Drawdown 4.4%
$10,000 rebalanced grew theoretically to $90,889 (real)
In addition to the active management risk associated with Wellesley, the fund's great track record notwithstanding, the credit risk associated with the fund's corporate bond holdings, and the slightly higher max drawdown, what drawbacks am I missing?
PP 4x25
1972-2011
CAGR Nominal 9.67 Real 5.10
SDEV Nominal 7.99 Real 7.21
SHARPE Nominal 0.57 Real 0.60
Max Drawdown 4.1%
$10,000 rebalanced grew theoretically $73,195 (real)
75% Wellesley + 10% LTT + 15% Gold
1972-2011
CAGR Nominal 10.27 Real 5.67
SDEV Nominal 7.24 Real 7.51
SHARPE Nominal 0.70 Real 0.66
Max Drawdown 4.4%
$10,000 rebalanced grew theoretically to $90,889 (real)
In addition to the active management risk associated with Wellesley, the fund's great track record notwithstanding, the credit risk associated with the fund's corporate bond holdings, and the slightly higher max drawdown, what drawbacks am I missing?