forecasts.org - Predicting 30 Year Bond Rates in the Future, etc.
Posted: Fri Jun 15, 2012 2:00 pm
I found this interesting website, not sure how many others have seen it though.
http://www.forecasts.org/30yrT.htm
It looks to be a website dedicated to determining when to purchase/sell bonds due to their qualitative model. I'm not sure how much I trust it but from their knowledge, they see 30 year bonds going up to 3.23 +/- .30% with an 80% correct (my guess is confidence) by November of 2012. It'd be interesting to see if this stuff is hogwash or not.
If this is true, for those in accumulation stage, it might make sense to purchase EE bonds instead of 30 Year bonds if this will be the case. Then again, it might not be true and market timing could be considered heresy here.
edit: Actually looking more into the website, it looks like they are predicting gold to drop by a bit, stocks to drop, and bond rates to rise. Perhaps they're then thinking recession? Good time for cash? Again, "market timing".
http://www.forecasts.org/30yrT.htm
It looks to be a website dedicated to determining when to purchase/sell bonds due to their qualitative model. I'm not sure how much I trust it but from their knowledge, they see 30 year bonds going up to 3.23 +/- .30% with an 80% correct (my guess is confidence) by November of 2012. It'd be interesting to see if this stuff is hogwash or not.
If this is true, for those in accumulation stage, it might make sense to purchase EE bonds instead of 30 Year bonds if this will be the case. Then again, it might not be true and market timing could be considered heresy here.
edit: Actually looking more into the website, it looks like they are predicting gold to drop by a bit, stocks to drop, and bond rates to rise. Perhaps they're then thinking recession? Good time for cash? Again, "market timing".