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NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 3:59 pm
by Gosso
Here is an interesting discussion with Neil DeGrasse Tyson regarding the importance of a healthy NASA. (18:45 min – but it feels like 2 min if you’re a nerd like me)

http://www.cbc.ca/q/blog/2012/03/28/nei ... yson-on-q/
Astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson argues that space exploration isn't only a great economic driver and a creator of technological innovation, he says it's about a country's identity, dreams, and plans for the future.  Jian spoke with Neil deGrasse Tyson about why he feels it is imperative that the American space program be better funded, and why he's made it such a priority to foster science literacy.
Here are a few questions:

-  Should our best and brightest scientists and engineers be limited by capitalistic/political restraints?  I don’t believe these people are motivated by money/power but rather the desire to explore and discover.
-  Does Space Exploration and NASA inspire the youth to become scientists and engineers?  I know that Marc Garneau inspired me.
-  Have we stopped dreaming and lost our excitement for the future?  It seems society has become stagnant and overly fearful of everything.
-  Is it possible to place a value on the new technology that would be generated from the innovation that will occur through Space Exploration?
-  What is the value of a terraformed Moon and/or Mars? (I’m half joking)

Thoughts?

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 5:38 pm
by AdamA
I think a lot of people think of space exploration as man's natural next step in evolution.  It's part of the technology-solves-all delusion.

While I like NASA for the reasons mentioned above, I'm not a big fan of manned space travel, and I also NASA feeds this idea that mankind will expand indefinitely into the universe.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:27 pm
by Gosso
AdamA wrote: I think a lot of people think of space exploration as man's natural next step in evolution.  It's part of the technology-solves-all delusion.

While I like NASA for the reasons mentioned above, I'm not a big fan of manned space travel, and I also NASA feeds this idea that mankind will expand indefinitely into the universe.
It's possible I have been watching too much Cosmos and Through the Wormhole, but I have to think that space exploration should be one of the top priorities of an advanced society such as ours.  There seems to be an innate desire to understand and explore the Universe.  I agree with Tyson that there would be an incalculable benefit to society, through innovation in technology and a sense of purpose and achievement. 

What great things have we done lately as a society?  Justin Bieber and Snooki don't count  ;D

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:49 pm
by MediumTex
I believe that humanity has already ventured as far from the Earth as it ever will.  In fact, I think it is likely that there will never even be another manned mission to the moon.

The reason that no one wants to say these things is that space exploration is very much like a religious belief within a secular technology-oriented society.

In other words, we have traded our belief in a deity and heaven from the past for a belief in humans becoming god-like as they actually seek to explore "heaven" in the form of space travel.

It is a powerful narrative that appeals to a rational mind that has turned away from beliefs in the supernatural, but still longs for something fantastic on which to focus the imagination.

It's not unusual for mythology to create fantasy-based narratives that roughly track the actual exploits of recent heroes.  Thus, what many of today's "cargoist" believers in technology-driven utopias are unconsciously doing is simply extrapolating actual events from the past into outrageous future projections. 

I don't think it does any harm to believe these things, even though manned space flight probably peaked about 40 years ago.  In fact, if a person is going to adopt a mythology, a belief in manned space exploration is probably one of the more harmless things that he might believe, and it can actually be the basis for a deep sense of optimism about the future of humanity.

From an anthropological perspective, it will be fascinating to see how the process I am describing evolves over time.  Normally, the farther you get from the genesis-event in a mythological system, the more disconnected from reality the mythological narrative becomes.  I can easily imagine churches 500 years from now that have reproductions of Saturn V rockets in the place of today's crosses and Tang as part of the communion ritual.  I would anticipate that Neil Armstrong will figure prominently in these belief systems, with Buzz Aldrin probably in a Peter-like role.  Gus Grissom might be featured as a John the Baptist-type figure (i.e., an early martyr for the cause).  The fact that the events giving rise to the belief system involve the moon will just make it that much easier for future humans to embrace the new mythology, since humans throughout history have already demonstrated a willingness to worship the moon without any hint that humans might ever actually go there and return to the earth.

Think about it. 

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:10 pm
by l82start
i kind of think manned space exploration is pretty much at its end as well, the effort, cost and risk involved is to high for the meager returns. i still think we have a future in space however.
i see no reason (except for potential upcoming economic catastrophe's that might slow or stop it ) why we aren't at the dawn of the era of unmanned and robotic exploration. there is plenty to learn through exploration, and although far fetched at the moment, possibly useful resources to be taken advantage of, not to mention the advances in autonomous and semi autonomous technology, picture unmanned drones flying in and out of robot mines on mars or the moons of Saturn, exploratory vehicles spelunking caves on Pluto, national geographic filming imax documentaries from mercury.. 

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:13 pm
by MediumTex
l82start wrote: i kind of think manned space exploration is pretty much at its end as well, the effort, cost and risk involved is to high for the meager returns. i still think we have a future in space however.
i see no reason (except for potential upcoming economic catastrophe's that might slow or stop it ) why we aren't at the dawn of the era of unmanned and robotic exploration. there is plenty to learn through exploration, and although far fetched at the moment, possibly useful resources to be taken advantage of, not to mention the advances in autonomous and semi autonomous technology, picture unmanned drones flying in and out of robot mines on mars or the moons of Saturn, exploratory vehicles spelunking caves on Pluto, national geographic filming imax documentaries from mercury..   
I agree.

I think that satellites will continue to be amazing tools, and the same trend we see in the military toward better and better unmanned aircraft will play out with spacecraft as well.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:24 pm
by Alanw
l82start wrote: i kind of think manned space exploration is pretty much at its end as well, the effort, cost and risk involved is to high for the meager returns. i still think we have a future in space however.
i see no reason (except for potential upcoming economic catastrophe's that might slow or stop it ) why we aren't at the dawn of the era of unmanned and robotic exploration. there is plenty to learn through exploration, and although far fetched at the moment, possibly useful resources to be taken advantage of,    
Manned space travel may be at an end until we are close to using up all of earth's natural resources. Remember Avatar.  Might be closer than we think.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:26 pm
by rhymenocerous
Space exploration is definitely something we should take seriously.  The sun won't live forever and as it transitions into a white dwarf, the Earth will be destroyed.  While this is millions of years into the future, the human race will have to eventually leave the planet if it wants to survive (assuming it is still around millions of years from now!).  While the idea of finding another Earth-like planet is a cool one, the reality is that we are limited in how fast we can travel by the speed of light, so it would take tens or hundreds of thousands of years to get there.  Therefore, everyone will need to board some kind of giant spacecraft on which to live and survive.  While we are no where near having the technological capabilities to construct such a spacecraft, I've always felt we should be moving closer towards this goal, not further away.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:27 pm
by MediumTex
Alanw wrote:
l82start wrote: i kind of think manned space exploration is pretty much at its end as well, the effort, cost and risk involved is to high for the meager returns. i still think we have a future in space however.
i see no reason (except for potential upcoming economic catastrophe's that might slow or stop it ) why we aren't at the dawn of the era of unmanned and robotic exploration. there is plenty to learn through exploration, and although far fetched at the moment, possibly useful resources to be taken advantage of,    
Manned space travel may be at an end until we are close to using up all of earth's natural resources. Remember Avatar.  Might be closer than we think.
The problem is that manned space travel is itself an enormous consumer of natural resources.  Any resource we found somewhere else would have to be an ENORMOUSLY useful source of power or other critical natural resource.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:36 pm
by MediumTex
rhymenocerous wrote: Space exploration is definitely something we should take seriously.  The sun won't live forever and as it transitions into a white dwarf, the Earth will be destroyed .  While this is millions of years into the future, the human race will have to eventually leave the planet if it wants to survive (assuming it is still around millions of years from now!).  While the idea of finding another Earth-like planet is a cool one, the reality is that we are limited in how fast we can travel by the speed of light, so it would take tens or hundreds of thousands of years to get there.  Therefore, everyone will need to board some kind of giant spacecraft on which to live and survive.  While we are no where near having the technological capabilities to construct such a spacecraft, I've always felt we should be moving closer towards this goal, not further away.
If the dinosaurs were capable of humor, do you think that they would laugh at us for planning an escape from earth millions of years from now when humans have only even existed for 250,000 years or so?

It seems to me that the dinosaurs would point out to us that we are at far greater risk of destroying ourselves in any number of ways than because we waited too long to build a space version of Noah's Ark to protect against a risk that is millions of years in the future.

But I can relate to the way the narrative you are describing does sort of tickle the imagination, and for us alive today (who obviously won't be around when the sun burns out) the real value of the storyline may just be that it makes us feel better about our world, our species and the future.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:41 pm
by Alanw
My reference to Avatar was facetious; although, not that far fetched when considering how fast man is using up earth's resources. Once we get close to depleting a majority of our resources, man' s struggle with other men will only become more severe IMHO.  I would like to think that man's time on earth will be long lasting and that we could evolve into one peace loving society, but with todays technology and weaponry and viewing the history of mankind, things will have to change drastically.

On the other hand, today's and tomorrow's technology may make it possible to easily feed and house the world's population without depleting our resources.  I didn't want to be viewed as being too pessimistic.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 9:48 pm
by Gosso
l82start wrote: i kind of think manned space exploration is pretty much at its end as well, the effort, cost and risk involved is to high for the meager returns. i still think we have a future in space however.
i see no reason (except for potential upcoming economic catastrophe's that might slow or stop it ) why we aren't at the dawn of the era of unmanned and robotic exploration. there is plenty to learn through exploration, and although far fetched at the moment, possibly useful resources to be taken advantage of, not to mention the advances in autonomous and semi autonomous technology, picture unmanned drones flying in and out of robot mines on mars or the moons of Saturn, exploratory vehicles spelunking caves on Pluto, national geographic filming imax documentaries from mercury.. 
Well I can't say I disagree with the comments of MT and I82, but I sure hope you're wrong :)

I agree with the religious accept of it, and I was going to make this comment myself but didn't want to sound too crazy.  There is a hunger for some type of meaning beyond the current religions, since most of them have lost their way.  I think it would be great if we replaced the old religions with something based in science with an emphasis on exploration. The religious aspects would go a long way in gaining public support as well.

Re: NASA

Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2012 10:34 pm
by MediumTex
Alanw wrote: My reference to Avatar was facetious; although, not that far fetched when considering how fast man is using up earth's resources. Once we get close to depleting a majority of our resources, man' s struggle with other men will only become more severe IMHO.  I would like to think that man's time on earth will be long lasting and that we could evolve into one peace loving society, but with todays technology and weaponry and viewing the history of mankind, things will have to change drastically.

On the other hand, today's and tomorrow's technology may make it possible to easily feed and house the world's population without depleting our resources.  I didn't want to be viewed as being too pessimistic.
I think that part of being satisfied with existence is in understanding its boundaries.

Take a single human life, for example.  Putting aside speculation surrounding what may or may not happen following biological death, we know that a single human lifetime has some upward boundary that is based on the genetic programming that is built into the body.  This life expectancy can probably be tweaked to get people to 110-120 years, but it's very unlikely to be tweaked to get people to 500-600 years.  In other words, there is probably a 100 year or so boundary around a human life in this dimension, and that boundary is part of what gives life urgency and meaning.  If I had several centuries to do what I wanted to do in life, I can't imagine how lazy I would become as suddenly almost nothing would have much urgency.

I think that there is a similar dynamic with respect to species.  Species have a certain life expectancy based upon a complex cluster of factors, including place in the food chain, climate conditions, availability of critical natural resources (food, air and water especially), and disease.  Sooner or later these factors conspire to wipe out 99% of all species.  The 1% that survive for very long periods such as sharks, ants and jellyfish are essentially just lucky (though being well-matched to your ecosystem and resilient in responding to changing conditions are important factors).  So this logic would suggest that homo sapiens may have a life expectancy as a species just like 99% of the other species that have ever lived.  I see nothing about homo sapiens that would suggest to me that the same rule don't apply to us as apply to other species.  It's true that we are VERY intelligent compared to most other life forms, but we also have a much greater tendency to kill each other (often on a large scale) than most other species, and I think that these two factors may ultimately cancel one another out.

We will, of course, do eveything in our power to prevent our own extinction, but our ability to take meaningful anti-extinction mitigation steps may be limited by individual self-interest conflcting with group interests, inter-group rivalries trumping overall species survival concerns and a basically short time horizon in our ability to make rational decisions (i.e., natural selection would not have any way of identifying members of our species who could make effective 100+ year plans because the planner would always be dead before the benefits of the superior insights about the future could be confirmed). 

One of the challenges our species is faced with is we are increasingly able to create problems that span longer than a single human lifetime, but we have a reasoning faculty that basically only works over time periods of one human lifetime or less.  Thus, the problems that take more than 100 years to unfold and/or would take over 100 years to solve simply don't register on most people's radars.  I think that this blind spot in our ability to make effective long-term plans could ultimately present a very serious threat to our survival.

There is something in us that makes us want to think of all things human as eternal and everlasting.  We like to think that we as individuals are immortal, we like to think that our species will live forever, and we like to think that our current institutions will exist into perpetuity.  These ideas comfort us and give wholeness to our lives and there is nothing wrong with that.  On another mental frequency, though, there is the idea that maybe all of that is wrong, and we are, both as a species and as individuals, transitory phenomena.  We are a blip in a multi-billion year story of the universe doing its thing.  We are like a single grain of sand on an enormous beach.  On a timeline of the universe, we may be a tiny mark on the scale from our earliest stirring of consciousness to the last breath of the last future human.  The problem with the message on this mental frequency is that people don't like the way it makes them feel; it bothers them; it makes them feel insignificant.  I would suggest, though, that knowledge of the transitory nature of something, even if it is you and your species, doesn't have to be a source of bad feelings.  It can just as easily be a cause for urgency and a desire to do things right the first time.

Wouldn't it be funny if there were many races of aliens who lived on a different time scale than us (perhaps these creatures live to be 10,000 years old), and they visited the earth on a very "regular" basis every 100,000 years.  In the earth's 4.5 billion year history these aliens would have visited the earth thousands of times, just checking things out to see what was happening here.  The last time they stopped by it might have been 50,000 years ago, when there wasn't much intelligent life to observe (though they might have inadvertently left behind some stone cutting tools).  When they return 50,000 years or so from now, they may find little more than they found last time they stopped by.  To these creatures, there may only be a vague sense that we ever even existed.  As they look through the records of our world they may find it amusing when they read about our current EPA planning a one million year storage plan for nuclear waste.  Upon seeing these plans, one alien may look at the other and say "Well, it looks like that didn't turn out quite the way they planned" as they both let out an alien snicker.

Re: NASA

Posted: Thu Mar 29, 2012 9:29 am
by Gosso
MT,

Sounds like we need to diversify away from the Earth. ;)  But I think I understand what you're saying, essentially we need to accept our current plight on the Earth and make the best of it, without getting our heads all mixed up in extreme and costly fantasies.

***

I posted this video of Neil deGrasse Tyson in the YouTube Junkie thread, but it definitely applies here as well (3:33):

http://youtu.be/9D05ej8u-gU

I realize it's partially moving because of the music behind it, but I find this video to be quite spiritual.  I admit I may have drank too much Tang from the Holy Grail of Carl Sagan, but it seems space exploration should be where we direct our society.  I also realize this likely won't happen with our current political and economic system...but I can dream.

Re: NASA

Posted: Thu Mar 29, 2012 10:40 am
by AdamA
MediumTex wrote:
I think that part of being satisfied with existence is in understanding its boundaries.
That is very well put.  I think this is something I've come to understand over the past few years (although I could have never expressed the sentiment as articulately).

I have found that thinking in these terms had made me a much more optimistic person.  Instead of fretting about potential catastrophies, I tend to appreciate the here and now much more.  It helped me to realize how lucky I am to be living where and when I am. 

Re: NASA

Posted: Thu Mar 29, 2012 12:06 pm
by MediumTex
AdamA wrote:
MediumTex wrote:
I think that part of being satisfied with existence is in understanding its boundaries.
That is very well put.  I think this is something I've come to understand over the past few years (although I could have never expressed the sentiment as articulately).

I have found that thinking in these terms had made me a much more optimistic person.  Instead of fretting about potential catastrophies, I tend to appreciate the here and now much more.  It helped me to realize how lucky I am to be living where and when I am. 
The fact that we exist at all as sentient beings and have the ability to perceive the world in the way that we do and express wonder at all that is around us would be an incredible miracle, even if it only lasted for five minutes.

It wouldn't be tragic that it only lasted 5 minutes, it would be miraculous that it happened at all.