Gyroscopic Investing

Posted: **Fri Aug 02, 2024 8:08 am**

It's 0.53 as of today, unless my math is wrong (which it might be). Look at the official graph later. It has a stellar track record.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

Posted: **Fri Aug 02, 2024 9:05 am**

ochotona wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 8:08 am It's 0.53 as of today, unless my math is wrong (which it might be). Look at the official graph later. It has a stellar track record.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME

Interesting. I've literally never heard of such an indicator till now. I'm looking it up and it seems like it could potentially be very insightful.

Posted: **Fri Aug 02, 2024 9:13 am**

https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/what ... ut-economy

I SELL equities if the S&P500 loses its 6 month moving average minus a 1% fudge factor, so I'm selling on Friday August 30, if $SPX >= 5246. That's -1.7% away from where we are now.

Posted: **Fri Aug 02, 2024 11:22 am**

ochotona wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 9:13 am https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/what ... ut-economy

I SELL equities if the S&P500 loses its 6 month moving average minus a 1% fudge factor, so I'm selling on Friday August 30, if $SPX >= 5246. That's -1.7% away from where we are now.

Selling…all of your equities?

Posted: **Wed Aug 07, 2024 4:30 pm**

Interview with Claudia Sahm posted an hour ago:

Posted: **Thu Aug 08, 2024 1:41 am**

S&P net profits 3.68% https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-earnings-yield

10 year 3.96%

Those are your options. Pretty close. whats the problem?

edit1 for more substance https://obliviousinvestor.com/investing ... ve-return/

Posted: **Tue Aug 13, 2024 5:36 am**

ochotona wrote: ↑Fri Aug 02, 2024 9:13 am https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/what ... ut-economy

I SELL equities if the S&P500 loses its 6 month moving average minus a 1% fudge factor, so I'm selling on Friday August 30, if $SPX >= 5246. That's -1.7% away from where we are now.

When do you buy?

Gyroscopic Investing

The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession

Re: The Sahm indicator just threw a signal - we are in a recession