0-to-3 months or 0-to-6 months Treasury Ladder
Posted: Fri Aug 05, 2011 9:02 am
I started the PP a little over 2 years ago and am very happy with it. Unfortunately, at the time, the Vanguard Treasury MMF was "temporarily" closed to new investments due to the drop in yield to the point where it couldn't cover the fund's expenses. Initially I had a lot of my cash in VG's Prime MMF, and later moved it into the VG Short Term Treasury Fund, as CraigR suggests he does.
I viewed this as a temporary measure until the Treasury MMF re-opened and not a market timing measure at all. In fact, I was sure rates on bonds would rise and I would lose some principal since I artificially extended the duration of my cash position longer than Harry Brown intended. However, this was a modest risk compared to default of the Prime MMF, so I assumed it.
Now that interest rates have dropped further, I have re-assessed my risk cost for this maneuver and have decided I would like to reduce the duration of my cash position to the intended range. Since the T-MMF is still closed, I am considering doing this with my own ladder. Most of the threads in this subforum describe making ladders from 0 to 3 years. That's far too long for me.
I'm seriously considering just doing a 30-day rollover, where 100% of my cash position is in 30-day t-bills, that I roll over the following month. I don't see a need to rebalance my PP more than once per month, and if I did, I can liquidate the t-bills as necessary mid-month.
My problem with this method is not the time involved in doing it, but the specificity of time involved. I might be busy working on the day they are set to expire, or it might be a weekend. Then the money would fall into my VG Prime MMF and essentially destroy my purpose for this strategy.
However, if I create a ladder from 0 to 3 months, with 1/3 in each of the one-month intervals, then at most 1/3 of my money would temporarily fall into the Prime MMF, and at most it would only be there for a few days until I had time to make bids on new issues. Thus, maybe 5% of the year, 1/3 of my cash portion would be at risk. That seems reasonable until the VG T-MMF reopens.
An additional reason for wanting to do this, is to avoid the expense ratio of the MMF. If all I have to do is log into my brokerage account for a few minutes each month, which I am going to do anyway to verify my assets have not been compromised, then I might as well create my own ladder and forgo paying expenses.
I currently use VG as my broker, and I believe they are considered subpar as compared to other options. However, I have Voyager status with VG so they don't charge me a brokerage fee, and I've had my money with them since I started my IRAs about 10 years ago and would prefer to keep them unless other brokerage are immensely better suited. It would be incredible if I could just set it on auto pilot and have the money from the 30 day t-bills automatically enter new 30 day t-bills upon expiration. I think you can do that with Treasury Direct, however I have 100% of my investments current in tax-sheltered vehicles so TD is not an option for me.
I'm looking for thoughts on both:
A) Is it reasonable to make my own 30-day revolving "ladder" or a 0-to-3 months ladder
B) What's the best way to do this given my 100% tax-sheltered status with a strong preference on keeping the money in VG for simplicity. If I have to transfer money to an IRA at another brokerage so that I can save 2 minutes each month on placing bids, then the paperwork/phone calls involved in the transfer would make it a net loss of my time to do so and it would be better to keep it at VG.
I viewed this as a temporary measure until the Treasury MMF re-opened and not a market timing measure at all. In fact, I was sure rates on bonds would rise and I would lose some principal since I artificially extended the duration of my cash position longer than Harry Brown intended. However, this was a modest risk compared to default of the Prime MMF, so I assumed it.
Now that interest rates have dropped further, I have re-assessed my risk cost for this maneuver and have decided I would like to reduce the duration of my cash position to the intended range. Since the T-MMF is still closed, I am considering doing this with my own ladder. Most of the threads in this subforum describe making ladders from 0 to 3 years. That's far too long for me.
I'm seriously considering just doing a 30-day rollover, where 100% of my cash position is in 30-day t-bills, that I roll over the following month. I don't see a need to rebalance my PP more than once per month, and if I did, I can liquidate the t-bills as necessary mid-month.
My problem with this method is not the time involved in doing it, but the specificity of time involved. I might be busy working on the day they are set to expire, or it might be a weekend. Then the money would fall into my VG Prime MMF and essentially destroy my purpose for this strategy.
However, if I create a ladder from 0 to 3 months, with 1/3 in each of the one-month intervals, then at most 1/3 of my money would temporarily fall into the Prime MMF, and at most it would only be there for a few days until I had time to make bids on new issues. Thus, maybe 5% of the year, 1/3 of my cash portion would be at risk. That seems reasonable until the VG T-MMF reopens.
An additional reason for wanting to do this, is to avoid the expense ratio of the MMF. If all I have to do is log into my brokerage account for a few minutes each month, which I am going to do anyway to verify my assets have not been compromised, then I might as well create my own ladder and forgo paying expenses.
I currently use VG as my broker, and I believe they are considered subpar as compared to other options. However, I have Voyager status with VG so they don't charge me a brokerage fee, and I've had my money with them since I started my IRAs about 10 years ago and would prefer to keep them unless other brokerage are immensely better suited. It would be incredible if I could just set it on auto pilot and have the money from the 30 day t-bills automatically enter new 30 day t-bills upon expiration. I think you can do that with Treasury Direct, however I have 100% of my investments current in tax-sheltered vehicles so TD is not an option for me.
I'm looking for thoughts on both:
A) Is it reasonable to make my own 30-day revolving "ladder" or a 0-to-3 months ladder
B) What's the best way to do this given my 100% tax-sheltered status with a strong preference on keeping the money in VG for simplicity. If I have to transfer money to an IRA at another brokerage so that I can save 2 minutes each month on placing bids, then the paperwork/phone calls involved in the transfer would make it a net loss of my time to do so and it would be better to keep it at VG.