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Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Sat May 04, 2024 7:16 am
by dualstow
Dieter wrote: Wed May 01, 2024 12:55 pm Well, looks like only removing the drones / missles that Iran shot at Israel
Still, that's at least some that can't go to Russia (plus however many Iran wants to keep on hand)
^ Right! ^

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Wed May 08, 2024 11:38 am
by dualstow
The Financial Times reports that Europe is preparing for more acts of sabotage perpetrated by Russian agents in Europe. They’ve already destroyed a Diehl arms factory in Germany, set fire to a UK warehouse full of aid meant for Ukraine. They attempted to derail trains in Sweden and destroy train sigaling systems in the Czech state.
“German-Russian nationals were arrested in Bayreuth, Bavaria, for allegedly plotting to attack military and logistics sites in Germany on behalf of Russia.“
and so on.
https://www.ft.com/content/c88509f9-c9b ... 2bdd3c3dd3

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Wed May 08, 2024 3:23 pm
by dualstow
Also, Ukraine’s domestic intelligence service says they have foiled an assassination plot. Two colonels in the state security service, the agency that is supposed to be keeping Zelensky alive, have been arrested. (FT)

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu May 09, 2024 11:19 am
by yankees60
dualstow wrote: Wed May 08, 2024 11:38 am The Financial Times reports that Europe is preparing for more acts of sabotage perpetrated by Russian agents in Europe. They’ve already destroyed a Diehl arms factory in Germany, set fire to a UK warehouse full of aid meant for Ukraine. They attempted to derail trains in Sweden and destroy train sigaling systems in the Czech state.
“German-Russian nationals were arrested in Bayreuth, Bavaria, for allegedly plotting to attack military and logistics sites in Germany on behalf of Russia.“
and so on.
https://www.ft.com/content/c88509f9-c9b ... 2bdd3c3dd3
Cannot get to the article. Does it say at all how the countries intent to respond? And, it's clear these are under Russian control and not independents?

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu May 09, 2024 11:19 am
by yankees60
dualstow wrote: Wed May 08, 2024 3:23 pm Also, Ukraine’s domestic intelligence service says they have foiled an assassination plot. Two colonels in the state security service, the agency that is supposed to be keeping Zelensky alive, have been arrested. (FT)
That is certainly NOT comforting news.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu May 09, 2024 11:34 am
by Xan

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu May 09, 2024 12:07 pm
by dualstow
( Sees 6 Notifications. Uh oh, there’s a bot posting. Checks. Oh, it’s Vinny O0 )

Vinny, it does confirm they are Russian agents from various departments, not lone wolves.
It doesn’t talk about a response so much as beefing up security and preparing for war. Finland particularly is getting ready for a full on invasion. But they’re always ready.

There are also articles about how natural gas is used to make fertilizer (!!!), so Russia has made up for some of the gas sales being squeezed by sanctions by just selling a bunch of fertilizer.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu May 09, 2024 12:10 pm
by yankees60
Thanks for this!

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Tue Jun 11, 2024 7:44 am
by dualstow
Controversial Azov Brigade is back. Well, they never left, but the U.S. has lifted the weapons ban
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wi ... -111009371

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Wed Jun 12, 2024 1:07 am
by boglerdude
Image

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Wed Jul 10, 2024 3:22 pm
by dualstow
The Excalibur artillery round performed wonders when it was introduced into the Ukrainian battlefield in the summer of 2022. Guided by GPS, the shells hit Russian tanks and artillery with surgical precision, as drones overhead filmed the resulting fireballs. That didn’t last. Within weeks, the Russian army started to adapt, using its formidable electronic warfare capabilities. It managed to interfere with the GPS guidance and fuzes, so that the shells would either go astray, fail to detonate, or both. By the middle of last year, the M982 Excalibur munitions, developed by RTX and BAE Systems, became essentially useless and are no longer employed, Ukrainian commanders say.
— from the WSJ, ‘ High-Tech American Weapons Work Against Russia—Until They Don’t’
7/10/24

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Tue Jul 16, 2024 9:37 pm
by dualstow
The Russians tried to kill the CEO of Rheinmetall, a “ German manufacturer of tanks, armored vehicles and ammunition.”
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/u-s-ge ... e-9cc497f3

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Wed Jul 17, 2024 10:32 pm
by yankees60
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/u ... ion-fears/

UkraineAlert

July 16, 2024

Russia’s retreat from Crimea makes a mockery of the West’s escalation fears
By Peter Dickinson

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 11:48 am
by dualstow
Happy for Paul Whelan and Even Gershkovich

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 12:33 pm
by Xan
dualstow wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 11:48 am Happy for Paul Whelan and Even Gershkovich

Definitely!

I just hope this doesn't encourage Russia to kidnap more "spies" as a way to get their own out of jail.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 1:43 pm
by yankees60
Xan wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 12:33 pm
dualstow wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 11:48 am Happy for Paul Whelan and Even Gershkovich

Definitely!

I just hope this doesn't encourage Russia to kidnap more "spies" as a way to get their own out of jail.
That is the way some people negotiate. Start with an extreme, extreme position so that the proverbial middle is not at all the middle or fair at all.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:02 pm
by Smith1776
yankees60 wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 1:43 pm
Xan wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 12:33 pm
dualstow wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 11:48 am Happy for Paul Whelan and Even Gershkovich

Definitely!

I just hope this doesn't encourage Russia to kidnap more "spies" as a way to get their own out of jail.
That is the way some people negotiate. Start with an extreme, extreme position so that the proverbial middle is not at all the middle or fair at all.
Ah indeed. Sometimes it works, but other times it backfires and causes the other party to walk away. A woman in HK offered a tea set for $200HKD. When we threatened to walk we got it for $60HKD. ;D

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:28 pm
by dualstow
Xan wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 12:33 pm I just hope this doesn't encourage Russia to kidnap more "spies" as a way to get their own out of jail.
Always a concern, but I don’t think they need any encouragement. O0 I just don’t understand how Griner got out so “quickly” (relatively), while Whelan languished in prison for nearly 6 years.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Thu Aug 08, 2024 6:39 pm
by dualstow
The incursion into Russian territory was an interesting surprise.
I wonder if they can afford it.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Fri Aug 09, 2024 10:54 am
by yankees60
dualstow wrote: Thu Aug 08, 2024 6:39 pm The incursion into Russian territory was an interesting surprise.
I wonder if they can afford it.
"Afford it" in which ways?

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Fri Aug 09, 2024 12:06 pm
by dualstow
yankees60 wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 10:54 am "Afford it" in which ways?
I mean in the sense of allocating troops and weapons to do that. If it doesn’t work out, it will be said that they spread themselves too thin. But, maybe they’re distracting Russian forces for some clever reason.
It’s an interesting gamble.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Fri Aug 09, 2024 12:28 pm
by seajay
dualstow wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 12:06 pm
yankees60 wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 10:54 am "Afford it" in which ways?
I mean in the sense of allocating troops and weapons to do that. If it doesn’t work out, it will be said that they spread themselves too thin. But, maybe they’re distracting Russian forces for some clever reason.
It’s an interesting gamble.
Putin has offered a "negotiated" settlement - but where that's been based on dictatorial terms, Russia gets to retain Crimea, Donbas ...etc. Trump being elected is perhaps inclined to induce a 'negotiated settlement' i.e. leaves Ukraine in a weak position and having lost land. If Ukraine in turn occupies some of Russia then that significantly changes things. Redraw the borders to the newer occupied lines and Ukraine loses Crimea/Donbas etc. but gains former Russian land that is just 300 miles away from Moscow. Less inclined to see a whitewash, more inclined to see the war continue and where Trump could up the support/supply of Ukraine after Putin pulls out of negotiations due to the terms being unacceptable. "Bad man, bad man, not a nice man" (Trump comment about Putin).

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Fri Aug 09, 2024 1:10 pm
by yankees60
seajay wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 12:28 pm
dualstow wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 12:06 pm
yankees60 wrote: Fri Aug 09, 2024 10:54 am "Afford it" in which ways?
I mean in the sense of allocating troops and weapons to do that. If it doesn’t work out, it will be said that they spread themselves too thin. But, maybe they’re distracting Russian forces for some clever reason.
It’s an interesting gamble.
Putin has offered a "negotiated" settlement - but where that's been based on dictatorial terms, Russia gets to retain Crimea, Donbas ...etc. Trump being elected is perhaps inclined to induce a 'negotiated settlement' i.e. leaves Ukraine in a weak position and having lost land. If Ukraine in turn occupies some of Russia then that significantly changes things. Redraw the borders to the newer occupied lines and Ukraine loses Crimea/Donbas etc. but gains former Russian land that is just 300 miles away from Moscow. Less inclined to see a whitewash, more inclined to see the war continue and where Trump could up the support/supply of Ukraine after Putin pulls out of negotiations due to the terms being unacceptable. "Bad man, bad man, not a nice man" (Trump comment about Putin).
It's looking less and less likely that Trump will be elected. He's made himself poison to too many people.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Fri Aug 09, 2024 2:22 pm
by dualstow
Well, that’s for another thread, Yankees.

Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II

Posted: Sat Aug 31, 2024 3:19 pm
by seajay
As Ukraine's in-house nuclear enrichment and ballistic missile developments near ready for testing, one has to wonder where they'll actually test as a declaration of capability. Foresee a year end 2024 for gold being a +25% year or more.