Has anyone looked into a momentum-based VP strategy based on the PP?
1. Buy prior year's best performing asset of the 4 PP asset classes.
2. Re-eval once a year.
3. Sell, once it's no longer the best performer and buy the current best performer.
4. Repeat.
Momentum VP
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Momentum VP
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Re: Momentum VP
wouldn't that often leave you buying low selling high?
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Re: Momentum VP
Adam,
I did a test run of a Relative Strength PP of different "best-performers" of a few different allocations and it backtested quite amazingly.
Doing like a 50/30/20 from highest to lowest of the best performers of Gold, Stocks, and LT bonds has done incredibly well.
I still believe in fundamental macroeconomics moreso than techinicals, though, so I have my doubts not so much of the ability for a RS PP to work, but for me to stick with it if it doesn't.
I did a test run of a Relative Strength PP of different "best-performers" of a few different allocations and it backtested quite amazingly.
Doing like a 50/30/20 from highest to lowest of the best performers of Gold, Stocks, and LT bonds has done incredibly well.
I still believe in fundamental macroeconomics moreso than techinicals, though, so I have my doubts not so much of the ability for a RS PP to work, but for me to stick with it if it doesn't.
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Re: Momentum VP
Absolutely.moda0306 wrote: I still believe in fundamental macroeconomics moreso than techinicals, though, so I have my doubts not so much of the ability for a RS PP to work, but for me to stick with it if it doesn't.
I would never put any more than very small amount of money into such a strategy...would be more for fun more than anything else.
I think most people underestimate this important point. Many strategies will work most of the time, but if you can't stick with them when they don't, then you'll never reap the benefits.
"All men's miseries derive from not being able to sit in a quiet room alone."
Pascal
Pascal