mathjak's daytrading adventures

[mathjak107]

not uso , but xom and cvx were pretty oversold

[mathjak107]

looking into berkshire class b for monday .....

i think up or down berkshire is situated to take advantage of things if they get worse and berkshire's poor choices have already taken its toll on the share price so it is down far more than say the s&p 500.... those billions can snatch up lots of companies if things get worse here so it is like a hedge .

this may be an example of a stock selling at a discount unlike most which are priced low because their business fell off.

this would be a longer hold as buying berkshire is really like buying a small mutual fund

[mathjak107]

Bought Berkshire today

[mathjak107]

sold berkshire as it was far a head of the total market yesterday morning ... rebought ivv which seems to be way a head of brkb this morning ...

[bedraggled]

MJ,

I noted you clarified your portfolio values saying all 4 parts had 7 digits. Tech asked clarification and you confirmed that, yes, each part had 7 digits to the left of the decimal point.

If we channel Wayne's World-

Garth: No way!

Mathjack: Way, man!!!

Anyway.

[mathjak107]

oops , no i am up to 800k in each part ..i thought he meant in total was it 7 digits . .....

i could go 7 digits in each but i think with the fact so many are jumping in to tlt and gld at this point i wouldn't commit anymore unless we roll back .

in fact just the opposite i want to trim a bit back after a run up like this and me breaking new all time highs in net worth despite being retired and drawing 6 figures a year for more than 5 years now .

we closed out our real estate LLC months ago and sold the remaining holdings to an investor group .so i threw it in the pp as the safest bet .

the pp is the only model i have been running .... we can easily see a depression as well as see a very weak dollar and inflation ... it is really uncharted waters here . i have not even been trading gld and tlt ... it has been pretty much straight up so if anything i was migrating money over from the other model i ran on the dips in tlt and gld . the other model which while 25% equities , does not have the lift of the pp ....

it was easy to migrate over since i could use the 25% equity position as it was .

it is never a good sign when so many on forums are buying those assets and never owned them before ......that has always been a red flag .

i wouldnt sell out but i would cut it back a bit ... then every time one asset falls bring it back up to the level of the ones that didnt fall.

that is how i migrated the money over ...

[mathjak107]

trimmed back a bit to 600k in each ....
still a substaintial investment in each with huge moves in gld and tlt daily .

i would still let it go up to 7 figures in each but not at near record levels on each asset ... it isn't even like one tanked so you come out about the same overall ....everything is pretty much at highs .

[mathjak107]

haven't traded in while but recently had quiet a few trades in TLT .

picked up an extra couple of thousand dollars .. then rebought TLT ON THE DROP , SOLD IT BOUGHT IT AGAIN AND YESTERDAY sold it in the morning while it was up and rebought it later in the day when it was down .

also opened positions yesterday again in LTPZ , VTIP AND DBC.

tlt has provided crazy trading as it flip flops up and down . TLT YTD GAINS 27k


here the trades the last 30 days in tlt this month
10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU SOLD EX-DIV DATE 11/02/20RECORD DATE 11/03/20 ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) $256,078.17

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA 20512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$24,915.90

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$99,938.67



220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$99,938.67
10/22/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$471.51
10/22/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$86,816.79
10/21/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$50,137.13
10/20/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$14,971.80
10/20/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$100,103.20
10/09/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU SOLD ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) $69,958.22
10/09/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$69,642.00
10/08/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU SOLD ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) $99,951.92
10/07/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$99,375.00
10/06/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU SOLD ISHARES
TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) $99,583.17
10/05/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU SOLD ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) $100,324.78
10/05/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$99,931.25
10/05/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

10/05/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT ISHARES TR 20 YR TR BD ETF (TLT) (Cash) -$100,062.5

[mathjak107]

here are the dbc trades this month. also netted about 1800 ytd

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$1,999.49

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$24,997.98
10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$24,999.53
10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$25,018.40
10/28/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$25,011.48
10/05/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU SOLD INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) $155,294.30
10/02/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$2,987.76
10/02/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$9,091.23
10/01/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$5,987.77
10/01/2020 ROLLOVER IRA

220512916 YOU BOUGHT INVESCO DB COMMDY INDX TRCK FD UNIT (DBC) (Cash) -$10,002.50

[mathjak107]

new positions in ltpz yesterday


10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT PIMCO 15+ YEAR US TIPS INDEX FUND (LTPZ) (Cash) -$2,932.86

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT PIMCO 15+ YEAR US TIPS INDEX FUND (LTPZ) (Cash) -$24,913.25

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT PIMCO 15+ YEAR US TIPS INDEX FUND (LTPZ) (Cash) -$24,931.02

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT PIMCO 15+ YEAR US TIPS INDEX FUND (LTPZ) (Cash) -$24,960.93

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT PIMCO 15+ YEAR US TIPS INDEX FUND (LTPZ) (Cash) -$49,930.56

[mathjak107]

and bought vtip again yesterday

ytd up 353.00 but only owned it a few weeks before selling and rebuying on yesterdays dip



10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$962.83

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$24,981.74

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$24,984.55

10/29/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$24,989.48

10/28/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$24,968.31

10/08/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 IN LIEU OF FRX SHARE VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) $44.36

10/06/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU SOLD VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) $130,641.51

10/06/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 DIVIDEND RECEIVED VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) $602.60

10/06/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 REINVESTMENT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$602.60

10/02/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$4,667.16

10/01/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$5,985.92

10/01/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$9,995.11

09/30/2020 ROLLOVER IRA
220512916 YOU BOUGHT VANGUARD SHT-TERM INFLATION-PROTECTED S (VTIP) (Cash) -$9,9

[mathjak107]

overall it has been a pretty good year , gold has produced nice gains too .

gld , iau have had ytd 60k in realized gains and 11k still unrealized .

overall i show 186k in realized gains and 52k in gains still unrealized for a ytd date of 238k

[mathjak107]

so the portfolio's were just about completed yesterday . i just did an instant xray

the permanent portfolio is a bit different as i tried to make it a little more relevant to today .

so we have :

276,343k in s&p 500 fund

275,190 split between TLT and LTPZ both bought the last 2 days after recently taking profits

275,224 in gld .

275k split between vtip and t-bill fund .

so that is it for the pp variation .

my more permanent model is:

316,141 in my long term hold fidelity contra

270,556 in a managed total bond fund

265,669 in a managed high income fund

371,997 in an ultra conservative managed bond fund

280,082 in a managed 1-3 year treasury fund

126,057 in dbc commodities fund .

i still have more cash to invest but i will keep that powder dry for now

[amdda01]

MJ,

What's on tap for this week? Anything in the oven?

[mathjak107]

Just sold dbc

[mathjak107]

Sold out Tlt , ltpz and vtip at gains today .....

LTPZ took quite a few sales to finally go , it is not that liquid..

Edit:

Just bought back Tlt at the close again . I bought it back for 1k less than I sold earlier today and it closed up 338 dollars higher than I just rebought it only minutes before

[mathjak107]

looks like we may get a nice jump today in tlt ... i may sell again .

[mathjak107]

sold TLT this morning . incredible 6k gain over night

[buddtholomew]

sold TLT this morning . incredible 6k gain over night

Still holding mine although fairly confident (haha) this rally is attributed to short covering. Stocks and Bonds sold off going into the election setting the framework for this response.

[mathjak107]

It is down 1700 from my sale this morning ..... 2500-3k difference I will jump back in

[mathjak107]

Bought sdow ..... let’s see if we have a bit of a roll back

[mathjak107]

Well sdow was sold at the close as markets rolled back a bit . Picked up a little profit in about 20 minutes time .sdow is a leveraged reverse acting etf ..

I sold off about 100k of my s&p 500 fund today and bought the dogs of the Dow .

They were actually down today ....they are the 10 highest yielding Dow stocks ....the is a strategy that has been around for decades .

Most years it outperformed the Dow .....the idea is the worst performers tend to be the highest yielding ..expectations for them are lowered and so they tend to do better than the Dow does .

You can also buy the pups of the Dow ...those are the five highest yielding dogs with the lowest prices

If anyone is interested I can post the lists.

[mathjak107]

bought back 735 shares tlt this morning at 160.94

[Cortopassi]

And I sat back doing nothing the past 3 days and my portfolio went up 3.8%

[mathjak107]

The bulk of my equities went up over 4% just yesterday alone in fidelity contra. It is the other money in cash and tlt I keep recycling