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https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=10427
That sucks. Get well.Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:51 pm Well... I think I may have the bug. Mom has been coughing and now feels flush and threw up. And I started coughing a day or two ago. No other symptoms yet. But my appetite has disappeared and for those who don't know me, that is NOT normal. I see a Netflix binge coming up.
Get well soon, friend. Keep us updated.Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:51 pm Well... I think I may have the bug. Mom has been coughing and now feels flush and threw up. And I started coughing a day or two ago. No other symptoms yet. But my appetite has disappeared and for those who don't know me, that is NOT normal. I see a Netflix binge coming up.
Praying for yours and your mom's smooth recovery, Ad.Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:51 pmWell... I think I may have the bug. Mom has been coughing and now feels flush and threw up. And I started coughing a day or two ago. No other symptoms yet. But my appetite has disappeared and for those who don't know me, that is NOT normal. I see a Netflix binge coming up.
I thought I had something, but now I’m pretty sure it was the first 15 minutes of Bird Box.yankees60 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 6:30 pm Is there anyone here old enough to cite anything in our past history where events are moving with the incredible speed that they currently are? This is a fairly well-informed group but I sense even we are struggling to stay on top of all these new developments.
dualstow wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 10:42 pmI thought I had something, but now I’m pretty sure it was the first 15 minutes of Bird Box.yankees60 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 6:30 pm Is there anyone here old enough to cite anything in our past history where events are moving with the incredible speed that they currently are? This is a fairly well-informed group but I sense even we are struggling to stay on top of all these new developments.
From here...One of the agency’s top disease modelers, Matthew Biggerstaff, presented the group on the phone call with four possible scenarios — A, B, C and D — based on characteristics of the virus, including estimates of how transmissible it is and the severity of the illness it can cause. The assumptions, reviewed by The New York Times, were shared with about 50 expert teams to model how the virus could tear through the population — and what might stop it.
The C.D.C.’s scenarios were depicted in terms of percentages of the population. Translated into absolute numbers by independent experts using simple models of how viruses spread, the worst-case figures would be staggering if no actions were taken to slow transmission.
Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.
And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the U.S. could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill.
The assumptions fueling those scenarios are mitigated by the fact that cities, states, businesses and individuals are beginning to take steps to slow transmission, even if some are acting less aggressively than others. The C.D.C.-led effort is developing more sophisticated models showing how interventions might decrease the worst-case numbers, though their projections have not been made public.
The worst case scenario doesn't have to happen for the results to be horrific:Kriegsspiel wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:34 am But, what about the other part of the equation: the odds of that worst case scenario happening? Without a good estimate of the odds, nobody can really comprehend the scenario. It's like O'Rourke saying the worst case for gun violence is an energetic madman going on an unstoppable shooting spree, killing millions of people, only pausing for sleep and other essential bodily functions... and not saying that the chances of that happening are 0 to 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%.
Sorry to hear that!Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:51 pm Well... I think I may have the bug. Mom has been coughing and now feels flush and threw up. And I started coughing a day or two ago. No other symptoms yet. But my appetite has disappeared and for those who don't know me, that is NOT normal. I see a Netflix binge coming up.
I lived through the Cuban Missile Crisis. And, though I was only 11 years old at the time of it we were completely aware of its implications. During it while in school I wrote the year "1963" on my piece of paper and the girl next to me, Maria Clemento, shrieked, "We are not going to be alive then!"Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:18 amdualstow wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 10:42 pmI thought I had something, but now I’m pretty sure it was the first 15 minutes of Bird Box.yankees60 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 6:30 pm Is there anyone here old enough to cite anything in our past history where events are moving with the incredible speed that they currently are? This is a fairly well-informed group but I sense even we are struggling to stay on top of all these new developments.
This is clearly the most serious crisis in a generation... probably longer. As an historian by academic training I am hard pressed to think of anything in my lifetime that had this level of immediate urgency. The Cuban Missile Crisis, obviously more serious, predates my arrival by three years.
And, for those of you not even being close to being alive during the Cuban Missile Crisis...you may not have known the drills we had as a normal part of school life.yankees60 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:21 amI lived through the Cuban Missile Crisis. And, though I was only 11 years old at the time of it we were completely aware of its implications. During it while in school I wrote the year "1963" on my piece of paper and the girl next to me, Maria Clemento, shrieked, "We are not going to be alive then!"Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:18 amdualstow wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 10:42 pmI thought I had something, but now I’m pretty sure it was the first 15 minutes of Bird Box.yankees60 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 6:30 pm Is there anyone here old enough to cite anything in our past history where events are moving with the incredible speed that they currently are? This is a fairly well-informed group but I sense even we are struggling to stay on top of all these new developments.
This is clearly the most serious crisis in a generation... probably longer. As an historian by academic training I am hard pressed to think of anything in my lifetime that had this level of immediate urgency. The Cuban Missile Crisis, obviously more serious, predates my arrival by three years.
Vinny
↳ here you go viewtopic.php?f=9&t=2221&p=187682#p187682
And, for those of you not even being close to being alive during the Cuban Missile Crisis...you may not have known the drills we had as a normal part of school life.
Now there are "active shooter" drills regularly carried out in schools (or, at least that is the impression I am under).
Then, we'd all leave our classrooms, march down the hallways, and then crouch down low, covering our heads with our hands....as if that was going to protect us from an atomic bomb! I'm sure there must be YouTube videos of this drill as I'm almost equally sure this was also done in all schools throughout the country Libertarian666? Mountaineer?
Same here. They told the kindergarteners it was in case an animal got in the building. They didn't ask why the blinds would need to be closed...flyingpylon wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:41 amThey are called "lockdown" drills around here. Sounds a little better.
We had those drills too.yankees60 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:31 amAnd, for those of you not even being close to being alive during the Cuban Missile Crisis...you may not have known the drills we had as a normal part of school life.yankees60 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:21 amI lived through the Cuban Missile Crisis. And, though I was only 11 years old at the time of it we were completely aware of its implications. During it while in school I wrote the year "1963" on my piece of paper and the girl next to me, Maria Clemento, shrieked, "We are not going to be alive then!"Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:18 amdualstow wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 10:42 pmI thought I had something, but now I’m pretty sure it was the first 15 minutes of Bird Box.yankees60 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 12, 2020 6:30 pm Is there anyone here old enough to cite anything in our past history where events are moving with the incredible speed that they currently are? This is a fairly well-informed group but I sense even we are struggling to stay on top of all these new developments.
This is clearly the most serious crisis in a generation... probably longer. As an historian by academic training I am hard pressed to think of anything in my lifetime that had this level of immediate urgency. The Cuban Missile Crisis, obviously more serious, predates my arrival by three years.
Vinny
Now there are "active shooter" drills regularly carried out in schools (or, at least that is the impression I am under).
Then, we'd all leave our classrooms, march down the hallways, and then crouch down low, covering our heads with our hands....as if that was going to protect us from an atomic bomb! I'm sure there must be YouTube videos of this drill as I'm almost equally sure this was also done in all schools throughout the country Libertarian666? Mountaineer?
Vinny