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Re: 2012 Predictions Thread
Posted: Mon Dec 17, 2012 5:49 pm
by Kriegsspiel
Stocks down 2%
LTTs up 1%
STTs 0%
Gold down 2%
Crawling in the dark here, don't pay me no mind...
Re: 2012 Predictions Thread
Posted: Mon Dec 17, 2012 9:59 pm
by Greg
VTI +10%
LTT hovering around 3% (so still paying the 3% coupon then)
STT at nothing
Gold at $1800/ounce.
Silver up to $40/ounce
Overall I see the portfolio up around 4.5% nominal with inflation around 1.5-2.0% so an inflation (real) yield of around 2.5-3%.
I also see LTT's holding because retirees will be slowly pulling money out of stocks to go into bonds. The rest of the world might not want our bonds but I see us holding down the rates pretty well.
Re: 2012 Predictions Thread
Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 4:36 am
by MachineGhost
Three days until the end of the world! That's my prediction.
Re: 2012 Predictions Thread
Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 12:25 pm
by 6 Iron
On a quick glance, it does look like bugman is the winner. I, on the other hand, have been given the opportunity to again see how poorly my crystal ball works. Happy New Year to all!
Re: 2012 Predictions Thread
Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 5:15 pm
by craigr
BugMan wrote:
VTI +15%
GLD +8%
TLT +7%
SHY +1%
PRPFX +7%
Boston Bruins will win the Stanley Cup (again)
I think BugMan is pretty close on this...(except for the Stanley Cup)....
Re: 2012 Predictions Thread
Posted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 5:36 pm
by TripleB
TripleB wrote:
Here's my prediction:
Gold down 25%
LTT down 15%
US Stocks up 12%
International Stocks up 20%
PP down 6%
Boy, was I wrong! Good thing I stuck with the PP (for at least a portion of my money... my VP beat the PP significantly this year)