Re: Permanent Portfolio Failure?
Posted: Wed Jan 05, 2022 4:27 am
Average anything when it comes to statistics is meaningless .
As humans we have only two outcomes , it is us shit happened to or it isn’t since some of us will always be on the wrong side of a statistic .
My dad was and it impoverished his wife ….
Insurers found the statistics they used were from a generation ago as boomers have not reached the sweet spot yet and already usage is way way higher then statistics showed .
They are higher for lots of reasons ..some have to do with the fact that so many saw families broken up and divorces happen when one sibling stepped up to the plate and the others stepped back .
That sibling that took in their parent ended up taking a huge economic and social hit .
Then the fighting starts with your spouse and siblings .
Also usage was way higher a generation ago then they were able to count ..many like my dad were cared for in private homes by health care professionals and were off the grid .
So insurers got duped in a way and found way higher usage then they planned
Remember everything we insure against has low odd of happening .
Dying while young and raising a family is a rare occurrence, yet many carry life insurance because while insurers can tell us every year how many will die or die young , they can’t tell us who
As humans we have only two outcomes , it is us shit happened to or it isn’t since some of us will always be on the wrong side of a statistic .
My dad was and it impoverished his wife ….
Insurers found the statistics they used were from a generation ago as boomers have not reached the sweet spot yet and already usage is way way higher then statistics showed .
They are higher for lots of reasons ..some have to do with the fact that so many saw families broken up and divorces happen when one sibling stepped up to the plate and the others stepped back .
That sibling that took in their parent ended up taking a huge economic and social hit .
Then the fighting starts with your spouse and siblings .
Also usage was way higher a generation ago then they were able to count ..many like my dad were cared for in private homes by health care professionals and were off the grid .
So insurers got duped in a way and found way higher usage then they planned
Remember everything we insure against has low odd of happening .
Dying while young and raising a family is a rare occurrence, yet many carry life insurance because while insurers can tell us every year how many will die or die young , they can’t tell us who