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Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 17, 2013 6:33 pm
by buddtholomew
I continue to doubt the PP and then all of a sudden it begins to work as expected. I recall a comment from Craig to the effect that the PP works like a rudder on a ship. Its a great analogy.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 17, 2013 11:19 pm
by OverTaxed
Outside of the first few days, my PP has been down every single day since I started it earlier this year. I am currently down 3%.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 17, 2013 11:57 pm
by Reub
I'm guessing that it was up about 1.5% today, halving your paper loss?
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 8:36 am
by Shadow
OverTaxed wrote:
Outside of the first few days, my PP has been down every single day since I started it earlier this year. I am currently down 3%.
What a like about the PP is that it is basically a defense first investing strategy. Protecting you against catastrophic loss during any economic cycle, in effect saving you from yourself. Epic gains are not what HB intended
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 10:34 am
by OverTaxed
Reub wrote:
I'm guessing that it was up about 1.5% today, halving your paper loss?
I am invested in FLBIX, FSTMX, and IAU and I don't track day over day movements so I can't say. I purchased and read the new book, so I should know better, right?

Unfortunately, it's still frustrating having started my PP in early May and having several months straight in the red right after. Those kind of results just don't provide a lot of confidence as a new(ish) investor.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 10:55 am
by frommi
Be prepared for more pain when QE finally stops. And it will someday, its only a matter of when not if.
Currently it looks like all assets have a little synchronized, which is really bad for the PP. (Because whats the purpose of diversification?)
I can`t really see how 100% stocks can fail in the next 12 month, because as long as QE is running stocks will run up. And when it stops this means the economy is running on full steam. (otherwise the FED won`t stop it). But ignore me, i am just a silly speculator.

Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 11:51 am
by Pointedstick
frommi wrote:
I can`t really see how 100% stocks can fail in the next 12 month, because as long as QE is running stocks will run up.
let's come back in a year and see how well the prediction has held up.

Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 4:46 pm
by Libertarian666
frommi wrote:
Be prepared for more pain when QE finally stops. And it will someday, its only a matter of when not if.
Currently it looks like all assets have a little synchronized, which is really bad for the PP. (Because whats the purpose of diversification?)
I can`t really see how 100% stocks can fail in the next 12 month, because as long as QE is running stocks will run up. And when it stops this means the economy is running on full steam. (otherwise the FED won`t stop it). But ignore me, i am just a silly speculator.
IMO, they will stop only when it doesn't matter because no one wants their funny money any more.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 7:02 pm
by dualstow
OverTaxed wrote:
I am invested in FLBIX, FSTMX, and IAU and I don't track day over day movements so I can't say. I purchased and read the new book, so I should know better, right?

Unfortunately, it's still frustrating having started my PP in early May and having several months straight in the red right after. Those kind of results just don't provide a lot of confidence as a new(ish) investor.
I set up my dad's p.p. at an untimely...time, and it's been below breakeven most of the time.
I'm glad he's being patient with me.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 10:05 pm
by dragoncar
dualstow wrote:
OverTaxed wrote:
I am invested in FLBIX, FSTMX, and IAU and I don't track day over day movements so I can't say. I purchased and read the new book, so I should know better, right?

Unfortunately, it's still frustrating having started my PP in early May and having several months straight in the red right after. Those kind of results just don't provide a lot of confidence as a new(ish) investor.
I set up my dad's p.p. at an untimely...time, and it's been below breakeven most of the time.
I'm glad he's being patient with me.
Haha same here although I think he missed a rebalance
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 18, 2013 10:31 pm
by Straight Ays
The way the market has been acting convinced me to go even more "pure" with PP. I just bought my first I bond and my first actual 30 year bond (through a broker, so not 100% pure). And I'm planning on continuing buying bond direct from here on out. I was getting nervous holding TLT and EDV only. By buying the bonds directly I felt more diversified. I guess because they aren't an ETF. As the original post said, it's a litmus test and I have my answer.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 2:57 pm
by Pointedstick
It appears to me that today the PP beat both the SP500 index and a 60/40 portfolio.

Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:12 pm
by buddtholomew
I am honored to report that my PP is in the black (green) by .10% after today's performance. I finally noticed that the YTD conditional formatting color did not match the other green values in my spreadsheet. It had always been red.

Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Wed Oct 23, 2013 7:50 pm
by buddtholomew
easy come, easy go. Back in the red. Board has been awfully quiet lately...
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Wed Oct 23, 2013 9:14 pm
by Bean
buddtholomew wrote:
easy come, easy go. Back in the red. Board has been awfully quiet lately...
The amount of oversight in both time and brainpower to spend watching it could earn you money elsewhere. The point of an investment portfolio is free time, if you want to micro manage it, invest in yourself and go buy a business and run it.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Wed Oct 23, 2013 9:44 pm
by MediumTex
buddtholomew wrote:
easy come, easy go. Back in the red. Board has been awfully quiet lately...
Dang!
I missed celebrating with you yesterday.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 8:45 am
by buddtholomew
MediumTex wrote:
buddtholomew wrote:
easy come, easy go. Back in the red. Board has been awfully quiet lately...
Dang!
I missed celebrating with you yesterday.
We are sure to have another opportunity to celebrate soon.
Bean, what makes you think that I am not a small business owner; operating one's own business is not for everyone and has nothing to do with checking investment returns. I do agree that checking less frequently is better for your health.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 9:42 am
by dragoncar
Bean wrote:
buddtholomew wrote:
easy come, easy go. Back in the red. Board has been awfully quiet lately...
The amount of oversight in both time and brainpower to spend watching it could earn you money elsewhere. The point of an investment portfolio is free time, if you want to micro manage it, invest in yourself and go buy a business and run it.
It takes about 30 sec to check the portfolio, and another 30 sec to complain here. It's not very time consuming, but it is somewhat cathartic.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 4:19 pm
by Bean
I have no idea if my portfolio went up or down today, that is pretty relaxing.
Seriously though, you trusted enough to invest in the PP and should have set your exit criteria on entry. Then you stick to it, unless there the reason for starting is gone or a need arises to adjust your exit criteria.
Was one of your reason for the PP, that it was worry free? Because any crazy scenario I can come up with, the PP is safer than most other portfolios out there, while returning a comparable CAGR to other choices.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 5:28 pm
by buddtholomew
Bean wrote:
I have no idea if my portfolio went up or down today, that is pretty relaxing.
Seriously though, you trusted enough to invest in the PP and should have set your exit criteria on entry. Then you stick to it, unless there the reason for starting is gone or a need arises to adjust your exit criteria.
Was one of your reason for the PP, that it was worry free? Because any crazy scenario I can come up with, the PP is safer than most other portfolios out there, while returning a comparable CAGR to other choices.
Certainly valid points and I strive to achieve the "zen-like" peace you have mastered.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 5:29 pm
by dragoncar
Bean wrote:
I have no idea if my portfolio went up or down today, that is pretty relaxing.
Seriously though, you trusted enough to invest in the PP and should have set your exit criteria on entry. Then you stick to it, unless there the reason for starting is gone or a need arises to adjust your exit criteria.
Was one of your reason for the PP, that it was worry free? Because any crazy scenario I can come up with, the PP is safer than most other portfolios out there, while returning a comparable CAGR to other choices.
I set my complaining threshold higher than my exit position
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Thu Oct 24, 2013 7:53 pm
by Bean
buddtholomew wrote:
Certainly valid points and I strive to achieve the "zen-like" peace you have mastered.
I think of the passive investment exercise like boiling water. No matter how much you watch it, it probably won't go any faster.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 6:41 am
by annieB
"I like to watch"
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 6:56 am
by Kshartle
annieB wrote:
"I like to watch"
Many do but don't admit it.
Re: PP investors--stay the course
Posted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 11:54 am
by dragoncar
Kshartle wrote:
annieB wrote:
"I like to watch"
Many do but don't admit it.
"It puts the gold portion in physical, or it gets the hose"