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Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Sep 24, 2025 8:53 am
by ochotona
If I were a Central Bank, I'd want my gold the heck out of Manhattan.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Tue Oct 21, 2025 10:42 pm
by Smith1776
Me too. Wasn't it Germany that tried to get some of its reserves back from the Fed bank in New York and it took years just to get a partial repatriation?
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 22, 2025 7:56 am
by Jack Jones
Smith1776 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 21, 2025 10:42 pm
Me too. Wasn't it Germany that tried to get some of its reserves back from the Fed bank in New York and it took years just to get a partial repatriation?
France IIRC.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 22, 2025 8:01 am
by dualstow
What I read was that it was Germany, but from vaults in Paris and New York.
Also, Serbia and Italy and earlier, Poland and Romania.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 22, 2025 9:44 am
by Jack Jones
Here is what I was referring to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nixon_shock wrote:On August 5, 1971, the United States Congress released a report recommending devaluation of the dollar in an effort to protect their currency against "foreign price-gougers".[10] Also in August, French president Georges Pompidou sent a battleship to New York City to retrieve French gold deposits.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 22, 2025 9:48 am
by dualstow
ohhhh. I thought you guys were talking 2025.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 22, 2025 10:42 pm
by Smith1776
I didn't realize that the current Shiller P/E was so high...

- Screenshot 2025-10-22 214214.jpg (50.47 KiB) Viewed 2712 times
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Thu Oct 23, 2025 7:46 am
by dualstow
Yeah, they’ve been chattering about it on b’h
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Thu Oct 23, 2025 10:05 am
by ochotona
many valuation models, wide dispersion, but median is roughly 0% over the next decade.

Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Thu Oct 23, 2025 2:27 pm
by Smith1776
I wonder how much tilting to value or overweighting emerging markets will help over the next decade.
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Fri Oct 24, 2025 8:20 am
by ochotona
Smith1776 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 23, 2025 2:27 pm
I wonder how much tilting to value or overweighting emerging markets will help over the next decade.
This may help. You don't need an account for RA, just click through the login page.
https://interactive.researchaffiliates. ... terms=REAL
Blackrock
https://www.blackrock.com/institutions/ ... ssumptions
GMO (always extreme)
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/com ... 5?firm=gmo
Vanguard
https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/ ... casts.html
Re: Stock scream room
Posted: Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:40 pm
by dualstow
My stocks were doing so well before Jerome Powell started talking.