Pointedstick wrote:
moda0306 wrote:
They need to raise the debt limit because the trillion dollar coin looks really goofy, but it's only as goofy as the debt-ceiling is.
That's the real reason IMHO. The entire system relies on people trusting it and not really understanding how it actually works. The platinum coin option reveals how stupid our monetary system really is and exposes some of its stupider workings. That can only reduce confidence in the system, which is rather contrary to what the government wants. Of course that means that Congress is probably
more likely to do it, not less.
I half agree. It really is quite silly, but while I don't know the "macro-effect" of everyone understanding the system, I know that 1) I'm damn glad I
think I understand it (mostly), and 2) I'm actually quite a bit less nervous of the system "breaking" from the standard reasons we're told it will from the usual suspects (debt crisis, hypernflation, etc). I also know that I willingly use banks to hold enough of my money to operate day-to-day, and choose to otherwise stay away.
If people knew how vital treasuries being free of default risk was to our banking system, they'd probably still dislike the system, but would maybe pause before they invest like inflationists in the face of it continuing to work or call for use of a "burn it all down" mechanism like calling into question the nominal creditworthiness of treasuries.
I tend to think that whether you're an Austrian or a bleeding-heart socialist, we don't want our hatred for the banking sytem and will for reform to result in our Grandma's bank accounts freezing up. Even if we think we're headed for doomsday for people saving in a bank account... bringing it on early on-purpose because we think it might be worse some day in the future is a bit of an excessive approach.
So if the main lack of confidence in our monetary system right now is that we think that 1) interest rates are grossly manipulated downward from what would otherwise be the case, 2) high inflation is imminent due to "printing money," and 3) interest rates are going way up because of a debt crisis (and the aforementioned inflation).
Once you understand the "silliness" of the system, you realize that none of these things is necessarily all that likely.
Now we have to wonder more about cronyism, or that the banking system is accurately measuring risk when given access to all those reserves, but I still think a deeper understanding of the monetary system lends MORE faith in it from the standpoint of the risks we're all told to worry about, but aren't really problems.
But maybe that's where two believers in MR can differ... we both agree on the nature of the system's mechanics, but just disagree on whether that gives us a more robust system or a more fragile system.
"Men did not make the earth. It is the value of the improvements only, and not the earth itself, that is individual property. Every proprietor owes to the community a ground rent for the land which he holds."
- Thomas Paine