I'm Done!

General Discussion on the Permanent Portfolio Strategy

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MikeK
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by MikeK »

MediumTex wrote: HB PP up .95% today.

We should change the name of this thread from "I'm Done!" to "Gettin' It Done!"
The gold I bought back in the end of January has finally gone up some (some 4% for the day!!). Though it's still down 3-5% overall.  Being gold was the hardest pill to swallow of the HB PP, it's been tough going watching it drop over the last 4 months....

Just wanted to say thanks to 'you guys' for keeping me levelheaded and reminding me that these are all short term fluctuations, which are to be expected in a portfolio that is based on such volatile investments.

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Re: I'm Done!

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MediumTex wrote: HB PP up .95% today.

We should change the name of this thread from "I'm Done!" to "Gettin' It Done!"
Today should be a good day for book sales.
I am so incredibly thankful that I diversified out of an all-stock portfolio.
Monstres and tokeninges gert he be-kend, / And wondirs in the air send.
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Re: I'm Done!

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MikeK wrote:
MediumTex wrote: HB PP up .95% today.

We should change the name of this thread from "I'm Done!" to "Gettin' It Done!"
The gold I bought back in the end of January has finally gone up some (some 4% for the day!!). Though it's still down 3-5% overall.   Being gold was the hardest pill to swallow of the HB PP, it's been tough going watching it drop over the last 4 months....
Were you okay buying LT treasuries?

That's been harder for most people than gold in recent years.
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Re: I'm Done!

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dualstow wrote:
MediumTex wrote: HB PP up .95% today.

We should change the name of this thread from "I'm Done!" to "Gettin' It Done!"
Today should be a good day for book sales.
I am so incredibly thankful that I diversified out of an all-stock portfolio.
Amazon currently has us ranked at 617,000, so we are not yet in Harry Potter territory.

On the topic of the book, we are just getting the final manuscript finalized and Craig and I are both very excited with how it's all coming together.  I think it will be a very useful book for lots of investors.
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Re: I'm Done!

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MediumTex wrote: Amazon currently has us ranked at 617,000, so we are not yet in Harry Potter territory.
For those familiar with the mythology, I should add that unloved but powerful long bonds belong in the House of Slytherin.
Monstres and tokeninges gert he be-kend, / And wondirs in the air send.
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by MikeK »

MediumTex wrote:
MikeK wrote:
MediumTex wrote: HB PP up .95% today.

We should change the name of this thread from "I'm Done!" to "Gettin' It Done!"
The gold I bought back in the end of January has finally gone up some (some 4% for the day!!). Though it's still down 3-5% overall.   Being gold was the hardest pill to swallow of the HB PP, it's been tough going watching it drop over the last 4 months....
Were you okay buying LT treasuries?

That's been harder for most people than gold in recent years.
To be honest, I didn't give them nearly as much thought.  They are much more like things I'd been invested in already.  Gold is just so different and 'useless' compared to all the concoctions that we humans have come up with to try and get other peoples' money :)
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by 6 Iron »

I have found that I tolerate lagging market returns in periods of stock out-performance much better than I tolerated the volatility of a stock heavy portfolio (the downward volatility, that is, had no problems with upward). That said, I can guarantee that we will have many more of these I'm done threads. And not because the authors are weak, or do not understand the concepts. We all need positive feedback, and we want it sooner, rather than later. Everything is simple, until it is your skin in the game.
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Re: I'm Done!

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MikeK wrote:
MediumTex wrote:
MikeK wrote: The gold I bought back in the end of January has finally gone up some (some 4% for the day!!). Though it's still down 3-5% overall.   Being gold was the hardest pill to swallow of the HB PP, it's been tough going watching it drop over the last 4 months....
Were you okay buying LT treasuries?

That's been harder for most people than gold in recent years.
To be honest, I didn't give them nearly as much thought.  They are much more like things I'd been invested in already.   Gold is just so different and 'useless' compared to all the concoctions that we humans have come up with to try and get other peoples' money :)
And yet I assume you noticed that this "useless" asset has been the one that kept the whole portfolio afloat for the last 10 years, right?

I think that the PP will always be partially about holding your nose and buying the asset(s) in the portfolio that you hate.  It's just a small piece of cosmic humble pie that these hated assets are often the ones that keep the portfolio performing strongly after you buy them.  Recently this asset has been LT treasuries, but over the last decade it has definitely been gold.
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Re: I'm Done!

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MediumTex wrote:
MikeK wrote:
MediumTex wrote: Were you okay buying LT treasuries?

That's been harder for most people than gold in recent years.
To be honest, I didn't give them nearly as much thought.  They are much more like things I'd been invested in already.   Gold is just so different and 'useless' compared to all the concoctions that we humans have come up with to try and get other peoples' money :)
And yet I assume you noticed that this "useless" asset has been the one that kept the whole portfolio afloat for the last 10 years, right?

I think that the PP will always be partially about holding your nose and buying the asset(s) in the portfolio that you hate.  It's just a small piece of cosmic humble pie that these hated assets are often the ones that keep the portfolio performing strongly after you buy them.  Recently this asset has been LT treasuries, but over the last decade it has definitely been gold.
Cash seems pretty weaksauce too, at least for me. That's been the hardest one to swallow while setting up my PP.
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Re: I'm Done!

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6 Iron wrote: ...
That said, I can guarantee that we will have many more of these I'm done threads.
...
Definitely. Michael Cuggino has spoken many times about the outflows during lean years.
There's a temptation to rebalance the long bonds before they hit 35%, which is a natural feeling to have.
For many, there will certainly be a temptation to flee the pp altogether.
Monstres and tokeninges gert he be-kend, / And wondirs in the air send.
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by MachineGhost »

MediumTex wrote: On the topic of the book, we are just getting the final manuscript finalized and Craig and I are both very excited with how it's all coming together.  I think it will be a very useful book for lots of investors.
The release of the book might also mark a peak of sorts for the PP for a few years. ;)
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Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
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Re: I'm Done!

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MachineGhost wrote:
MediumTex wrote: On the topic of the book, we are just getting the final manuscript finalized and Craig and I are both very excited with how it's all coming together.  I think it will be a very useful book for lots of investors.
The release of the book might also mark a peak of sorts for the PP for a few years. ;)
The irony of the markets is not lost on us!
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by MediumTex »

craigr wrote:
MachineGhost wrote:
MediumTex wrote: On the topic of the book, we are just getting the final manuscript finalized and Craig and I are both very excited with how it's all coming together.  I think it will be a very useful book for lots of investors.
The release of the book might also mark a peak of sorts for the PP for a few years. ;)
The irony of the markets is not lost on us!
No doubt.
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Re: I'm Done!

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I think the hardest environment for the average investor to stay in the PP or PRPFX is a bull run in equities. That will test the average investor's commitment in most cases. This current environment is actually easy to stay committed to the portfolio
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by HB Reader »

clacy wrote: I think the hardest environment for the average investor to stay in the PP or PRPFX is a bull run in equities. That will test the average investor's commitment in most cases. This current environment is actually easy to stay committed to the portfolio
This was certainly my experience, especially during the late 1990's.
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Re: I'm Done!

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That's one of the uses for the variable portfolio:  You can invest more in equities during a bull run in stocks, but not in the permanent portfolio itself. 
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Re: I'm Done!

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Lousy day for the PP. Seems we had one of those rare days when the stock market did less badly than everything else!
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Re: I'm Done!

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Anyone?

SPY down 2.25%, GLD down 2.55%...

;)
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by Storm »

AdamA wrote: Anyone?

SPY down 2.25%, GLD down 2.55%...

;)
Out of curiosity, is there any portfolio allocation that is up today?  Perhaps leather chaps...
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Re: I'm Done!

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Storm wrote:
AdamA wrote: Anyone?

SPY down 2.25%, GLD down 2.55%...

;)
Out of curiosity, is there any portfolio allocation that is up today?  Perhaps leather chaps...
100% long bonds ;)
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by smurff »

Leather chaps are always up. But they don't replace gold in the PP.
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Re: I'm Done!

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smurff wrote: Leather chaps are always up. But they don't replace gold in the PP.
Maybe since I'm still relatively new to this forum it's an inside joke that I was never a part of, but is there an origin to where this love of leather chaps came about from?
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by AdamA »

1NV35T0R wrote:
smurff wrote: Leather chaps are always up. But they don't replace gold in the PP.
Maybe since I'm still relatively new to this forum it's an inside joke that I was never a part of, but is there an origin to where this love of leather chaps came about from?
No, we all just love them.

http://gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/ht ... ic.php?t=2
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by Storm »

AdamA wrote:
1NV35T0R wrote:
smurff wrote: Leather chaps are always up. But they don't replace gold in the PP.
Maybe since I'm still relatively new to this forum it's an inside joke that I was never a part of, but is there an origin to where this love of leather chaps came about from?
No, we all just love them.

http://gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/ht ... ic.php?t=2
Haha, thanks for reminding me where it all came from, AdamA... I love you guys for this...  If we ever have a PP meetup in about 20 years from now when we're all retired, I'm personally buying leather chaps for everyone.
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Re: I'm Done!

Post by Lone Wolf »

AdamA wrote: No, we all just love them.

http://gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/ht ... ic.php?t=2
That's awesome, AdamA.  Thanks for finding that original leather chaps banter.  The "chapsbug" term that MT coined still gets me.    :D
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