Some 2020 General Election Polls

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technovelist
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by technovelist » Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:22 am

Kriegsspiel wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:06 am
sophie wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:36 am
You're welcome to try to prove that the reproductive rate among blacks suddenly increased 18-26 years ago, after remaining stable for more than 2 decades. Best of luck with that.
technovelist wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 10:52 am
Whoever let that article through will probably be canceled.
To combine these two points, Peter Frost recently posted about a peer reviewed study that was removed from the literature without cause. It was from a researcher who had previously done work on cognitive differences between populations. He discusses some implications.
There cannot be any cognitive differences between populations, because that would be RAYCISS!!
Therefore, the explanation of the fact that Ashkenazis have 20% of the Nobel Prizes (a larger percentage if you count only the real Prizes, not the fake ones in economics and "peace"), despite being much less than 1% of the world population, is "Jewish privilege" or something like that.
Another nod to the most beautiful equation: e + 1 = 0
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by technovelist » Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:26 am

Kriegsspiel wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:06 am
sophie wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:36 am
You're welcome to try to prove that the reproductive rate among blacks suddenly increased 18-26 years ago, after remaining stable for more than 2 decades. Best of luck with that.
technovelist wrote:
Sat Jul 11, 2020 10:52 am
Whoever let that article through will probably be canceled.
To combine these two points, Peter Frost recently posted about a peer reviewed study that was removed from the literature without cause. It was from a researcher who had previously done work on cognitive differences between populations. He discusses some implications.
Oh, there was cause all right: Marxism.
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Wed Jul 15, 2020 1:03 pm

General Election: Trump vs. Biden NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl Biden 51, Trump 40 Biden +11
General Election: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D)* Biden 51, Trump 41 Biden +10
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 47, Trump 44 Biden +3
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Economist/YouGov Biden 49, Trump 40 Biden +9


Arizona: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 45 Biden +6
Florida: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 50, Trump 43 Biden +7
Florida: Trump vs. Biden Gravis Biden 53, Trump 43 Biden +10
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 48, Trump 42 Biden +6
Missouri: Trump vs. Biden SLU/YouGov Trump 50, Biden 43 Trump +7
Montana: Trump vs. Biden PPP (D) Trump 51, Biden 42 Trump +9
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 47, Trump 46 Biden +1
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 50, Trump 42 Biden +8
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Monmouth Biden 53, Trump 40 Biden +13
Texas: Trump vs. Biden OAN/Gravis Trump 46, Biden 44 Trump +2
Texas: Trump vs. Biden CBS News/YouGov Trump 46, Biden 45 Trump +1
Texas: Trump vs. Biden Dallas Morning News Trump 43, Biden 48 Biden +5
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 48, Trump 42 Biden +6



# = Biden
# = Trump
# = Within generally accepted margin of error

(Edit: I added the NBC/WSJ poll that was released about an hour after I posted the above.)
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by vnatale » Fri Jul 17, 2020 12:51 pm

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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by pugchief » Fri Jul 17, 2020 2:19 pm

Umm, FL is 'likely Dem' amd TX is 'exactly tied'? ::)
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by vnatale » Fri Jul 17, 2020 10:08 pm

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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by vnatale » Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:32 pm

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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by technovelist » Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:37 pm

vnatale wrote:
Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:32 pm
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Now add 10% to the numbers for Trump in each category to account for the silent Trump voters and you might be closer to the actual numbers.
Of course this means an electoral landslide for Trump.
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Tue Jul 21, 2020 10:56 am

technovelist wrote:
Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:37 pm
vnatale wrote:
Sun Jul 19, 2020 1:32 pm
Capture.JPG
Now add 10% to the numbers for Trump in each category to account for the silent Trump voters and you might be closer to the actual numbers.
Of course this means an electoral landslide for Trump.

Either you slipped a digit or you need to lay off the left handed Luckys. History suggests a "closet Trump" vote of around 1-2% which in a close election (i.e. 2016) and with a strong turnout, coupled with weak turnout for Clinton, was enough to carry a bunch of swing states he wasn't expected to, albeit by his fingernails. Trump won PA, MI and WI by a combined margin of around 107k votes out of 120 million cast nationally. This year the Democrats are on fire and it is team Trump that is lagging in enthusiasm for all but his hardcore supporters. (Maybe 35% of the electorate). The level of denial I have been witnessing among Trump fans, is bordering on delusion.
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by pugchief » Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:25 am

Ad O, I think you underestimate independent and even moderate Dems' distaste for fascist socialism and rioting/lawlessness.
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:55 am

Joe Biden is wrong on a wide range of issues that I care about. But he is not a fascist socialist. And the lawlessness that most Americans are concerned with is centered at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by pugchief » Tue Jul 21, 2020 12:00 pm

Ad Orientem wrote:
Tue Jul 21, 2020 11:55 am
Joe Biden is wrong on a wide range of issues that I care about. But he is not a fascist socialist. And the lawlessness that most Americans are concerned with is centered at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
He may not be personally, but he has embraced much of the far left platform to appease that faction of the party.

I can't even respond to your second sentence without being impolite other than to say the riots are a bigger concern to most people who do not have TDS.
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