Some 2020 General Election Polls

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Ad Orientem
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Sun May 24, 2020 8:50 pm

Could Trump try to disrupt or invalidate the general election?

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/24/us/p ... e=Homepage
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by vnatale » Sun May 24, 2020 9:08 pm

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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by technovelist » Mon May 25, 2020 6:46 am

vnatale wrote:
Sun May 24, 2020 9:08 pm
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Ann Coulter is the Howard Stern of politics, not a serious analyst.
Another nod to the most beautiful equation: e + 1 = 0
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Wed Jun 03, 2020 5:43 pm

General Election: Trump vs. Biden Emerson Biden 53, Trump 47 Biden +6
General Election: Trump vs. Biden CNBC Biden 48, Trump 41 Biden +7
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Monmouth Biden 52, Trump 41 Biden +11
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Economist/YouGov Biden 47, Trump 40 Biden +7
General Election: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 53, Trump 43 Biden +10
Florida: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 48, Trump 45 Biden +3
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 46, Trump 50 Trump +4
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 48, Trump 46 Biden +2
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 45, Trump 45 Tie
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 44, Trump 45 Trump +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 46, Trump 45 Biden +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden Civitas/Harper (R) Biden 44, Trump 47 Trump +3
Texas: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Trump 44, Biden 43 Trump +1
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Wed Jun 03, 2020 9:07 pm

Trump Campaign Looks at Electoral Map and Doesn’t Like What It Sees

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/03/us/p ... e=Homepage
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Sat Jun 06, 2020 4:35 pm

General Election: Marist Biden 50, Trump 43 Biden +7
Texas: PPP Biden 48, Trump 48 Tie
Iowa: PPP Biden 47, Trump 48 Trump +1
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Tue Jun 09, 2020 12:15 pm

General Election: Trump vs. Biden The Hill/HarrisX Biden 47, Trump 37 Biden +10
General Election: Trump vs. Biden CNN Biden 55, Trump 41 Biden +14
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Biden 47, Trump 37 Biden +10
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Garrin Hart Yang Biden 53, Trump 41 Biden +12
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Optimus Biden 53, Trump 42 Biden +11


Iowa: Trump vs. Biden Civiqs Biden 46, Trump 46 Tie
Michigan : Trump vs. Biden MRA Biden 53, Trump 41, Biden +12
Kentucky: Trump vs. Biden RMG Biden 36, Trump 53 Trump +17
Tennessee: Trump vs Biden SSRS Biden 42, Trump 51 Trump +9
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Tue Jun 16, 2020 11:54 am

General election: Optimus- Biden 52, Trump 43 Biden +9
General election: Rasmussen- Biden 48, Trump 36 Biden +12
General election: Morning Consult- Biden 48, Trump 39 Biden +9


AZ: Civiqs- Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4
AR: Hendrix- Biden 45, Trump 47 Trump +2
GA: PPP- Biden 48, Trump 46 Biden +2
NM: PPP- Biden 53, Trump 39 Biden +14
MI: TIPP- Biden 51, Trump 38 Biden +13
MI: EPIC- Biden 55, Trump 39 Biden +16
FL: TIPP- Biden 50, Trump 40 Biden +10
IA: Selzer- Biden 43, Trump 44 Trump +1

# = Biden
# = Trump
# = Within generally accepted margin of error
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Wed Jun 17, 2020 1:08 pm

CNBC releases new poll: Biden leads in six key swing states... Good news for team Trump?

General Election: Trump vs. Biden CNBC Biden 51, Trump 41 Biden +10
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Economist/YouGov Biden 50, Trump 41 Biden +9
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 49, Trump 46 Biden +3
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 47, Trump 45 Biden +2
Florida: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 50, Trump 43 Biden +7
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 47, Trump 45 Biden +2
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 45, Trump 44 Biden +1
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 48, Trump 44 Biden +4


Yes... Trump is still trailing. But almost all of these numbers show the gap closing when compared to the polls I posted yesterday which were released over the course of the previous week. There are a couple of possibilities here. One is that CNBC is an outlier. We will find out soon enough as new polls come out and either confirm or refute the CNBC numbers. The second possibility is that Trump may be regaining some support as a result of the social chaos and upheaval in the country over the last couple of weeks. Or maybe a little of both. Again, we will see if the trend is confirmed as newer polls come out.
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Thu Jun 18, 2020 7:22 pm

General Election: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 50, Trump 38 Biden +12
General Election: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Biden 49, Trump 41 Biden +8


KY: Trump vs. Biden Civiqs Biden 37, Trump 57 Trump +20
UT: Trump vs Biden Y2Analytics Biden 40, Trump 48 Trump +8
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Tue Jun 23, 2020 11:15 am

General Election: Harvard Biden 56, Trump 44 Biden +12

AL: FM3 Biden 39, Trump 53 Trump +14
MN: Gravis Biden 58, Trump 42 Biden +16
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Re: Some 2020 General Election Polls

Post by Ad Orientem » Thu Jun 25, 2020 3:26 pm

General Election: NYT/Sienna- Biden 50, Trump 36 Biden +14
General Election: CNBC- Biden 47, Trump 38 Biden +9
General Election: Economist/Yougov- Biden 49, Trump 41 Biden +8
General Election: DFP- Biden 52, Trump 43 Biden +9


FL: NYT/Sienna- Biden 47, Trump 41 Biden +6
WI: NYT/Sienna- Biden 49, Trump 38 Biden +11
WI: Marquette- Biden 49, Trump 41 Biden +8
MI: NYT/Sienna- Biden 47, Trump 36 Biden +11
PA: NYT/Sienna- Biden 50, Trump 40 Biden +10
NC: NYT/Sienna- Biden 49, Trump 40 Biden +9
NC: PPP- Biden 48, Trump 46 Biden +2
NC: IPSOS- Biden 43, Trump 34 Biden +9
AZ: NYT/Sienna- Biden 48, Trump 41 Biden +7
OH: NYT/Sienna- Biden 50, Trump 36 Biden +14
OH: Quinnipiac- Biden 46, Trump 45 Biden +1
OH: Morning Consult- Biden 47, Trump 39 Biden +8
TX: PPP- Biden 46, Trump 48 Trump+ 2


# = Biden
# = Trump
# = Within generally accepted margin of error

Note: This is some of the most lopsided polling data I can remember seeing in a presidential election since 1984. Unless something changes drastically, Trump is heading for the worst electoral shellacking in a generation.
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