I will NOT disagree with your last sentence.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun May 10, 2020 10:21 amYou are going to be very disappointed in November.
The "analysis" you have posted will look just as prescient as the "Why aren't I 50 points ahead?" speech.
The Democrats are fielding the worst Presidential candidate in my lifetime, and Trump has more support in the Republican party than did Reagan or even Lincoln.
Seeing my state on here makes me happy that for probably the first time in my entire life my vote may actually matter.Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Wed May 13, 2020 6:34 pm
I largely agree which is why I am not bothering to post the polls from states that are obviously not in play. The states that are likely battlegrounds are Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Some polls have suggested Texas and Georgia might be in play, but I am skeptical. Trump won almost all of these states. But often by razor thin margins.
You must have missed the one below and then the subsequent response to it?
If you actually think that has any relationship to reality, you can bet on it on PredictIt.
I thought so, too, until I recently realized that the left's motive appears to be maximizing national panic and economic damage to prevent Trump from being a "wartime president" who presides over a quick social and economic recovery.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 11:03 am Biden is going to get smoked in November, and so is the Democrat party in general.
Yes. We have a perfect storm here for a power shift. Historically speaking, there is a high correlation in a power swing between parties during times of high unemployment. This is why the republicans are pushing really hard to open the economy and minimize the public opinion of the virus, for their own selfish reasons. Likewise, the left for their own selfish reasons are taking the opposite side and trying to maximize the public opinion of the virus and keep the economy shut. We are the pawns stuck in the middle of both of their selfish power struggles. None of what they say is really about us, it's all about them keeping their jobs and gaining/keeping power.Tortoise wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 11:40 amI thought so, too, until I recently realized that the left's motive appears to be maximizing national panic and economic damage to prevent Trump from being a "wartime president" who presides over a quick social and economic recovery.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 11:03 am Biden is going to get smoked in November, and so is the Democrat party in general.
The left has brought out the big guns this time, and it just might work. They may not hesitate to continue to make the entire nation suffer until November if it means defeating Trump. They've tried everything else without any luck.
pmward wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 12:05 pmYes. We have a perfect storm here for a power shift. Historically speaking, there is a high correlation in a power swing between parties during times of high unemployment. This is why the republicans are pushing really hard to open the economy and minimize the public opinion of the virus, for their own selfish reasons. Likewise, the left for their own selfish reasons are taking the opposite side and trying to maximize the public opinion of the virus and keep the economy shut. We are the pawns stuck in the middle of both of their selfish power struggles. None of what they say is really about us, it's all about them keeping their jobs and gaining/keeping power.Tortoise wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 11:40 amI thought so, too, until I recently realized that the left's motive appears to be maximizing national panic and economic damage to prevent Trump from being a "wartime president" who presides over a quick social and economic recovery.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 11:03 am Biden is going to get smoked in November, and so is the Democrat party in general.
The left has brought out the big guns this time, and it just might work. They may not hesitate to continue to make the entire nation suffer until November if it means defeating Trump. They've tried everything else without any luck.
To prove this point you can look at Sweden, where the roles are reversed and the incumbents in the left are the ones keeping the economy open and minimizing the public perception of the virus, and the rights are the ones saying they should close the economy and maximizing the perception of the virus. If the democrats were in charge here today we likely would see this same swapped dynamic, where it would be the republicans hammering the democrats to close the economy and the democrats trying to open. This can also be seen in the budget, remember the tea party when Obama was in office? Yet how much worse has the deficit increase been under Trump? Moreover, Trump himself has been hammering the Fed to do QE and take rates negative his whole office tenure so he can increase the deficit on the cheap. Yet where is the tea party now screaming about balancing the budget? Both sides are full of crap. I don't trust either. But the left does stand a real chance coming out of this crisis. Trump has made a lot of very public mistakes. His presidency has been a very poor one, and public opinion is reflecting that. I just wish we had a better alternative. This election is very much like the South Park episode with turd sandwich vs giant douche.
Amen! Yes budget balancing is merely a weapon they like to use to inflict pain when there is a democrat in office. They know budget balancing is bad for the economy, and in turn for the democratic re-election bid. When a republican is in office, they are not going to unleash that weapon on themselves, instead they do the opposite and increase the budget in order to help buy votes and solidify their own re-election.Ad Orientem wrote: ↑Fri May 15, 2020 12:18 pm Budget deficits are the great bugaboo of the GOP... when they are not in power. When in office they are rarely mentioned. The reality is we do not have a conservative party in the country, and have not for the last twenty years or so. We have a party of the left, and a populist cult of personality masquerading as a conservative party. I am done with the GOP until Trumpism is firmly repudiated. IMO for the GOP to return to its senses and core values, it must first be purged via a trip to the electoral woodshed.
Nothing I'm aware of. All from unknown random numbers.
