Coronavirus General Discussion

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WiseOne
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Post by WiseOne »

doodle wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 9:11 am
WiseOne wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 8:59 am
Xan wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 8:49 am Thanks, WiseOne, for finding this and giving a useful summary.

"Isolating the sick": is that a major difference between Covid and the flu? It seems that asymptomatic/presymptomatic spread is what throws a wrench in things. Or is that overblown compared to flu?
Presymptomatic spread is a fact of life with virtually every virus. Not limited to COVID. It's true with flu as well. No one knows how much of a factor it really is though. You're most likely to be transmitting virus when you're symptomatic.

The CDC should have been studying this question back in February and March. It's important, but it's probably the one point that we know least about. I'm increasingly annoyed at how they've flubbed this on virtually every level. Why, for example, didn't they put out a set of recommendations on how to handle government or other important functions involving large-ish groups, given their access to testing as well as the usual tools? The White House gathering was well under the limit currently in effect in some states.
Are you joking? The recommendations of the CDC have been ignored from the get go. They did make recommendations. Your intrepid leader dismissed them and marginalized their leadership. He sewed seeds of doubt about everything. That is why response has been so haphazard and confused. What kind of a crazy revisionist history you writing here?
If the CDC made recommendations regarding large government/official functions that included specific guidelines on use of testing protocols, please link to that? I would be very interested to see it.

Otherwise, please refrain from making inaccurate statements such as the above.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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You're kidding right? Which is it? On the one hand the government is too stupid to tie it's shoes and everything they say is to be ignored, on the other hand if they don't provide clear guidelines outlining that unessecarily packing people into a small space together during an airborne contagion is a bad idea then they are negligent. I think the document above is clear enough either way
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Libertarian666 wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 9:51 am
Mountaineer wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 9:43 am
doodle wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 9:11 am
WiseOne wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 8:59 am
Xan wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 8:49 am Thanks, WiseOne, for finding this and giving a useful summary.

"Isolating the sick": is that a major difference between Covid and the flu? It seems that asymptomatic/presymptomatic spread is what throws a wrench in things. Or is that overblown compared to flu?
Presymptomatic spread is a fact of life with virtually every virus. Not limited to COVID. It's true with flu as well. No one knows how much of a factor it really is though. You're most likely to be transmitting virus when you're symptomatic.

The CDC should have been studying this question back in February and March. It's important, but it's probably the one point that we know least about. I'm increasingly annoyed at how they've flubbed this on virtually every level. Why, for example, didn't they put out a set of recommendations on how to handle government or other important functions involving large-ish groups, given their access to testing as well as the usual tools? The White House gathering was well under the limit currently in effect in some states.
Are you joking? The recommendations of the CDC have been ignored from the get go. They did make recommendations. Your intrepid leader dismissed them and marginalized their leadership. He sewed seeds of doubt about everything. That is why response has been so haphazard and confused. What kind of a crazy revisionist history you writing here?
Sorry to inform you of this, but he President Trump is also your leader - unless you are not a citizen of the United States of America. :)
To be more precise, President Trump is the leader of the US federal government.
Anyone not working for the federal government is free to consider him their leader too, of course, but that is not law.
Hmmm. Good point. However, I wonder if taxpayers (who by definition support the US federal government - are they really a government employee who pays for the goods and services received) count as having the President be their leader? I wonder if that has ever been tested in court if someone takes another to court for saying "he's not my president", if they are a tax payer of course. :)
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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doodle wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 10:17 am COVID19-events-gatherings-readiness-and-planning-tool (1).pdf

You're kidding right? Which is it? On the one hand the government is too stupid to tie it's shoes and everything they say is to be ignored, on the other hand if they don't provide clear guidelines outlining that unessecarily packing people into a small space together during an airborne contagion is a bad idea then they are negligent. I think the document above is clear enough either way
So I looked at the planning tool. Very light on details and remarkably unhelpful. No hard numbers on the sizes of gatherings vs risk, and no mention of testing protocols. Pretty much as I thought.

If you go back and read the WHO document I posted, you can see that it IS possible to make some estimates about risk reduction of the various measures. Here it is for you in case reading pdf files is beyond your current abilities. The question is, what is the QUANTIFIED reduction of risk to a given individual from exposure to a person with COVID-19 during a gathering?

COVID rapid test as utilized by the White House: 91% reduction
Social distancing: No significant benefit per the WHO document. Probably a minor benefit but it has not been quantified.
Mask-wearing: No significant benefit per the WHO document. If you cherry pick the study showing the maximum benefit of masks in combination with other measures such as hand washing and distancing, you get a maximum reduction in risk of 22%.
Holding the event outdoors: No data on this available.
Handwashing: No significant benefit per the WHO document.
Temperature checks on the way in: No data on this for COVID. Since this would only catch people who are symptomatic and we think half of cases are asymptomatic, let's be generous and assume that all asymptomatic cases are capable of spreading the virus (which is unlikely). So put this as a 50% reduction in risk.

So if you combine all the measures above except for testing, which is what the CDC document recommends, you get at best a 60% risk reduction. If you assume a 3% chance that someone in the group is infected with COVID (that's the % of COVID positives in all of Congress for all of 2020, so I figure that's a reasonable cap on the probability), the total risk of spreading infection is 1.2%.

For what the White House actually did (testing and no other measures) the infection risk was 0.27%.

What does that tell you about how reckless the Republicans are, and how the press is painting this picture? Hint, it's pretty clear that nobody writing those press articles has even the slightest understanding of probabilities and basic math.

It's also clear that the White House was pretty unlucky with this event - except that if they keep holding events like this the probabilities add up. I do think they should have limited the size of these gatherings. But to claim that mask wearing and distancing affords better protection than the rapid test approach is somewhere between incredibly stupid and an out-and-out lie.

Do any of you actually think that mask wearing gives you better than 90% protection against catching COVID??? And if so, why did you get that impression?
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 9:01 am
doodle wrote: Mon Oct 05, 2020 10:17 am COVID19-events-gatherings-readiness-and-planning-tool (1).pdf

You're kidding right? Which is it? On the one hand the government is too stupid to tie it's shoes and everything they say is to be ignored, on the other hand if they don't provide clear guidelines outlining that unessecarily packing people into a small space together during an airborne contagion is a bad idea then they are negligent. I think the document above is clear enough either way
So I looked at the planning tool. Very light on details and remarkably unhelpful. No hard numbers on the sizes of gatherings vs risk, and no mention of testing protocols. Pretty much as I thought.

If you go back and read the WHO document I posted, you can see that it IS possible to make some estimates about risk reduction of the various measures. Here it is for you in case reading pdf files is beyond your current abilities. The question is, what is the QUANTIFIED reduction of risk to a given individual from exposure to a person with COVID-19 during a gathering?

COVID rapid test as utilized by the White House: 91% reduction
Social distancing: No significant benefit per the WHO document. Probably a minor benefit but it has not been quantified.
Mask-wearing: No significant benefit per the WHO document. If you cherry pick the study showing the maximum benefit of masks in combination with other measures such as hand washing and distancing, you get a maximum reduction in risk of 22%.
Holding the event outdoors: No data on this available.
Handwashing: No significant benefit per the WHO document.
Temperature checks on the way in: No data on this for COVID. Since this would only catch people who are symptomatic and we think half of cases are asymptomatic, let's be generous and assume that all asymptomatic cases are capable of spreading the virus (which is unlikely). So put this as a 50% reduction in risk.

So if you combine all the measures above except for testing, which is what the CDC document recommends, you get at best a 60% risk reduction. If you assume a 3% chance that someone in the group is infected with COVID (that's the % of COVID positives in all of Congress for all of 2020, so I figure that's a reasonable cap on the probability), the total risk of spreading infection is 1.2%.

For what the White House actually did (testing and no other measures) the infection risk was 0.27%.

What does that tell you about how reckless the Republicans are, and how the press is painting this picture? Hint, it's pretty clear that nobody writing those press articles has even the slightest understanding of probabilities and basic math.

It's also clear that the White House was pretty unlucky with this event - except that if they keep holding events like this the probabilities add up. I do think they should have limited the size of these gatherings. But to claim that mask wearing and distancing affords better protection than the rapid test approach is somewhere between incredibly stupid and an out-and-out lie.

Do any of you actually think that mask wearing gives you better than 90% protection against catching COVID??? And if so, why did you get that impression?
I believe that mask wearing limits droplets from being sprayed in my direction by people talking to me. Ever seen a slow motion film of people talking? They are spraying shit everywhere. It's quite disgusting actually. Isn't droplets in mucous membranes key transmission route?

N95 masks can limit viral load of wearer. From my understanding this has some impact as to severity of case.

I don't understand how social distancing is rated to have no impact. I would think if I stand 10 feet away from someone I'd have less chance of catching whatever they have then in they were up next to me.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Let's pretend for a moment that this influenza strain had the potential to kill 50% of the population and was very contagious. Of course we wouldn't know that at first. Like when covid-19 hit we didn't fully understand its effects short and long term. What would you do as a leader? Just tell people to pray? What actions would you implement with imperfect knowledge?
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Science sucks sometimes, doesn't it doodle? Annoying when it produces results that contradict your beliefs. I understand how upsetting that can be.

Read the document.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:56 am Science sucks sometimes, doesn't it doodle? Annoying when it produces results that contradict your beliefs. I understand how upsetting that can be.

Read the document.
I don't have time now spent 10 minutes...but the gist is clear. Marginal benefit..if at all. I also realize that scientific studies are based on observing outcomes of human behavior and many humans are idiots. For example, just because an amazon review says something doesn't work doesn't mean the product is at fault...could be the user is a moron. If n95 masks filter virus particles then employed correctly I don't see how they could not work. Although, I don't understand how social distancing and quarantine wouldn't work as they eliminate route of transmission. If you had a virus such as I hypothesized, if you quarantined everyone in house or at least within city (shutting down all transportation) the virus couldn't spread and would die. How would you address such a virus? It does operate according to mechanisms.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Science never sucks in that the search for truth is paramount. The trouble is that sociology is not science. Neither is economics or any other field based on human behavior. Even nutrition is a science fraught with more questions than answers. The human animal is a real bitch to pin down with studies as the number of variables is so great
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Again, can you explain why social distancing doesn't work? If I never get within 100 feet of someone i can't possibly catch what they have. If social distancing is improperly implemented then of course it doesn't work.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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doodle wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 11:12 am Again, can you explain why social distancing doesn't work? If I never get within 100 feet of someone i can't possibly catch what they have. If social distancing is improperly implemented then of course it doesn't work.
This reminds me of the abstinence debate regarding sex-ed. Abstinence works 100% of the time. Doodle, I'm curious about your views on abstinence-only sex education?
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Funny that a 'conservative' is using that to argue against the forums 'marxist'. Lol.

Yes, abstinence education dumb idea. Doesn't work. Not practical.

However, I don't think the comparison is perfect. Quarantine in the case of a virus maybe a few weeks....a month at most. If done right in the face of a virus that kills 50% of people would be effective...I know I'd be motivated under those circumstances to plant my ass.

Abstinence is potentially a decade or longer denial until marriage.

If quarantine involved that timeline I'd say untenable as well. Short of creating break away commune.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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But this isn't such a virus. It's much closer to the flu virus which was under study in WiseOne's document, where it was concluded that social distancing didn't in fact work.

And I think abstinence education isn't dumb: it does work 100% of the time, and if you want to have sex you can get married.

The "social distancing" necessary to destroy this thing would destroy society. The cost is too high.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Rather than this long drawn out affair, would it have been better to have periodic 2 week shutdowns every 3 or 4 months to prevent overwhelming medical system?
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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Also, does death ratio of coronavirus factor into your response to virus. Would your thinking and approach change if virus killed half population?
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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If there were a virus killing 50% of the population, we wouldn't need government mandates to close businesses, schools, and social gatherings since people would stay at home voluntarily out of survival instinct. Those who chose not to would be removed from the gene pool pretty quickly, which wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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doodle wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 11:12 am Again, can you explain why social distancing doesn't work? If I never get within 100 feet of someone i can't possibly catch what they have. If social distancing is improperly implemented then of course it doesn't work.
Your question is not relevant. The studies show what happens when social distancing is carried out on an "intent to treat" basis. People are always going to be inconsistent about something that's too difficult to adhere to, and that has to be part of the calculus. There are also other reasons why such distancing might fail. For example, you may walk through a building without ever seeing another soul, but you could still run across the virus in the air, on a doorknob etc.

Forgive my bluntness doodle, but if you've been practicing the extreme distancing you advocate here, this could explain why you've gone literally bats**t crazy. I'm not the first on this forum to wonder about your sanity. Nothing to be ashamed of, because this effect has already been recognized as occurring on a large scale due to the lockdowns. And, there's a reason why solitary confinement is considered an especially harsh punishment in prisons.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 1:52 pm There are also other reasons why such distancing might fail. For example, you may walk through a building without ever seeing another soul, but you could still run across the virus in the air, on a doorknob etc.
The latter part of your point above is interesting to me. Is there any recent guidance on how long virus droplets hang in the air before they drop to the ground or disappear or die?

Related note, I feel there has been a lot of confusion about virus on contact surfaces, i.e. handrails, packages, other surfaces. I'm interested not just in the presence of virus, but the presence of virus that is still infectious. The virus must have a short life on an inert surface without a host, so after some period of time, it might still be present but no longer effective (dangerous). How long is the period of time, minutes, hours, days?
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 1:52 pm
doodle wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 11:12 am Again, can you explain why social distancing doesn't work? If I never get within 100 feet of someone i can't possibly catch what they have. If social distancing is improperly implemented then of course it doesn't work.
Your question is not relevant. The studies show what happens when social distancing is carried out on an "intent to treat" basis. People are always going to be inconsistent about something that's too difficult to adhere to, and that has to be part of the calculus. There are also other reasons why such distancing might fail. For example, you may walk through a building without ever seeing another soul, but you could still run across the virus in the air, on a doorknob etc.

Forgive my bluntness doodle, but if you've been practicing the extreme distancing you advocate here, this could explain why you've gone literally bats**t crazy. I'm not the first on this forum to wonder about your sanity. Nothing to be ashamed of, because this effect has already been recognized as occurring on a large scale due to the lockdowns. And, there's a reason why solitary confinement is considered an especially harsh punishment in prisons.
Lol. I appreciate your internet diagnosis but would say the same about most Trump supporters and in fact the president himself.

I do not practice social distancing for the most part. I live in a relatively sparsely populated area but work and live largely without a mask. Honestly, this whole covid thing has affected me very little and that might be why I'm so shocked at what I see as a pretty insane response on behalf of many on this forum to what has been for me a minor inconvenience. I'd say the characterization of this as tyranny is a bit over the top, but then again I have only lived in three different states during this situation and never saw anything that would lead me to characterize things that way. For the most part, life for me with a few small adjustments is pretty much back to normal.

Worse than covid by far for me has been Trump. Yes, he is driving me batshit crazy. The ' illogical overzealous' response to covid driving so many here to the apparent brink is the same response I feel to the illogic of having a blustering bullshit artist for a president.. It is like having one of those cheap youtube scammers like Tai Lopez or Dean Grasiozi as commander in chief. Yes, I do have TDS stage 4. And the thought of possibly having to listen to this dumbass for another four years making me want to crawl into a hole. I am not the only one who feels this way. There are many accomplished, succesful, well adjusted, mentally sane people in the same boat as me. Not just raging antifa marxists....conservative catholic pasty white people like:
Screenshot_20201006-134003.png
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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doodle wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 11:07 am
WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:56 am Science sucks sometimes, doesn't it doodle? Annoying when it produces results that contradict your beliefs. I understand how upsetting that can be.

Read the document.
I don't have time now spent 10 minutes...but the gist is clear. Marginal benefit..if at all. I also realize that scientific studies are based on observing outcomes of human behavior and many humans are idiots. For example, just because an amazon review says something doesn't work doesn't mean the product is at fault...could be the user is a moron. If n95 masks filter virus particles then employed correctly I don't see how they could not work. Although, I don't understand how social distancing and quarantine wouldn't work as they eliminate route of transmission. If you had a virus such as I hypothesized, if you quarantined everyone in house or at least within city (shutting down all transportation) the virus couldn't spread and would die. How would you address such a virus? It does operate according to mechanisms.
Re. mask effectiveness: I am almost completely speculating on my comments below, others more knowledgable than I am please chime in.

From what I've read, masks reduce spread of droplets, let's say above 3 microns. Also from what I've read, the virus (consisting of RNA, not even a living organism I believe, but has the ability to invade a cell and replicate) is something like 0.25 microns in size. Let's say that the N95 mask stops transmission of 95% of the droplets 3 microns and up with their associated viral bits inside the droplet; the viral bits outside the droplets or in droplets smaller than 3 microns go right through. Make your own guess about the number of virus particles an infected person exhales, and the number required to cause someone downstream to get sick. I am sure the N95 will stop my first exhaled 3 micron up droplets. Not so sure about those from the subsequent exhales as the mask gets wetter and wetter from my exhales. I would think that at some point, probably a few minutes, the mask will no longer effectively stop 95% of 3 micron and up droplets, let alone 0.25 micron virus particles. Thus, masks probably don't work much after the first few minutes of putting them on. Obviously, this is dependent on the surrounding humidity and air currents as to how much of the viral load gets released past the N95 mask, but I'm speculating that it is quite enough to get someone downstream sick if they are in the susceptible category. I'm also speculating that the RNA viral particles last more than a few minutes in air. Lots of speculation but I can see how masks have limited effectiveness on keeping us safe and healthy. Not zero, but very limited. I've seen those videos of masks stopping sneezes and such but I've not seen test results of new vs used masks in those videos or any data associated with those type of tests. Perhaps they are out there somewhere, as Fox Mulder might say.
DNA has its own language (code), and language requires intelligence. There is no known mechanism by which matter can give birth to information, let alone language. It is unreasonable to believe the world could have happened by chance.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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doodle wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 2:41 pm
I do not practice social distancing for the most part. I live in a relatively sparsely populated area but work and live largely without a mask. Honestly, this whole covid thing has affected me very little and that might be why I'm so shocked at what I see as a pretty insane response on behalf of many on this forum to what has been for me a minor inconvenience. I'd say the characterization of this as tyranny is a bit over the top, but then again I have only lived in three different states during this situation and never saw anything that would lead me to characterize things that way. For the most part, life for me with a few small adjustments is pretty much back to normal.
So do you think your opinion might be closer to ours if you lived in a more densely populated area? An area that 7 months after "14 days to flatten the curve" still has most restrictions in place even though in a county of 2.5 million people our 7 day avg rolling Covid death count is 2 deaths per day (and most all of them are people over 60 with underlying conditions). And most importantly, a place where nobody in a position of authority, not a Republican Governor nor a Democrat mayor can explain to the citizens any definitive criteria under which restrictions will be loosened. I really do not think under such circumstances that it is so far fetched to begin to think about conspiracies, tyranny and wondering if this will ever end.
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

Post by doodle »

Mountaineer wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 3:06 pm
doodle wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 11:07 am
WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:56 am Science sucks sometimes, doesn't it doodle? Annoying when it produces results that contradict your beliefs. I understand how upsetting that can be.

Read the document.
I don't have time now spent 10 minutes...but the gist is clear. Marginal benefit..if at all. I also realize that scientific studies are based on observing outcomes of human behavior and many humans are idiots. For example, just because an amazon review says something doesn't work doesn't mean the product is at fault...could be the user is a moron. If n95 masks filter virus particles then employed correctly I don't see how they could not work. Although, I don't understand how social distancing and quarantine wouldn't work as they eliminate route of transmission. If you had a virus such as I hypothesized, if you quarantined everyone in house or at least within city (shutting down all transportation) the virus couldn't spread and would die. How would you address such a virus? It does operate according to mechanisms.
Re. mask effectiveness: I am almost completely speculating on my comments below, others more knowledgable than I am please chime in.

From what I've read, masks reduce spread of droplets, let's say above 3 microns. Also from what I've read, the virus (consisting of RNA, not even a living organism I believe, but has the ability to invade a cell and replicate) is something like 0.25 microns in size. Let's say that the N95 mask stops transmission of 95% of the droplets 3 microns and up with their associated viral bits inside the droplet; the viral bits outside the droplets or in droplets smaller than 3 microns go right through. Make your own guess about the number of virus particles an infected person exhales, and the number required to cause someone downstream to get sick. I am sure the N95 will stop my first exhaled 3 micron up droplets. Not so sure about those from the subsequent exhales as the mask gets wetter and wetter from my exhales. I would think that at some point, probably a few minutes, the mask will no longer effectively stop 95% of 3 micron and up droplets, let alone 0.25 micron virus particles. Thus, masks probably don't work much after the first few minutes of putting them on. Obviously, this is dependent on the surrounding humidity and air currents as to how much of the viral load gets released past the N95 mask, but I'm speculating that it is quite enough to get someone downstream sick if they are in the susceptible category. I'm also speculating that the RNA viral particles last more than a few minutes in air. Lots of speculation but I can see how masks have limited effectiveness on keeping us safe and healthy. Not zero, but very limited. I've seen those videos of masks stopping sneezes and such but I've not seen test results of new vs used masks in those videos or any data associated with those type of tests. Perhaps they are out there somewhere, as Fox Mulder might say.
The COVID-19 particle is indeed around 0.1 microns in size, but it is always bonded to something larger.

As many states and communities ease restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic, the debate over mask usage has intensified.

Businesses, churches and governments have implemented all manner of policies — some requiring masks, some leaving it up to each person, some even banning masks. And that has spurred many armchair epidemiologists to weigh in, including a Facebook page with nearly 1 million followers.

A June 4 post from Why don’t you try this? went a step beyond the homemade mask debate to claim that even the N95 masks used by health care workers are pointless in the face of COVID-19.

“COVID 19 virus particle size is 125 nanometers (0.125 microns); the range is 0.06 microns to .14 microns,” the post said. “The N95 mask filters down to 0.3 microns. So, N95 masks block few, if any, virions (virus particles).”


In other words, the post asserts the virus is smaller than the filter on the N95 mask, so the N95 mask doesn’t work.

Experts say this claim flies in the face of numerous studies and reflects a failure to grasp fundamental principles of how viruses behave and how face masks work.


Virus particles don’t exist alone
The science of mask functionality gets really small, really fast. The unit of measurement here is microns — 1/1000th of a millimeter.

The size-based argument against N95 laid out in this claim assumes mask filtering works something like water flowing through a net — particles in the water smaller than the net opening pass through, while larger items don’t.

But the physics involved don’t work like that at all.

The COVID-19 particle is indeed around 0.1 microns in size, but it is always bonded to something larger.

“There is never a naked virus floating in the air or released by people,” said Linsey Marr, a professor of civil and environmental engineering at Virginia Tech who specializes in airborne transmission of viruses.

The virus attaches to water droplets or aerosols (i.e. really small droplets) that are generated by breathing, talking, coughing, etc. These consist of water, mucus protein and other biological material and are all larger than 1 micron.

“Breathing and talking generate particles around 1 micron in size, which will be collected by N95 respirator filters with very high efficiency,” said Lisa Brosseau, a retired professor of environmental and occupational health sciences who spent her career researching respiratory protection.

But that’s not the only logical flaw in this claim.

The N95 filter indeed is physically around the 0.3 micron size. But that doesn’t mean it can only stop particles larger than that. The masks are actually best for particles either larger or smaller than that 0.3 micron threshold.

“N95 have the worst filtration efficiency for particles around 0.3,” Marr said. “If you’re smaller than that those are actually collected even better. It’s counterintuitive because masks do not work like sieving out larger particles. It’s not like pasta in a colander, and small ones don’t get through.”

N95 masks actually have that name because they are 95% efficient at stopping particles in their least efficient particle size range — in this case those around 0.3 microns.


Why do they work better for smaller ones? There are a number of factors at play, but here are two main ones noted by experts:

The first is something called “Brownian motion,” the name given to a physical phenomenon in which particles smaller than 0.3 microns move in an erratic, zig-zagging kind of motion. This motion greatly increases the chance they will be snared by the mask fibers.

Secondly, the N95 mask itself uses electrostatic absorption, meaning particles are drawn to the fiber and trapped, instead of just passing through.

“Although these particles are smaller than the pores, they can be pulled over by the charged fibers and get stuck,” said Professor Jiaxing Huang, a materials scientist at Northwestern University working to develop a new type of medical face mask. “When the charges are dissipated during usage or storage, the capability of stopping virus-sized particles diminishes. This is the main reason of not recommending the reuse of N95 masks."
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Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

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glennds wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 2:17 pm
WiseOne wrote: Tue Oct 06, 2020 1:52 pm There are also other reasons why such distancing might fail. For example, you may walk through a building without ever seeing another soul, but you could still run across the virus in the air, on a doorknob etc.
The latter part of your point above is interesting to me. Is there any recent guidance on how long virus droplets hang in the air before they drop to the ground or disappear or die?

Related note, I feel there has been a lot of confusion about virus on contact surfaces, i.e. handrails, packages, other surfaces. I'm interested not just in the presence of virus, but the presence of virus that is still infectious. The virus must have a short life on an inert surface without a host, so after some period of time, it might still be present but no longer effective (dangerous). How long is the period of time, minutes, hours, days?
You said it! We just don't know. I posted that mainly to rebut the idea that staying 100 feet away from all other living souls is enough to guarantee 100% safety from a virus.

I guess it comes down to your own sense of risk. Is there risk of contracting COVID out there in the big scary world? Most definitely. Along with a ton of other viruses and bacteria. Have you ever gone downhill skiing, gone swimming in a freshwater natural lake, hiked in the Rocky Mountains, in the Appalachians, or in the desert Southwest? Have you ever driven a car for more than a few feet of open roadway? Have you ever walked across a street, or been outdoors during a thunderstorm? Do you own a swimming pool?

If you answered yes to any of the above questions, you've taken some pretty hefty risks without even thinking about it - that are probably on the order of your risk of dying from COVID unless you've got a serious medical condition. The only difference between those risks and COVID is that you've got the media blaring about COVID into your ear practically 24/7.

BTW I love how the media got it totally wrong on Trump's obesity risk for COVID. He may be obese, but only the morbidly obese are at elevated COVID risk. And he's not that. Think that's a BMI > 40.

So now I'm off to take a nice walk through a park on a lovely fall day, along with my regular dose of COVID risk!
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