Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Discussion of the Gold portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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Kriegsspiel
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Kriegsspiel »

Cortopassi wrote:I wonder how this compares to oil and gas used to pull gold out of the ground.
Kriegsspiel wrote: Now, it's gonna take resources to make money, how does bitcoin compare to gold in the resources it takes to "make" it: bitcoin is about 7x more resource-intensive than gold. That's using an "optimistic" number for the energy requirements of bitcoin. Taken from here. But if a bitcoin is worth $6,800 and an ounce of gold is worth $1,275, maybe you could say that bitcoin is only 1.3x as resource intensive ($673 worth of currency created/barrel of oil vs $910 for gold) using the same numbers?
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Cortopassi »

Kriegsspiel wrote:
Cortopassi wrote:I wonder how this compares to oil and gas used to pull gold out of the ground.
Kriegsspiel wrote: Now, it's gonna take resources to make money, how does bitcoin compare to gold in the resources it takes to "make" it: bitcoin is about 7x more resource-intensive than gold. That's using an "optimistic" number for the energy requirements of bitcoin. Taken from here. But if a bitcoin is worth $6,800 and an ounce of gold is worth $1,275, maybe you could say that bitcoin is only 1.3x as resource intensive ($673 worth of currency created/barrel of oil vs $910 for gold) using the same numbers?
Thanks. Missed that.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by ochotona »

When you stop using the "coin" part of the name, the whole issue gets framed differently:

YOU'RE TRADING CURRENCY FOR TOKEN.

Why is it when they show images representing bitcoin, they show goldeny looking coins? Because it farks with the logical part of your brains.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Kriegsspiel »

Investors who bought Bitcoin just ahead of Thanksgiving certainly have something to be thankful for. Bitcoin prices breached $11,300 Wednesday for the first time, representing a rise of over $3,100 in a week.

It’s a stunning rise for the cryptocurrency, which only just broke the psychologically important milestone of $10,000 hours earlier

snip

... both Nasdaq and Cantor Fitzgerald are looking to launch bitcoin derivatives.

http://fortune.com/2017/11/29/bitcoin-p ... e-futures/
Seems legit.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Cortopassi »

No bubble here, not at all.

I am sure some people are making out like bandits. And there's probably still a good amount of time to do it even now.

But a huge number of people are going to be screwed. I will not be one of them.

I liked the offhanded comment on gold here, making it sound bad...

“Bitcoin has no underlying rate of return,” said Bogle at a Council on Foreign Relations event on Tuesday, as reported by Bloomberg. “You know bonds have an interest coupon, stocks have earnings and dividends, gold has nothing. There is nothing to support Bitcoin except the hope that you will sell it to someone for more than you paid for it.”
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by buddtholomew »

So tired of Gold...honestly look at the alternative, now BTc 13K, AU can't even hit 1300.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

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buddtholomew wrote:So tired of Gold...honestly look at the alternative, now BTc 13K, AU can't even hit 1300.
I hope gold prices stay low until I can buy some more from selling stocks.
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buddtholomew
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by buddtholomew »

There's no reason to sell stocks, EVER.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by dualstow »

buddtholomew wrote:There's no reason to sell stocks, EVER.
I sell to rebalance, but of course with stocks going up like this it feels funny.
I have also sold individual stocks this year, but since my total stocks (pp + vp) feel so low (40%?), I swapped them out for some Vanguard Total Stock Market. That's something I don't mind buying "at the top."
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Libertarian666 »

buddtholomew wrote:So tired of Gold...honestly look at the alternative, now BTc 13K, AU can't even hit 1300.
Perhaps you should sell all your gold and buy Bitcoin.

It can only go up!
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by eufo »

I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by dualstow »

eufo wrote:I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
I get the Harry Potter reference, but does that mean a non investor?

By the way, Craig was right:
https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/arti ... itcoin-tax

Well, fine with me. Better the IRS than hackers.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Kriegsspiel »

dualstow wrote:
eufo wrote:I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
I get the Harry Potter reference, but does that mean a non investor?
I believe muggle is what Goldman Sachs calls their customers now that muppet is out of fashion.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by dualstow »

O0
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by eufo »

dualstow wrote:
eufo wrote:I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
I get the Harry Potter reference, but does that mean a non investor?
Yes. I have a few friends that fit this mold and always seem to ask about things right as they've hit their maximum exposure. Not sure why I call them muggles... maybe because I feel like I'm magical? Lol!
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by buddtholomew »

Libertarian666 wrote:
buddtholomew wrote:So tired of Gold...honestly look at the alternative, now BTc 13K, AU can't even hit 1300.
Perhaps you should sell all your gold and buy Bitcoin.

It can only go up!
I would sell if it ever went up.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Libertarian666 »

buddtholomew wrote:
Libertarian666 wrote:
buddtholomew wrote:So tired of Gold...honestly look at the alternative, now BTc 13K, AU can't even hit 1300.
Perhaps you should sell all your gold and buy Bitcoin.

It can only go up!
I would sell if it ever went up.
Then you're all set. It's going up every second!
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by dualstow »

I think he means the gold.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Libertarian666 »

dualstow wrote:I think he means the gold.
It doesn't matter. Since gold never goes up and Bitcoin always goes up, he should sell gold and buy Bitcoin!
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Kriegsspiel »

eufo wrote:
dualstow wrote:
eufo wrote:I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
I get the Harry Potter reference, but does that mean a non investor?
Yes. I have a few friends that fit this mold and always seem to ask about things right as they've hit their maximum exposure. Not sure why I call them muggles... maybe because I feel like I'm magical? Lol!
And you call them muggles? Sounds like they actually have a bit of magic in them.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by buddtholomew »

dualstow wrote:I think he means the gold.
He still doesn’t get it, thanks for trying.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by dualstow »

Valuethinker is essentially making the same joke over at bogleheads. O0
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Libertarian666 »

buddtholomew wrote:
dualstow wrote:I think he means the gold.
He still doesn’t get it, thanks for trying.
Oh, I get it all right.

You hate gold.

Who is making you hold it?
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by Kriegsspiel »

Xan wrote:
Kriegsspiel wrote:Something I was mulling over. Say you're a internet business who accepts btc. A while ago, something that cost a btc would also cost like, $10. Now...
On May 22, 2010, Laszlo Hanyecz paid a fellow early adopter 10,000 bitcoin to order him two Papa John's pizzas. In those days that was more or less a fair-value exchange. Today 10,000 bitcoin is worth $12.8 million or so, and one bitcoin will buy a few more than two pizzas.
How do businesses respond to massive appreciation in a currency? Did all the businesses reduce their prices, in btc, to match what the prices were in dollars (0.00137 btc/$10 as of now)? What if the btc/$ rate drops, and they're left holding btc? All their expenses are in dollars. The only real advantage is that the business could avoid the transaction fee credit companies impose, and the possibility to evade taxes. Accepting btc seems incredibly risky for businesses, unless I'm missing something.
I assume that they immediately convert received bitcoins to dollars. As you say, their expenses are in dollars. Unless they are choosing to speculate in bitcoins by holding them, in which case that's really a separate "business" from the real one.
Steam has stopped accepting BTC because they're too volatile/fees.
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Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

Post by eufo »

eufo wrote:I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
It happened today... I'm calling the top @ $16,000/Bitcoin.

I could be wrong, but here we go.
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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