The GOLD scream room

Discussion of the Gold portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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ochotona
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by ochotona »

I have limit buy orders at $1260
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

Getting closer.

Just imagine the gnashing of teeth if/when the S&P500 has the kind of gyrations gold has. It would be the lead story on the news every night.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

Just a short note on how the PP has helped me cope with my gold to the moon addiction...

I continue to read mostly gold positive blogs, and was so taken by the recent run up that I was considering buying a few options on GLD and SLV in the "variable" part of my portfolio.

This is WHY I DON'T have a variable part of my portfolio. I'd be completely underwater on those options today.

Instead, while I am upset at how fast these gains are evaporating (what's new?!), the stock portion mutes the fall.

Gold just stirs up too much emotion for me. Do the exact opposite of what you think you should do still holds for me, almost all the time.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by dualstow »

I agree, especially with the last line. Move over Lao Tzu and make room for the wisdom of George Costanza. Do the opposite!
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eufo
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by eufo »

Cortopassi wrote:Instead, while I am upset at how fast these gains are evaporating (what's new?!), the stock portion mutes the fall.
I feel the same way. It's beautiful how they all seem to mute each other's declines.
Cortopassi wrote:Gold just stirs up too much emotion for me. Do the exact opposite of what you think you should do still holds for me, almost all the time.
It does for almost everyone. That's why we can't trust our emotions.
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by PP67 »

"Mute" is the operative word... both in declines and advances... The HBPP is the Monroe shock absorber of portfolio strategies...
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eufo
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by eufo »

PP67 wrote:"Mute" is the operative word... both in declines and advances... The HBPP is the Monroe shock absorber of portfolio strategies...
Ha! True enough!
Don't agree with me too strongly or I'm going to change my mind
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

ochotona wrote:I have limit buy orders at $1260
DO you think it will get there ($1260). Or are you almost close enough to pull the trigger?
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buddtholomew
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by buddtholomew »

I continue to sell and will not allow myself to chase gold any longer.
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ochotona
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by ochotona »

Cortopassi wrote:
ochotona wrote:I have limit buy orders at $1260
DO you think it will get there ($1260). Or are you almost close enough to pull the trigger?
I deleted the orders. I have a habit of placing them for amusement, then cancelling.

I am at my strategic allocation for gold which is Desert Portfolio level, 10%. I don't really need more.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

With the way my PP percentages are right now, if I were to rebalance the biggest chunk goes to small cap value, then bonds, then silver. Gold actually is one that is closest to its original percentage, so I should not complain.

And you never hear me complain on SCV -- goes to show how much stupid emphasis I continue to put on gold.

But each time this happens I care less and less.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by buddtholomew »

Cortopassi wrote:With the way my PP percentages are right now, if I were to rebalance the biggest chunk goes to small cap value, then bonds, then silver. Gold actually is one that is closest to its original percentage, so I should not complain.

And you never hear me complain on SCV -- goes to show how much stupid emphasis I continue to put on gold.

But each time this happens I care less and less.
Rebalance to SCV and watch that for a while.
I tend to focus on my most recent purchase and it was nice to ignore gold for a bit.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

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So am I the only one who doesn't get excited or depressed by gold price changes?

And it's not because I'm so wealthy that it has no effect whatsoever on my potential future spending, unlike the impression that I get about some of the other posters here.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

Libertarian666 wrote:So am I the only one who doesn't get excited or depressed by gold price changes?

And it's not because I'm so wealthy that it has no effect whatsoever on my potential future spending, unlike the impression that I get about some of the other posters here.
I feel like I am a recovering gold addict. Seriously. It is difficult, but is getting better.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

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Cortopassi wrote:
Libertarian666 wrote:So am I the only one who doesn't get excited or depressed by gold price changes?

And it's not because I'm so wealthy that it has no effect whatsoever on my potential future spending, unlike the impression that I get about some of the other posters here.
I feel like I am a recovering gold addict. Seriously. It is difficult, but is getting better.
Well, I'm sure that most people here would call me a current, not recovering, gold addict, given my very high allocation to gold.
But I still don't get too excited or depressed about the price.
Maybe I'm just getting too old to get excited about anything?
Other than finding a new way to speed up the library I'm developing, anyway. :D
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Maddy
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Maddy »

Libertarian666 wrote: Maybe I'm just getting too old to get excited about anything?
Learned helplessness. You know, the reaction of the laboratory rat that gets shocked regardless of whether he presses the bar. I'm feeling that way about damned near everything these days.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Libertarian666 »

Maddy wrote:
Libertarian666 wrote: Maybe I'm just getting too old to get excited about anything?
Learned helplessness. You know, the reaction of the laboratory rat that gets shocked regardless of whether he presses the bar. I'm feeling that way about damned near everything these days.
I believe that is more like depression. It doesn't describe the way I feel about gold (or much of anything else). More like "I doubt any of this will affect me too severely, so why worry about it"?
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by sophie »

It's kinda fun to guesstimate the gold price by the terminology used in this thread. "Depressing" for example means the price has dropped by around 30 points. And sure enough!

I guess I'm not bothered by it because I'm not paying much attention. Not close to any rebalance bands so there's no reason to at the moment. I'm buying assets on an auto monthly investment setup, so roller coaster prices work out nicely for me actually.

It does help that when I check the PP, I also check my non-PP retirement plan assets. It's nice to be reminded that stock/bond portfolios can drop in value too, and I really like having the PP during months when they score big drops.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

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sophie wrote:It's kinda fun to guesstimate the gold price by the terminology used in this thread. "Depressing" for example means the price has dropped by around 30 points. And sure enough!

I guess I'm not bothered by it because I'm not paying much attention. Not close to any rebalance bands so there's no reason to at the moment. I'm buying assets on an auto monthly investment setup, so roller coaster prices work out nicely for me actually.

It does help that when I check the PP, I also check my non-PP retirement plan assets. It's nice to be reminded that stock/bond portfolios can drop in value too, and I really like having the PP during months when they score big drops.
You're no fun! Why, if everyone were like you, there wouldn't even be a gold scream thread! :P
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Kriegsspiel »

Libertarian666 wrote:So am I the only one who doesn't get excited or depressed by gold price changes?

And it's not because I'm so wealthy that it has no effect whatsoever on my potential future spending, unlike the impression that I get about some of the other posters here.
I'm right there with ya. Yea, I'd be pumped if gold and bonds and stocks all jumped up together, or that I could go back in time and not buy any gold and load up on stocks to take advantage of the last handful of years' / glidepath. But I'm pretty smart, so I knew those all assets rising together and time travel don't usually happen. So overall, I'm willing to cut gold some slack since my overall portfolio is earning me a modest real return, which is what I wanted in the first place.
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

For me, what I should really do (but it won't happen) is simply not look at my accounts except when something triggers a rebalance.

For example, I have a little angst about how gold is reacting lately. But if you told me on Jan 1, 2017 that my PP would be up 9.84% (current) at the end of the year, just don't look at it, care about it, or bother with it, I would have said "That's great!"

Instead, the daily looking causes the 9.84% to look bad to me, because a couple weeks ago it was at 11.3%.

Stupid useless concern and worry.
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buddtholomew
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by buddtholomew »

Cortopassi wrote:For me, what I should really do (but it won't happen) is simply not look at my accounts except when something triggers a rebalance.

For example, I have a little angst about how gold is reacting lately. But if you told me on Jan 1, 2017 that my PP would be up 9.84% (current) at the end of the year, just don't look at it, care about it, or bother with it, I would have said "That's great!"

Instead, the daily looking causes the 9.84% to look bad to me, because a couple weeks ago it was at 11.3%.

Stupid useless concern and worry.
Corto, I do the same thing...anchoring on the high point of the portfolio. It's a common behavioral finance trap. At least you are aware that it is "stupid useless concern and worry."
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Re: The GOLD scream room

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Cortopassi wrote:For me, what I should really do (but it won't happen) is simply not look at my accounts except when something triggers a rebalance.

For example, I have a little angst about how gold is reacting lately. But if you told me on Jan 1, 2017 that my PP would be up 9.84% (current) at the end of the year, just don't look at it, care about it, or bother with it, I would have said "That's great!"

Instead, the daily looking causes the 9.84% to look bad to me, because a couple weeks ago it was at 11.3%.

Stupid useless concern and worry.
10.86% YTD here, and it was better last week and even better the week before that for me too.
But so what?
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by Cortopassi »

Libertarian666 wrote:
Cortopassi wrote:For me, what I should really do (but it won't happen) is simply not look at my accounts except when something triggers a rebalance.

For example, I have a little angst about how gold is reacting lately. But if you told me on Jan 1, 2017 that my PP would be up 9.84% (current) at the end of the year, just don't look at it, care about it, or bother with it, I would have said "That's great!"

Instead, the daily looking causes the 9.84% to look bad to me, because a couple weeks ago it was at 11.3%.

Stupid useless concern and worry.
10.86% YTD here, and it was better last week and even better the week before that for me too.
But so what?
"But so what" is where I am trying to get to! ;D
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buddtholomew
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Re: The GOLD scream room

Post by buddtholomew »

Psychologically I prefer to see progress over regression.
That's why the steady grind higher is comforting to me.
Pullbacks introduce anxiety as progress has ceased.
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