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Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2020 10:00 am
by jhogue
barrett wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 8:28 am
jhogue wrote:
Fri Sep 11, 2020 5:18 pm
My target Cash position, consisting of equal parts FDLXX/ 1 yr. T-bills/ I-Bonds, is very similar. Over the past year I have stopped buying T-bills and shifted toward FDLXX/ 0 / I-bonds as T-bill yields have fallen to close to 0%.
Has Fidelity waived the .42% expense ratio on FDLXX? If so, that fund would make a lot of sense for my Fido cash position.
Barrett,

Fidelity responded to the Treasury yield curve collapse earlier this year by closing FDLXX to new investors and informing its investors that it would begin reimbursing expenses or waiving fees to keep FDLXX and some of its other money market funds from having a negative yield. It has since reopened to new investors, but has not reduced its expense ratio of 0.42%, among the highest of the industry.

To paraphrase Winston Churchill, I consider FDLXX to be the worst possible Treasury Money Market Fund—except for all others. Other candidates (SPAXX or VUSXX, for instance) have loaded up on unsuitable derivative securities like bank repos (supposedly collaterlized by T-bills) or agency debt ( a step down in terms of credit risk). The bottom line for me is that I use FDLXX—but I am watching them closely.

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2020 10:51 am
by barrett
jhogue wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 10:00 am
barrett wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 8:28 am
jhogue wrote:
Fri Sep 11, 2020 5:18 pm
My target Cash position, consisting of equal parts FDLXX/ 1 yr. T-bills/ I-Bonds, is very similar. Over the past year I have stopped buying T-bills and shifted toward FDLXX/ 0 / I-bonds as T-bill yields have fallen to close to 0%.
Has Fidelity waived the .42% expense ratio on FDLXX? If so, that fund would make a lot of sense for my Fido cash position.
Barrett,

Fidelity responded to the Treasury yield curve collapse earlier this year by closing FDLXX to new investors and informing its investors that it would begin reimbursing expenses or waiving fees to keep FDLXX and some of its other money market funds from having a negative yield. It has since reopened to new investors, but has not reduced its expense ratio of 0.42%, among the highest of the industry.

To paraphrase Winston Churchill, I consider FDLXX to be the worst possible Treasury Money Market Fund—except for all others. Other candidates (SPAXX or VUSXX, for instance) have loaded up on unsuitable derivative securities like bank repos (supposedly collaterlized by T-bills) or agency debt ( a step down in terms of credit risk). The bottom line for me is that I use FDLXX—but I am watching them closely.
Thanks for that, jhogue. I am curious as to why you wouldn't just buy 1-3 month T-Bills instead of FDLXX. I mean, they earn next to nothing but at least one does not lose money with that option (at least not so far).

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2020 3:46 pm
by jhogue
Good question, barrett. From an HBPP technical standpoint, I don’t think there is anything wrong with using 1-3 month T-bills for Cash as you have described. The only problem is that doing so is practically guaranteed to earn a negative real rate of interest over the coming year, given the Fed’s announced policy to create an inflation rate of 2%.

So, this is how I have decided to deal with the Fed’s crushing ZIRP and its effect on Cash:

1. FDLXX’s yield is terrible right now—even worse that 1 year T-bills—but it may be slightly more safe and liquid than a roll-your-own personal pile of 1 year T-bills because a TMMF undoubtedly holds a broader distribution of securities and certainly has access to more cash via Fidelity’s $1 trillion in money market funds under management.

2. My target Cash distribution was equal parts FDLXX/1 year T-bills/ I-bonds last year. This year I shut off the auto-roll T-bills as the 1 year T-bill rate declined from 1.00% to 0.10%. I have gradually shifted my Cash toward equal parts FDLXX/ I-bonds. I rely on FDLXX for safety and liquidity and I-bonds for Deep Cash/ higher yield, which I think will earn a positive real rate of return over the next year, and probably longer . The bulk of my laddered I-bonds are now mature enough that if I had to I could redeem some of them to meet a rebalance, though I think that is very unlikely.

If 1 year T-bills go back above 1.00% I could re-start the auto-roll. I have no idea when that might happen.

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2020 6:31 pm
by johnnywitt
jhogue wrote:
Wed Oct 14, 2020 3:46 pm
Good question, barrett. From an HBPP technical standpoint, I don’t think there is anything wrong with using 1-3 month T-bills for Cash as you have described. The only problem is that doing so is practically guaranteed to earn a negative real rate of interest over the coming year, given the Fed’s announced policy to create an inflation rate of 2%.

The FED has about as much chance of creating inflation as the Easter Bunny. The FED is probably the biggest Bunch of bullshitters in history.
If anything, the FED is designed more as an inflation killing machine.
Don't believe me, then own GOLD... oh wait, you already do ;D

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2020 10:17 pm
by boglerdude
Porte Bank 3% APY On Balances Up To $15,000

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Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sun Oct 25, 2020 8:53 am
by sophie
The only problem with using T bills as a cash substitute is that selling them could be harder than you think. I found that there are a lot of barriers to selling bonds at Fidelity that are not described anywhere on their website. And, to cancel an Autoroll you have to either call Fidelity (1-2 hours on the phone) or wait for the new purchase order to pop up online. It has a window of a few hours where you can cancel.

That's why I switched to zero-yielding FDLXX. All that hassle is just not worth a few dollars a year. Look to I Bonds if you want yield.

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sun Oct 25, 2020 12:07 pm
by vnatale
sophie wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 8:53 am
The only problem with using T bills as a cash substitute is that selling them could be harder than you think. I found that there are a lot of barriers to selling bonds at Fidelity that are not described anywhere on their website. And, to cancel an Autoroll you have to either call Fidelity (1-2 hours on the phone) or wait for the new purchase order to pop up online. It has a window of a few hours where you can cancel.

That's why I switched to zero-yielding FDLXX. All that hassle is just not worth a few dollars a year. Look to I Bonds if you want yield.
Can you explain why this amount of time?

Vinny

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sun Oct 25, 2020 1:03 pm
by pp4me
vnatale wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 12:07 pm
sophie wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 8:53 am
The only problem with using T bills as a cash substitute is that selling them could be harder than you think. I found that there are a lot of barriers to selling bonds at Fidelity that are not described anywhere on their website. And, to cancel an Autoroll you have to either call Fidelity (1-2 hours on the phone) or wait for the new purchase order to pop up online. It has a window of a few hours where you can cancel.

That's why I switched to zero-yielding FDLXX. All that hassle is just not worth a few dollars a year. Look to I Bonds if you want yield.
Can you explain why this amount of time?

Vinny
I've been holding T-Bills in a taxable account at Fidelity for a long time and have never had any problem.

Now that I think of it however, I've probably held them all to maturity and never sold any prematurely so maybe that's why I haven't seen anything like this. I have sold LT's before maturity in an IRA however and never had any issues. Just did that a couple of months ago.

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:10 pm
by sophie
You probably got lucky, pp4me. I have tried to sell bills/bonds several times. In one case I ran into a problem where I had bought a lot in an amount less than $10K, but the software insisted I needed to sell an amount of at least $10K. A few months later I was finally (after multiple attempts) able to sell it. In another case, I kept getting a message that the bond market was closed (even though it wasn't at the time).

Vinny, since I'm not in charge of Fidelity's customer service I can't tell you why phone calls take hours. Perhaps you should call them and ask.

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:25 pm
by vnatale
sophie wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:10 pm
You probably got lucky, pp4me. I have tried to sell bills/bonds several times. In one case I ran into a problem where I had bought a lot in an amount less than $10K, but the software insisted I needed to sell an amount of at least $10K. A few months later I was finally (after multiple attempts) able to sell it. In another case, I kept getting a message that the bond market was closed (even though it wasn't at the time).

Vinny, since I'm not in charge of Fidelity's customer service I can't tell you why phone calls take hours. Perhaps you should call them and ask.
I was more interested in an answer along the lines of this is common to my experience with them or it was because I was doing something special that required this amount of time.

I'd always prior read that Fidelity's customer service is superior to Vanguard's so reading what you wrote is of concern to me.

I've been with Vanguard (extensively) for over 30 years and only opened an account with Fidelity last year without yet funding it with anything. Therefore, I have no experience with Fidelity's customer service other than that one night I called to open the account. During the call had a nice discussion with a fellow baseball fan who was lamenting that my New York Yankees had got three of his Colorado Rockies players.

Vinny

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:35 am
by mathjak107
vnatale wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:25 pm
sophie wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:10 pm
You probably got lucky, pp4me. I have tried to sell bills/bonds several times. In one case I ran into a problem where I had bought a lot in an amount less than $10K, but the software insisted I needed to sell an amount of at least $10K. A few months later I was finally (after multiple attempts) able to sell it. In another case, I kept getting a message that the bond market was closed (even though it wasn't at the time).

Vinny, since I'm not in charge of Fidelity's customer service I can't tell you why phone calls take hours. Perhaps you should call them and ask.
I was more interested in an answer along the lines of this is common to my experience with them or it was because I was doing something special that required this amount of time.

I'd always prior read that Fidelity's customer service is superior to Vanguard's so reading what you wrote is of concern to me.

I've been with Vanguard (extensively) for over 30 years and only opened an account with Fidelity last year without yet funding it with anything. Therefore, I have no experience with Fidelity's customer service other than that one night I called to open the account. During the call had a nice discussion with a fellow baseball fan who was lamenting that my New York Yankees had got three of his Colorado Rockies players.

Vinny
my worst customer service experience was those clowns at vanguard .. 33 years at fidelity and no issues ever .

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 11:09 am
by flyingpylon
sophie wrote:
Sun Oct 25, 2020 5:10 pm
You probably got lucky, pp4me. I have tried to sell bills/bonds several times. In one case I ran into a problem where I had bought a lot in an amount less than $10K, but the software insisted I needed to sell an amount of at least $10K. A few months later I was finally (after multiple attempts) able to sell it. In another case, I kept getting a message that the bond market was closed (even though it wasn't at the time).

Vinny, since I'm not in charge of Fidelity's customer service I can't tell you why phone calls take hours. Perhaps you should call them and ask.
I haven't had this type of experience at all. Last year I had some T-Bills on auto-roll and needed to sell part of the position. I logged on to fidelity.com, placed the order, and was warned that the sale would automatically cancel the auto-roll. The transaction was completed immediately, the auto-roll was canceled, and I transferred the funds to my bank two days later. However, the amount of the sale was greater than $10k. I don't recall seeing anything saying that there was a minimum transaction size but it's possible that there was and I dismissed it.

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 10:47 am
by jhogue
Investors in online Ally bank CDs ( 5 year CD currently 1.00%) should take note of a thread over on bogleheads:

Ally has apparently ended its online early withdrawal option. Holders of CDs who want an early redemption must now call the bank and speak in person to a customer service rep. There are also complaints that the bank has effectively granted itself a float of investors’ cash by taking 1-2 business days to deliver proceeds of redeemed CDs to an checking accounts.

https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewto ... 0&t=328172

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Tue Nov 10, 2020 6:40 pm
by Don
Rates seem to be rising suddenly. What are our options now?

Re: Best current options for cash and STT's?

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2020 11:06 am
by Kbg
Assuming we assume we can predict, buy very short term instruments.